Anxious-Burden — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.9%

Resolved

162

Trades

187

lifetime

Volume

$16.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$88

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 07-18 21:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

67% 94% $-122

Politics

24% 84% +$124

Crypto

4% 67% +$12

Sports

2% 100% +$10

Tech

2% 67% +$6

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trumps approval rating be less than 40pt5 on february 13 2026	3	$416	211	211	+0	No	+$3	02-14 06:43
will the bangladesh nationalist party finish with the second most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	2	$206	106	106	+0	No	+$6	02-13 23:29
will the bangladesh jamaat e islami bji win between 130 and 159 seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	2	$204	105	105	+0	No	+$4	02-14 06:43
will the bangladesh nationalist party bnp win the bangladesh parliamentary election by between 0 and 3 316	2	$203	103	103	+0	No	+$3	02-17 16:41
will mira cjl win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	2	$203	103	103	+0	No	+$3	03-19 20:58
Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	2	$203	103	103	+0	No	+$3	03-19 20:58
will turnout in the first round of the texas republican senate primary be below 2000000 voters 287	2	$202	103	103	+0	No	+$2	03-19 20:58
will project hail mary score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	2	$202	102	102	+0	Yes	+$2	03-19 20:59
will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	2	$200	105	105	+0	No	$-0	03-19 20:58
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$124	103	103	+0	No	$-76	02-13 14:54
will monthly inflation be between 2pt0 and 2pt2 in january	1	$116	119	0	+119	No	+$3	02-09 14:12
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	2	$113	108	108	+0	Under	+$13	07-09 21:40
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	2	$112	149	149	+0	England	$-88	07-18 21:39
north korea missile launch by february 14	1	$103	106	0	+106	No	+$3	02-13 23:28
andrew tate posts february 13 february 20 0 99	2	$101	136	0	+136	Yes	+$2	02-20 13:13
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$100	312	0	+312	England	$-100	07-11 20:02
nvda close above 175 on february 17 2026	1	$100	106	0	+106	Yes	+$6	02-17 15:51
will the median home value in miami be between 1130000 and 1160000 by march 1 823	1	$100	106	0	+106	Yes	+$6	02-28 13:47
will wuthering heights third weekend box office be between 6m and 7m	1	$100	106	0	+106	Yes	+$6	03-02 00:09
will starmer say mr speaker 15 times during the next prime ministers questions	1	$100	104	0	+104	Yes	+$4	02-17 11:48
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$100	215	0	+215	Argentina	+$115	07-15 18:42
will trumps approval rating be between 40pt5 and 40pt9 on february 20 2026	1	$100	104	0	+104	No	+$4	02-20 08:34
will ethereum dip to 1700 february 23 march 1	1	$100	103	0	+103	No	+$3	03-01 12:22
will noah wyle win best actor in a drama series at the 2026 sag awards	1	$100	103	0	+103	Yes	+$3	02-28 13:49
will kiss all the time disco occasionally harry styles debut week album sales be less than 300k	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	03-05 01:57
btc updown 15m 1770786000	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	02-11 05:14
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$100	127	0	+127	Yes	+$27	02-28 13:51
will avatar fire and ash win best special visual effects at the 2026 bafta awards	1	$100	102	0	+102	Yes	+$2	02-21 07:07
will severance win best ensemble in a drama series at the 2026 sag awards	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	02-28 13:49
snow quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 0pt27	1	$100	103	0	+103	Yes	+$3	02-25 21:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 21:39:01	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	SELL	149	8¢	$12	0x3688ad…
07-18 03:49:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	234	41¢	$96	0xf3711c…
07-18 03:48:27	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xeed4bc…
07-15 18:42:40	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	215	46¢	$100	0xcd32a7…
07-11 20:02:56	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x7fcb04…
07-09 21:40:13	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	108	59¢	$63	0x756729…
07-09 16:29:47	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	108	46¢	$50	0x0217b5…
03-19 20:59:29	will project hail mary score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	SELL	102	99¢	$102	0x2522b7…
03-19 20:58:49	will mira cjl win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x29c068…
03-19 20:58:41	Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xe93e98…
03-19 20:58:35	will turnout in the first round of the texas republican senate primary be below 2000000 voters 287	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0xa894ef…
03-19 20:58:13	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	No	SELL	105	95¢	$100	0xbda6c0…
03-12 21:29:19	will american girls harry styles be the 1 song on us spotify this week	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x92e1eb…
03-12 21:28:37	will iran be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 699	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x49a90a…
03-12 21:27:19	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 13	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x351bb3…
03-12 21:24:39	will trumps approval rating be between 41pt5 and 41pt9 on march 13 2026 792	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x0db275…
03-10 16:46:53	will mrbeasts next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 4	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc88023…
03-10 16:45:01	will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in february 798 981 162 343	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x8edfe6…
03-10 16:44:25	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt0 or less in february	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x8e7d39…
03-10 16:43:53	will trump say yemen or houthi during ohio visit 979 666	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x7f551b…
03-10 16:42:59	will trumps remarks not air 214 267 366 423 327	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xa6f555…
03-10 03:48:23	will bitcoin reach 71k on march 9	Yes	BUY	7,671	0¢	$10	0x8fa53b…
03-09 10:04:01	will solana reach 90 on march 9	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x657b90…
03-09 10:02:29	will jurassic world rebirth be the top us netflix movie this week	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xcc2f09…
03-09 01:11:21	will bitcoin reach 68500 on march 8	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x08a931…
03-08 10:12:59	will mrbeasts next video get between 46 and 50 million views on day 2	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x3daa9d…
03-08 10:09:15	will pump be the top performing crypto for the week of march 2	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xfd25b1…
03-08 10:08:13	will peaky blinders the immortal man score at least 85 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x8e89ca…
03-08 01:42:33	will bitcoin dip to 66000 on march 7	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xc8b677…
03-08 01:36:07	will cd win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xbe7320…
03-07 04:19:01	will trump post golf or golfer on truth social this week march 8	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x649f34…
03-07 04:17:59	2026 arnold palmer invitational presented by mastercard winner xander schauffele win	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x3dcde3…
03-07 04:16:49	will mira cjl win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xc1cfab…
03-07 04:15:25	will trump post kamala on truth social this week march 8	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x238a1f…
03-07 04:14:17	us seizes an iran linked oil tanker by march 7	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x67843e…
03-07 04:13:41	will smash into pieces win melodifestivalen 2026	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xeb836f…
03-05 20:58:53	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 8 be between 70 and 80	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x915def…
03-05 16:06:49	will bitcoin dip to 68000 on march 5	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x20e8b3…
03-05 01:57:59	will kiss all the time disco occasionally harry styles debut week album sales be less than 300k	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x8563e9…
03-05 01:56:43	vsco quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 05 2026 2pt48	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xb251fb…
03-04 13:24:05	will communist party of nepal uml win the second most seats in the nepal house of representatives election	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa17ea7…
03-04 13:23:35	will nepali congress nc win between 100 and 109 seats in nepals 2026 house of representatives election	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x152177…
03-04 13:22:59	will communist party of nepal unified marxistleninist cpn uml win between 50 and 59 seats in nepals 2026 house of representatives election	No	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0x51ac68…
03-03 02:17:41	andrew tate of tweets february 24 march 3 2026 160 189	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x4b73ee…
03-03 02:16:47	will there be between 14 and 17 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x68947b…
03-02 19:44:23	will any candidate win the texas republican senate primary outright	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xdc7820…
03-02 19:43:47	will the addams family be the 2 us netflix movie this week	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x90d278…
03-02 19:43:11	will turnout in the first round of the texas republican senate primary be below 2000000 voters 287	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x1f1dab…
03-02 19:42:45	Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x357a69…
03-02 19:42:17	will the addams family be the top global netflix movie this week	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x5b66f0…
03-02 19:41:45	nvda close above 185 on march 2 2026	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x2b28b4…
03-02 00:14:45	will jessica steinmann be the republican nominee for tx 08	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x06a4f1…
03-02 00:12:13	will the night agent season 3 be the 2 us netflix show this week 559	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x4dcc8a…
03-02 00:09:49	will wuthering heights third weekend box office be between 6m and 7m	Yes	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0xe69dbe…
03-01 21:10:05	will wuthering heights third weekend box office be between 7m and 8m	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xed7d4a…
03-01 16:56:13	will trumps remarks not air 772 434 811	No	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0xcb3620…
03-01 16:55:11	will donald trump endorse john cornyn for the texas republican senate primary by march 2 2026	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xe293dc…
03-01 12:23:43	will bitcoin dip to 62k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xf7d84b…
03-01 12:23:13	will cornyn flip paxton for texas rep senate primary winner by march 2	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x94e403…
03-01 12:22:39	will hyperliquid reach 33 feb 23mar 1	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd6bbe2…
03-01 12:22:11	will ethereum dip to 1700 february 23 march 1	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x3ba2ee…
03-01 12:21:31	will project hail mary score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xf450e0…
02-28 13:51:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x6a890b…
02-28 13:50:35	will trump say italy or italian this week march 1	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xf361bf…
02-28 13:49:59	will severance win best ensemble in a drama series at the 2026 sag awards	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xe493d8…
02-28 13:49:33	will noah wyle win best actor in a drama series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x1d6092…
02-28 13:48:03	will rhea seehorn win best actress in a drama series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x7b5750…
02-28 13:47:39	will the median home value in miami be between 1130000 and 1160000 by march 1 823	Yes	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x1400a1…
02-28 13:46:59	will donald trump say mtg on truth social this week	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x8a99e7…
02-28 13:43:39	will trump say whole dictionary this week march 1	No	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0xb2af34…
02-27 00:55:18	will antti paalanen win umk 2026	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xb03ac7…
02-27 00:54:06	will trump say low energy by february 28	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x492bb9…
02-27 00:52:40	will the silicon data h100 index sdh100rt hit 2pt50 high by february 28 2026	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xaad537…
02-27 00:50:18	will there be at least 2 nyt banner headlines by february 28	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xdedbfd…
02-25 21:10:40	will eric nam win the traitors us season 4	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x489bcb…
02-25 21:05:16	will rosamund li get engaged in bridgerton season 4	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xb2769c…
02-25 21:04:48	snow quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 0pt27	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xd89753…
02-25 21:04:20	will hillary say donor during her epstein testimony	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x3b5454…
02-25 12:22:48	will jackie pearcy lib dems finish third in the gorton and denton by election	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x6f90af…
02-25 12:22:12	nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x52674d…
02-23 09:48:36	will the 2026 state of the union have 45m or more viewers	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x146529…
02-23 09:46:08	will samuel a alito attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0x42c1d2…
02-21 07:07:20	will avatar fire and ash win best special visual effects at the 2026 bafta awards	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xf02d43…
02-21 07:06:46	will trump say sick person this week february 22	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x918b0f…
02-21 04:05:54	will frankenstein win best make up hair at the 2026 bafta awards	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xc79cff…
02-21 04:05:28	will trump say whats up this week february 22	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x4306a1…
02-21 01:50:36	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 2026 bafta awards	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x14c123…
02-21 01:49:36	will trump say hottest nation this week february 22	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x4d81fa…
02-21 01:48:32	2026 the genesis invitational winner matt fitzpatrick win	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xe45d3a…
02-21 01:43:22	will trump say guthrie this week february 22	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x111d41…
02-21 01:42:22	will warfare win best sound at the 2026 bafta awards	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x62cee1…
02-21 01:41:34	will the ballad of wallis island win best adapted screenplay at the 2026 bafta awards	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xcf06a0…
02-21 01:40:50	will jacob elordi win best supporting actor at the 2026 bafta awards	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xe347c9…
02-21 01:40:18	2026 the genesis invitational winner min woo lee win	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x5ca706…
02-21 01:39:40	will sentimental value win best film at the 2026 bafta awards	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x3857fa…
02-21 01:37:58	will ethan hawke win best actor at the 2026 bafta awards	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x442e63…
02-21 01:36:40	will sinners win best film at the 2026 bafta awards	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x69bfe3…
02-20 21:42:30	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 21	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x42e867…
02-20 15:26:06	will googl close between 300 and 305 week february 20 2026	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x22bf52…
02-20 14:38:32	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x1dcdd7…