White-Gunpowder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

86.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$125

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$40

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-14 14:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

100% 88% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on May 14?	No	+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	05-14 14:41
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	No	+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	05-14 11:14
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+10	$10	99¢	$10	+$0	05-14 14:41
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	No	+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	05-14 10:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 14:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8727c6…
05-14 14:41:16	Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa91f0f…
05-14 11:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9f4f21…
05-14 10:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0f33a…
05-13 22:48:39	Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x81e633…
05-13 20:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 13?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x45aa17…
05-13 10:04:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 13?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x97d0f4…
05-12 20:55:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 12?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc52a81…
05-12 01:48:06	Will "Man on Fire" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xda9608…
05-12 00:07:04	Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdd5a2d…
05-11 21:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd80175…
05-11 15:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 11?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x46d7df…
05-10 14:15:47	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 10?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcaf2da…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 11?	1	$10	0	10	-10	No	$-0	05-11 15:39
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 10:19
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 11:14
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 12?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-12 20:55
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on May 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 14:41
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 13?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-13 10:04
Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-12 00:07
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 13?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-13 20:54
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 11?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-11 21:33
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-13 22:48
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 14:41
Will "Man on Fire" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-12 01:48
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 10?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-10 14:15