Front-Patriarch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

295

Trades

296

lifetime

Volume

$3.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-10 09:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 236 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on November 10?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	$0	11-10 09:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 05:33
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 10:08
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 08:18
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 06:47
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:33
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 10:41
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 01:43
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 15:21
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 04:57
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 11:26
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 05:50
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:35
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 12:27
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 15:33
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 04:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:20
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:15
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:54
highest temperature in seoul on april 6 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:44
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:54
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 25corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 15:06
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 02:29
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 14:42
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 09:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on November 10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x240d03…
11-08 14:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x10b7c2…
11-07 11:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x035f64…
11-06 06:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbbb11d…
11-03 16:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2fa043…
11-01 17:12:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C or below on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3c7e13…
10-31 15:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x00bac3…
10-30 14:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5ca7c4…
10-29 17:51:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x349062…
10-29 09:27:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9315ed…
10-28 07:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9fdd86…
10-27 09:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0fd025…
10-26 09:32:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x495c43…
10-24 11:47:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdadd14…
10-22 10:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbebf07…
10-20 07:41:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd51603…
10-19 09:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4ea042…
10-18 10:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x07b810…
10-17 15:27:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x3a5719…
10-16 10:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x301c31…
10-15 09:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb156b…
10-14 09:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71a95c…
10-13 09:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x74854d…
10-12 09:32:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ec575…
10-11 09:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5b86e…
10-08 12:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa0382…
10-07 15:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x707c1c…
10-06 15:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbbc216…
10-05 06:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdbeda7…
10-03 08:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22cfa6…
10-02 13:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b4d7a…
10-01 08:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b2e78…
09-30 02:42:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C or below on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7563e…
09-28 09:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd1778…
09-27 09:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e4cb0…
09-25 16:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfbd5a9…
09-24 08:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x615ee1…
09-23 08:48:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x62c570…
09-22 08:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb497dd…
09-21 09:32:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb757d2…
09-20 05:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeeecfd…
09-19 08:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54175b…
09-18 07:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac84f5…
09-17 04:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9e1f0…
09-16 08:54:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x232c58…
09-15 10:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63f19e…
09-14 09:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfef1e2…
09-13 02:50:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9682c…
09-11 07:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x301d3c…
09-10 08:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb51c46…
09-09 12:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x5b42a7…
09-08 15:48:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed11f8…
09-08 06:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe01879…
09-07 08:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf4d19…
09-06 16:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7dbdf6…
09-06 10:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95fa47…
09-05 01:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe463ec…
09-04 00:59:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14627e…
09-02 07:53:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41b5d1…
08-30 09:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd500f…
08-29 09:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79fe60…
08-28 08:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac69c1…
08-27 09:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63c08a…
08-26 08:44:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d1f3c…
08-25 09:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd164e4…
08-24 14:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa3e08f…
08-23 15:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa400d9…
08-22 09:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb83fa…
08-21 07:52:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x326c6c…
08-20 09:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4af04d…
08-18 08:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x833ccb…
08-17 08:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ef59c…
08-16 14:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x247e70…
08-15 10:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaeb1b6…
08-14 06:56:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7297c7…
08-13 08:56:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcda036…
08-12 08:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d0d9e…
08-11 07:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9f1d5…
08-10 08:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5added…
08-09 06:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb908c9…
08-08 07:41:01	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1600b8…
08-07 07:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9916e3…
08-06 06:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f6303…
08-05 08:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08e133…
08-04 08:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x051735…
08-03 07:43:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c3fce…
08-02 06:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e5ebe…
08-01 07:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc9136…
07-31 13:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78a851…
07-30 07:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1c521…
07-29 07:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7196f…
07-28 07:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf73024…
07-27 08:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9b885…
07-26 07:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x904925…
07-25 08:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59d338…
07-24 13:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05d27a…
07-23 08:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ed578…
07-22 02:09:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52b258…
07-21 09:19:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff6935…
07-21 00:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x279eaa…