Honest-Favorite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

288

Trades

289

lifetime

Volume

$3.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-06 06:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 235 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No		+8	$8	100¢	$8	+$0	11-06 06:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 13:14
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 07:16
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-11 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 09:10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:11
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 8?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 10:39
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C or below on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 03:47
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 11:48
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 42-43°F on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 03:13
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 08:53
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 11:36
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:40
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-03 13:32
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-04 09:28
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 08:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:26
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:21
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 07:00
highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 7c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 15:13
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 13c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:07
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 24c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 15:13
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 22corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 04:37
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 14:50
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:37
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:53
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:44
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:26
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 78 79f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 06:25:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1cb218…
11-03 16:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe16117…
11-02 14:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b0d08…
11-01 10:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x160b51…
10-31 15:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a9fc9…
10-30 14:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a3ed3…
10-29 17:45:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf5d48…
10-29 09:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2392b…
10-28 07:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4eb82…
10-27 08:28:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb699e5…
10-26 09:21:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb2474e…
10-24 11:41:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4a9e3…
10-22 10:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54ccd6…
10-20 07:36:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf753d…
10-19 09:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x77a096…
10-18 09:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09c73f…
10-17 15:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69dc92…
10-16 09:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d8e36…
10-15 09:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb34b49…
10-14 09:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00f673…
10-13 09:17:02	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e5807…
10-12 09:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64a05b…
10-11 08:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7e525…
10-08 09:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e47ed…
10-07 15:23:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88f30f…
10-06 08:40:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3b0df…
10-05 01:58:05	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73332e…
10-03 08:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbecc48…
10-02 11:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x397481…
10-01 08:26:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb2512…
09-30 12:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x696019…
09-29 15:54:32	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6bd6a…
09-28 09:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61670e…
09-27 08:50:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b756a…
09-25 16:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdecedf…
09-24 08:33:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84f6e5…
09-23 07:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7fc83…
09-22 08:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf60dc8…
09-21 09:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc31a0…
09-20 05:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6bc610…
09-19 08:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb58f0…
09-18 06:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83ce59…
09-17 04:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3922f3…
09-16 08:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32e63b…
09-15 09:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf8912…
09-14 08:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea234b…
09-12 16:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x983e5a…
09-11 07:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x77c944…
09-10 08:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf1b91…
09-09 09:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6297d8…
09-08 15:39:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c2e80…
09-08 06:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1aac1…
09-07 08:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x406ead…
09-06 17:37:55	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53d0d7…
09-06 09:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x323b46…
09-05 01:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6debb5…
09-03 16:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f5b6f…
09-02 07:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x934078…
08-30 09:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb2e06…
08-29 09:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1226c6…
08-28 08:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd02da0…
08-27 08:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41affd…
08-26 08:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ed27d…
08-25 09:19:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7980a8…
08-24 13:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd34a51…
08-23 14:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xafb4e3…
08-22 08:49:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb6243…
08-21 07:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3cc05…
08-20 08:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83aa50…
08-19 11:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25b842…
08-18 08:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f9aa5…
08-17 07:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd85229…
08-16 11:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe0e623…
08-15 09:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d88a6…
08-14 06:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7764c…
08-13 08:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x973b5c…
08-12 07:57:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88b7ca…
08-11 06:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b01fd…
08-10 07:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8aa356…
08-09 01:26:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbfc3b3…
08-08 07:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xffc8a2…
08-07 01:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1afb3e…
08-06 06:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc78745…
08-05 07:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe47cf6…
08-04 08:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9dcbab…
08-03 07:37:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb19b3…
08-02 02:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4438cb…
08-01 07:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f95d8…
07-31 13:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ae5a9…
07-30 06:57:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaeca56…
07-29 07:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec9c9b…
07-28 06:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd860b…
07-27 08:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x863edc…
07-26 07:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb9a84…
07-25 08:14:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69326f…
07-24 10:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x235b29…
07-23 08:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x167628…
07-22 02:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4320cf…
07-21 09:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x357ff2…
07-21 00:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x675fef…