Rural-Comment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 05-24 06:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

100% 50% $-34

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$495	395	198	+198	Yes	+$52	04-20 20:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	9	$367	318	313	+6	open	—	04-27 18:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	7	$268	259	127	+131	open	—	04-22 18:30
Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	4	$86	2,039	0	+2,039	No	$-86	04-25 11:56
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	4	$73	566	519	+47	open	—	04-20 20:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?	1	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	04-20 20:03
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	2	$48	58	58	+0	open	—	04-14 06:28
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	4	$24	583	583	+0	open	—	04-12 20:01
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	04-12 18:25
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	04-20 20:01
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	5	$10	255	127	+127	open	—	04-19 08:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-12 18:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	04-13 14:07
will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19	2	$8	37	37	+0	open	—	04-14 06:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	1	$5	32	0	+32	open	—	05-24 06:58
will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	11	$4	500	500	+0	open	—	04-12 18:57
will 60 69 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 525	2	$4	8	8	+0	open	—	04-19 08:38
will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-12 19:15
will 20 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 yzbu	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	04-19 09:03
will 30 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19	1	$1	15	0	+15	open	—	04-19 09:03
will 40 49 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 371	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-19 09:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 06:58:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x86f025…
04-27 18:42:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	313	60¢	$187	0xf7693c…
04-25 17:39:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	108	65¢	$70	0x81bf6a…
04-25 11:56:46	Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x4e86db…
04-23 18:38:10	Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	1,524	3¢	$50	0xdba3e0…
04-22 18:33:22	Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	214	7¢	$15	0x7e4e7f…
04-22 18:31:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x22f940…
04-22 18:30:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	SELL	127	85¢	$108	0x76c859…
04-22 11:26:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0x7a3406…
04-22 11:26:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x75d89e…
04-22 11:26:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x58f368…
04-22 11:25:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xe961bb…
04-22 11:25:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xa0f222…
04-22 11:24:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x821094…
04-22 11:24:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x0c0bd6…
04-22 11:24:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x9252ed…
04-20 20:03:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	97	51¢	$50	0xeeea58…
04-20 20:03:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?	Yes	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x03c3ad…
04-20 20:02:48	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	198	88¢	$175	0xbe433e…
04-20 20:01:44	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0x30f383…
04-20 20:00:02	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x6685d1…
04-19 09:14:32	Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	134	9¢	$11	0x3276a5…
04-19 09:10:38	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x37fe74…
04-19 09:03:16	will 40 49 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 371	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf1c0f4…
04-19 09:03:10	will 30 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x00f4db…
04-19 09:03:08	will 20 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 yzbu	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x535da5…
04-19 08:40:42	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	2¢	$2	0x78f9f5…
04-19 08:40:20	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	419	5¢	$21	0xa7c92e…
04-19 08:38:06	will 60 69 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 525	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x8c13e2…
04-14 16:02:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x61b004…
04-14 16:00:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x68c7bd…
04-14 15:36:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x0cab3f…
04-14 06:40:39	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19	Yes	SELL	37	9¢	$3	0x5227fe…
04-14 06:39:27	will 60 69 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 525	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xd25935…
04-14 06:38:57	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19	Yes	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0x1d24b2…
04-14 06:28:15	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	Yes	SELL	58	65¢	$38	0xabc352…
04-13 14:07:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xdc22aa…
04-13 05:54:21	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	157	3¢	$5	0x3e0fa7…
04-13 05:54:11	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0x164cbd…
04-13 00:50:45	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xea2a58…
04-12 20:01:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	583	0¢	$2	0xf035e8…
04-12 19:15:37	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x57cba8…
04-12 19:04:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xedb9d2…
04-12 18:57:49	will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xb33add…
04-12 18:55:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x74849a…
04-12 18:38:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	400	4¢	$16	0x86c7db…
04-12 18:37:49	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	371	81¢	$300	0x155934…
04-12 18:36:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x063893…
04-12 18:36:13	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xfded24…
04-12 18:27:13	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x38be8c…
04-12 18:25:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0xe34f6c…
04-12 17:20:15	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	Yes	BUY	58	18¢	$10	0x261d7d…
04-12 17:17:49	will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	326	1¢	$2	0xf0d79a…
04-12 17:17:47	will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	48	1¢	$0	0xd35bb5…
04-12 17:17:37	will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd96983…
04-12 17:17:19	will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfeb6a4…
04-12 17:17:19	will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0xef9d5b…
04-12 17:17:19	will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0xae5526…
04-12 17:17:19	will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x1e9fc3…
04-12 17:16:43	will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdc3294…
04-12 17:16:43	will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x7ae7fe…
04-12 17:16:43	will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x754cda…
04-12 07:40:05	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0x8b9b6a…
04-12 07:39:55	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x0d91ae…
04-12 07:33:43	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	463	9¢	$40	0x48e34a…
04-12 07:30:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x28bdc1…