Noxious-Igloo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

299

Trades

299

lifetime

Volume

$3.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-12 08:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 241 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 13:06
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:11
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-11 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 09:07
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 15:10
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:15
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:54
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 08:49
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 03:09
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 08:48
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:32
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 05:54
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:37
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-03 12:34
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 08:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:23
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:18
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:57
highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 13c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-06 15:16
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-05 09:00
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 24c	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-03 15:11
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 02:32
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 14:48
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:35
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:42
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:41
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 08:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe10c56…
11-11 16:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x825fc0…
11-10 07:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2f3378…
11-08 14:27:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x78705f…
11-07 11:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x31e3de…
11-06 06:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3391ba…
11-03 16:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ca73a…
11-02 14:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaeac62…
11-01 13:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2726b7…
10-31 15:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x77ab93…
10-30 14:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71529d…
10-29 17:48:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22b7a5…
10-29 09:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5246f8…
10-28 07:50:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9bacd3…
10-27 09:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12404d…
10-26 09:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b87f8…
10-24 11:44:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d235f…
10-22 10:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1edf4…
10-20 07:38:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x655faa…
10-19 09:20:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0893cd…
10-18 10:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd18053…
10-17 15:24:35	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e3129…
10-16 09:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x436aeb…
10-15 13:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae4915…
10-14 09:41:32	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1943ef…
10-13 09:19:53	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98ea6c…
10-12 09:29:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x062230…
10-11 09:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39e6d8…
10-08 12:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x599e13…
10-07 15:26:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0c5b8…
10-06 08:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35dd35…
10-05 02:00:50	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4531b…
10-03 08:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d4c0e…
10-02 11:44:53	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34cd6c…
10-01 08:29:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8c8d19…
09-30 12:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x560ed8…
09-29 16:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58c4e1…
09-28 09:54:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe4f0c…
09-27 08:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d0bf2…
09-25 16:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9fd8e…
09-24 08:39:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21c635…
09-23 08:27:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3df766…
09-22 08:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf551a…
09-21 09:30:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb93828…
09-20 05:51:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xabfe9e…
09-19 08:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7431cf…
09-18 07:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76c498…
09-17 04:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xefaf7a…
09-16 08:27:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6ac15…
09-15 10:16:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c1afb…
09-14 09:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcdc603…
09-13 01:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe60a03…
09-11 07:23:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d0360…
09-10 08:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf852d1…
09-09 12:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18c825…
09-08 15:46:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6a3e4…
09-08 06:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x462eb7…
09-07 08:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d36e6…
09-06 16:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe4c45…
09-06 10:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8aa098…
09-05 01:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x836991…
09-03 16:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x308083…
09-02 07:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x376a0f…
08-30 09:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe123b5…
08-29 09:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb121a4…
08-28 08:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e8ace…
08-27 08:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49aca0…
08-26 08:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x376b9e…
08-25 09:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd23ed6…
08-24 13:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaae214…
08-23 14:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd010e4…
08-22 08:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7742d…
08-21 07:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad3156…
08-20 09:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x013a06…
08-18 08:22:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa86218…
08-17 08:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x388a36…
08-16 14:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ddccc…
08-15 10:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x431ebe…
08-14 06:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c0c86…
08-13 08:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a5dac…
08-12 08:00:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x55b001…
08-11 06:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7deac1…
08-10 08:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe390c1…
08-09 02:14:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc2a62…
08-08 07:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x166e5b…
08-07 07:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d54d3…
08-06 06:48:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63c8b4…
08-05 08:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc379c…
08-04 08:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f4dee…
08-03 07:40:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7fdef1…
08-02 06:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb230e3…
08-01 07:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x092961…
07-31 13:07:44	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x945232…
07-30 07:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4fd3e4…
07-29 07:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf24da…
07-28 07:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa68364…
07-27 08:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8c11b…
07-26 07:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83dc4a…
07-25 08:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d1b6e…
07-24 10:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x064891…