Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?
open
Total volume
$1,197
$26,195 in 24h
Trades
66
Unique wallets
60
Liquidity
$10,939
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-04
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 05:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 60 | $3 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 11 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 42 | $0 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | +833 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-05 03:22 |
| Energetic-Embarrassment 0x0884…f352 | No | +184 | $184 | $184 | 1 | 05-05 02:10 |
| Superior-Perfection 0x3ba6…7917 | No | +107 | $106 | $106 | 1 | 05-05 02:10 |
| Fatal-Plate 0xd3ce…618d | No | +38 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 05-04 22:04 |
| Far-Flung-Influence 0x2c03…9ace | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-05 02:09 |
| Hoarse-Guitarist 0x6883…5bcc | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 02:35 |
| Careless-Structure 0x2b4c…5d43 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 02:35 |
| Front-Patriarch 0xd676…9193 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 02:35 |
| Every-Pack 0xea74…c9a2 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 02:35 |
| Raw-Goddess 0xf4d5…f8b6 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 02:35 |
| Blushing-Dolphin 0xaeeb…8fdc | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 02:35 |
| Burly-Bit 0xd7c9…3a76 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 02:35 |
| Far-Off-Membership 0x819d…bc75 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 02:35 |
| Needy-Crew 0x3069…63f2 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 02:34 |
| Cautious-Tax 0x7692…3426 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 02:35 |
| Revolving-Bouquet 0x4a99…3993 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 02:35 |
| Limping-Sculpture 0x6a02…31af | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 02:34 |
| Untidy-Temptress 0x35e0…0c4e | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 02:40 |
| Previous-Shoehorn 0x27fa…2a81 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 02:39 |
| Needy-Oncology 0xcd19…20dd | No | +24 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-05 02:39 |
| Our-Mangle 0xca97…9ba5 | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-05 02:39 |
| Ringed-Canteen 0xf871…d17f | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-05 02:39 |
| Fuzzy-Track 0xf6be…35d1 | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-05 02:39 |
| Grizzled-Devastation 0x3ef6…13e0 | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-05 02:39 |
| Antique-Locker 0xee4d…d205 | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-05 02:39 |
| Alarming-Priority 0xaa48…82c2 | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-05 02:39 |
| Humble-Turban 0xd436…08f2 | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-05 02:40 |
| Intrepid-Metabolite 0x43b6…0002 | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-05 02:39 |
| Well-Off-Hostel 0x650c…98a0 | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-05 02:40 |
| Honest-Favorite 0x9484…9dc8 | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-05 02:40 |
| Sticky-Detector 0x08a9…19a2 | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-05 02:40 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 21:04 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +17 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-04 21:04 |
| Left-Village 0x5937…ae8d | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-04 21:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 05:05:32 | Sinful-Going 0x1f35…fcdb | No | SELL | 34 | 100¢ | $34 | 0x217ee7… |
| 05-05 03:40:24 | Unfinished-Diary 0x784a…06c3 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x1bde6f… |
| 05-05 03:22:38 | Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9677ee… |
| 05-05 02:40:16 | Well-Off-Hostel 0x650c…98a0 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x7627fe… |
| 05-05 02:40:14 | Qualified-Trash 0x3c96…d3b3 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xc2ca46… |
| 05-05 02:40:12 | Respectful-Paddle 0xcae8…9cf2 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xe4eeb3… |
| 05-05 02:40:08 | Untidy-Temptress 0x35e0…0c4e | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x93477c… |
| 05-05 02:40:06 | Honest-Favorite 0x9484…9dc8 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xf2cd6f… |
| 05-05 02:40:02 | Humble-Turban 0xd436…08f2 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xa99c86… |
| 05-05 02:40:00 | Sticky-Detector 0x08a9…19a2 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x730e81… |
| 05-05 02:39:58 | Ringed-Canteen 0xf871…d17f | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xf32c34… |
| 05-05 02:39:54 | Monumental-Zephyr 0xde38…a297 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xfd7ab7… |
| 05-05 02:39:52 | Previous-Shoehorn 0x27fa…2a81 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x81a1c1… |
| 05-05 02:39:50 | Alarming-Priority 0xaa48…82c2 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x5b1028… |
| 05-05 02:39:46 | Fuzzy-Track 0xf6be…35d1 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xa59f72… |
| 05-05 02:39:44 | Grizzled-Devastation 0x3ef6…13e0 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xfb549f… |
| 05-05 02:39:42 | Antique-Locker 0xee4d…d205 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x1b335c… |
| 05-05 02:39:38 | Our-Mangle 0xca97…9ba5 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x6ebe45… |
| 05-05 02:39:36 | Needy-Oncology 0xcd19…20dd | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x5f4fb9… |
| 05-05 02:39:34 | Insubstantial-Guinea 0x254c…fe46 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x77717b… |
| 05-05 02:39:30 | Intrepid-Metabolite 0x43b6…0002 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xc76800… |
| 05-05 02:35:30 | Hoarse-Guitarist 0x6883…5bcc | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x9bf914… |
| 05-05 02:35:28 | Careless-Structure 0x2b4c…5d43 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xb75970… |
| 05-05 02:35:26 | Raw-Goddess 0xf4d5…f8b6 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x950e9c… |
| 05-05 02:35:22 | Every-Pack 0xea74…c9a2 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xbbd2cd… |
| 05-05 02:35:20 | Blushing-Dolphin 0xaeeb…8fdc | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xa48098… |
| 05-05 02:35:18 | Burly-Bit 0xd7c9…3a76 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x91c0fd… |
| 05-05 02:35:14 | Far-Off-Membership 0x819d…bc75 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x83c7b7… |
| 05-05 02:35:12 | High-Voter 0x0ced…69f4 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xaa491a… |
| 05-05 02:35:10 | Front-Patriarch 0xd676…9193 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xd0826c… |
| 05-05 02:35:06 | Revolving-Bouquet 0x4a99…3993 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x780f6e… |
| 05-05 02:35:02 | Cautious-Tax 0x7692…3426 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x003f56… |
| 05-05 02:34:58 | Limping-Sculpture 0x6a02…31af | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x566dd9… |
| 05-05 02:34:56 | Needy-Crew 0x3069…63f2 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x56298d… |
| 05-05 02:10:24 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde9348… |
| 05-05 02:10:24 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6636c3… |
| 05-05 02:10:24 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xed5d5f… |
| 05-05 02:10:24 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7bf531… |
| 05-05 02:10:24 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbafb80… |
| 05-05 02:10:24 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x041242… |
| 05-05 02:10:24 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x34566e… |
| 05-05 02:10:24 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbede15… |
| 05-05 02:10:24 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5675b9… |
| 05-05 02:10:24 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2d8c22… |
| 05-05 02:10:24 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1e1617… |
| 05-05 02:10:24 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xca06e1… |
| 05-05 02:10:24 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdb4e4e… |
| 05-05 02:10:14 | Superior-Perfection 0x3ba6…7917 | No | BUY | 107 | 100¢ | $106 | 0x61e82b… |
| 05-05 02:10:00 | Energetic-Embarrassment 0x0884…f352 | No | BUY | 184 | 100¢ | $184 | 0x80eaa3… |
| 05-05 02:09:54 | Far-Flung-Influence 0x2c03…9ace | No | BUY | 35 | 100¢ | $35 | 0xa157ae… |
| 05-05 01:50:04 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfdb089… |
| 05-05 01:50:02 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3ee6b8… |
| 05-05 01:20:10 | Whopping-Chalice 0xd4d1…1733 | Yes | BUY | 333 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x6fe8ea… |
| 05-05 00:39:42 | Pleasant-Blind 0x6191…9e5e | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x7a8055… |
| 05-04 23:14:46 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x793199… |
| 05-04 22:24:40 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd1dd96… |
| 05-04 22:24:40 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x454f8d… |
| 05-04 22:04:52 | Trustworthy-Beret 0xad42…c918 | No | SELL | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x7d0750… |
| 05-04 22:04:52 | Fatal-Plate 0xd3ce…618d | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xa823e3… |
| 05-04 22:04:44 | Fatal-Plate 0xd3ce…618d | No | BUY | 28 | 99¢ | $27 | 0x0f8f8a… |
| 05-04 22:04:40 | Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x73843c… |
| 05-04 22:04:36 | Sinful-Going 0x1f35…fcdb | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xd05290… |
| 05-04 21:04:36 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xdcf219… |
| 05-04 21:04:24 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd9f33b… |
| 05-04 21:04:24 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd818b8… |
| 05-04 21:04:24 | Left-Village 0x5937…ae8d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x37b93a… |