Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?
open
Total volume
$130
$104 in 24h
Trades
27
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$165
Latest YES mid
47¢
Latest NO mid
53¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 03:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $39 | $68 | $28 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Median | 7 | $8 | $9 | $1 |
| Below median | 7 | $1 | $44 | $43 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $19 | $4 | +$15 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| unranked | 2 | $1 | $5 | $4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Immense-Hacienda 0xfe3b…ae48 | No | +37 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 01:16 |
| Fluffy-Tenement 0x4ec1…07a5 | No | +26 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-13 03:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | +24 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 18:12 |
| Foolhardy-Direction 0x515c…7587 | No | +22 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-12 18:12 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | +11 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 18:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x936a…f6ce | Yes | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 09:27 |
| Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | Yes | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 01:11 |
| Illustrious-Oxford 0x558b…f41b | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 23:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x7903…57f6 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 01:41 |
| Torn-Vane-Milkshake 0xfddf…1686 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 01:27 |
| Crazy-Sock 0x45a4…de86 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 00:20 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | Yes | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 23:55 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 01:27 |
| Stormy-Zephyr 0xc878…a6f3 | Yes | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 02:32 |
| Humongous-Spring 0x53dd…283c | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 03:16 |
| Unripe-Tsunami 0xc63e…7d18 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 02:37 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 05:15 |
| Mortified-Sigh 0xa7f4…ec06 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 17:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x589b…0381 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 18:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 18:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xf5d7…d5b2 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 18:12 |
| Candid-Mixture 0x478e…a576 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 23:56 |
| Juvenile-Income 0xf600…81a9 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 05:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 03:41:09 | Fluffy-Tenement 0x4ec1…07a5 | No | BUY | 26 | 48¢ | $13 | 0xfe4458… |
| 05-13 03:16:23 | Humongous-Spring 0x53dd…283c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x771259… |
| 05-13 02:37:46 | Unripe-Tsunami 0xc63e…7d18 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0x3d55ad… |
| 05-13 02:32:08 | Stormy-Zephyr 0xc878…a6f3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 45¢ | $3 | 0xde9c05… |
| 05-13 02:27:25 | Flamboyant-Pen 0xe116…96c2 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 43¢ | $4 | 0xf90d5f… |
| 05-13 01:41:02 | (anonymous) 0x7903…57f6 | No | BUY | 9 | 57¢ | $5 | 0x662ac6… |
| 05-13 01:27:44 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | BUY | 8 | 55¢ | $4 | 0x6cf29c… |
| 05-13 01:27:42 | Torn-Vane-Milkshake 0xfddf…1686 | No | BUY | 9 | 55¢ | $5 | 0xe3ab0b… |
| 05-13 01:16:50 | Immense-Hacienda 0xfe3b…ae48 | No | BUY | 37 | 54¢ | $20 | 0x484e5a… |
| 05-13 01:11:17 | Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 45¢ | $4 | 0x2fae02… |
| 05-13 00:20:43 | Crazy-Sock 0x45a4…de86 | No | BUY | 9 | 56¢ | $5 | 0xef2c13… |
| 05-12 23:56:02 | Candid-Mixture 0x478e…a576 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 44¢ | $1 | 0xcb63a2… |
| 05-12 23:55:50 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | Yes | BUY | 9 | 44¢ | $4 | 0x43789f… |
| 05-12 23:55:50 | Illustrious-Oxford 0x558b…f41b | No | BUY | 9 | 57¢ | $5 | 0x7db870… |
| 05-12 18:12:27 | (anonymous) 0xf5d7…d5b2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x715605… |
| 05-12 18:12:27 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x0417ba… |
| 05-12 18:12:25 | (anonymous) 0x589b…0381 | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x92c560… |
| 05-12 18:12:24 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 41¢ | $10 | 0x9567aa… |
| 05-12 18:12:22 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 41¢ | $4 | 0x9f39ad… |
| 05-12 18:12:20 | Foolhardy-Direction 0x515c…7587 | No | BUY | 22 | 61¢ | $14 | 0xcd085e… |
| 05-12 17:11:38 | Mortified-Sigh 0xa7f4…ec06 | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x5ec816… |
| 05-12 09:27:27 | (anonymous) 0x936a…f6ce | Yes | BUY | 9 | 47¢ | $4 | 0x232fc6… |
| 05-12 07:46:22 | Classic-Colony 0x42fb…351a | No | SELL | 11 | 52¢ | $6 | 0x90e735… |
| 05-12 05:44:41 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x09cc6c… |
| 05-12 05:44:41 | Juvenile-Income 0xf600…81a9 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x0de6c8… |
| 05-12 05:29:36 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x06e06f… |
| 05-12 05:15:53 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xc69fc9… |