Uncommon-Comment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$200

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved

Trades

151

lifetime

Volume

$6.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-11 00:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

66% 50% +$195

Politics

24% 50% +$0

Crypto

10% 50% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	12	$1.5K	1,524	1,824	-300	Up	+$196	05-11 02:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	5	$962	500	500	+0	No	+$1	05-10 03:35
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	9	$620	800	800	+0	Down	$-4	05-04 02:57
spx up or down on june 9 2026	8	$436	400	400	-0	open	—	06-09 00:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$382	200	200	+0	No	$-0	05-07 21:24
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	2	$367	800	800	+0	open	—	05-01 01:53
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	3	$340	400	400	+0	Down	+$4	05-04 00:24
spx up or down on june 11 2026	6	$232	400	0	+400	open	—	06-11 00:15
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on April 28?	5	$209	394	0	+394	open	—	04-28 03:05
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	7	$198	111	111	+0	open	—	04-27 22:18
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	15	$196	170	170	+0	Up	$-2	05-07 22:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	11	$189	1,350	1,350	+0	open	—	04-28 01:40
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	2	$151	176	176	+0	open	—	05-19 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$106	128	128	+0	open	—	05-30 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$80	157	0	+157	open	—	05-02 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$41	38	38	+0	open	—	05-16 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	05-16 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$40	91	0	+91	open	—	05-02 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$40	73	0	+73	open	—	05-01 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$30	21	21	+0	open	—	04-30 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	Up	+$9	05-07 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	04-30 05:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$23	23	22	+1	open	—	04-27 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$20	56	0	+56	open	—	05-02 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$20	37	0	+37	open	—	04-27 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$12	12	12	+0	open	—	05-17 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-28 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-18 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-16 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-27 22:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 00:15:07	spx up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	150	58¢	$87	0xdaf78e…
06-11 00:15:07	spx up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	81	58¢	$47	0x314bf8…
06-11 00:15:06	spx up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf2f208…
06-11 00:15:06	spx up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x900d18…
06-11 00:15:06	spx up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	150	58¢	$87	0x4e5156…
06-11 00:15:06	spx up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0bbae4…
06-09 00:52:22	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Down	SELL	76	55¢	$42	0xa307cd…
06-09 00:52:19	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xb82755…
06-09 00:52:19	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Down	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xa33443…
06-09 00:52:19	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x9b698d…
06-09 00:52:19	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Down	SELL	150	55¢	$82	0x1bfab1…
06-09 00:52:19	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Down	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x02798b…
06-09 00:52:18	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Down	SELL	150	55¢	$82	0x7cabe6…
06-09 00:46:28	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	400	54¢	$216	0x37c64f…
05-30 02:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	128	44¢	$56	0x621ea8…
05-30 02:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0xa59c74…
05-28 21:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x39cf44…
05-28 21:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5a9bc8…
05-19 01:30:33	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	176	43¢	$76	0xb5babe…
05-19 01:29:37	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	176	43¢	$76	0x9dc0ca…
05-18 20:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x05ff05…
05-18 20:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb8c58e…
05-17 21:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0xd3b352…
05-17 20:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd1f081…
05-17 20:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xfed2ce…
05-16 05:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x65f870…
05-16 05:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcf6570…
05-16 04:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	40	51¢	$20	0xec4d06…
05-16 04:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x43e8c6…
05-16 04:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xc9db36…
05-16 04:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x2619b0…
05-16 03:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9ee586…
05-16 01:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe70f6f…
05-16 01:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	38	54¢	$21	0x07ee53…
05-16 00:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x82bcd1…
05-16 00:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb33ac7…
05-16 00:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xac7ece…
05-14 22:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa2cde2…
05-11 02:30:56	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	224	44¢	$98	0x73689d…
05-11 01:29:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	224	39¢	$87	0xb80077…
05-11 01:18:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	600	60¢	$360	0xf93864…
05-11 01:18:19	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	1,000	37¢	$365	0xa8a812…
05-11 00:54:04	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x1f48db…
05-11 00:53:00	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0xf680d6…
05-11 00:53:00	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x088b12…
05-11 00:52:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	121	38¢	$46	0xcdcf94…
05-11 00:52:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x7dbb5d…
05-11 00:52:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	179	38¢	$68	0x383160…
05-11 00:32:43	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	48	55¢	$26	0xe696cc…
05-11 00:31:09	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	252	55¢	$139	0x683f82…
05-10 04:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x94fb34…
05-10 04:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc81c2f…
05-10 03:35:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	500	96¢	$481	0xffa339…
05-10 03:13:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	110	96¢	$106	0x37dbfb…
05-10 02:51:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xc7e036…
05-10 02:48:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xa3b16d…
05-10 02:47:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	138	96¢	$133	0xd1bbc7…
05-07 22:17:33	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xac7225…
05-07 22:16:32	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x22b017…
05-07 22:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x264235…
05-07 22:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xfb4e8d…
05-07 22:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x87030b…
05-07 22:02:32	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	166	57¢	$95	0xfa387b…
05-07 22:01:17	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7d84cc…
05-07 22:01:17	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x771c1e…
05-07 22:01:17	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x12fa5e…
05-07 22:01:17	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x034d1c…
05-07 22:01:13	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc0c821…
05-07 22:01:13	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xbf185e…
05-07 22:01:13	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7b6bfd…
05-07 22:01:13	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	31	58¢	$18	0x70ca7f…
05-07 22:01:13	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x366b98…
05-07 22:01:13	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x35a897…
05-07 22:01:13	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x1b83d6…
05-07 22:01:12	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x93514d…
05-07 21:24:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$191	0xb137de…
05-07 21:23:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x698a83…
05-04 02:57:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	380	36¢	$137	0x67e69f…
05-04 02:57:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x98751e…
05-04 02:56:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x0430f7…
05-04 02:54:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xe46888…
05-04 02:54:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	250	36¢	$90	0xeebf38…
05-04 02:54:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	148	36¢	$53	0x06117b…
05-04 00:24:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	400	41¢	$164	0x88570a…
05-04 00:24:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	400	43¢	$172	0x81f6cd…
05-04 00:15:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x974c63…
05-04 00:15:28	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x8b2b0c…
05-04 00:15:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	150	42¢	$63	0xd51c12…
05-04 00:15:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	250	42¢	$105	0x534b6c…
05-03 03:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x7aac97…
05-03 03:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x6666b6…
05-03 03:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x1170a5…
05-03 03:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x4640c2…
05-03 02:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xeb0062…
05-03 02:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd665ec…
05-03 02:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3e434c…
05-03 02:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x0b50ad…
05-02 19:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	157	51¢	$80	0xd84827…
05-02 19:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0xbd143b…
05-02 19:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x8a0366…