Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 5?
open
Total volume
$533
$1,851 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$291
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-05
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 11:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $2 | $471 | $469 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $26 | $26 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $8 | $8 |
| Median | 3 | $2 | $6 | $4 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $150 | $150 |
| unranked | 15 | — | $280 | $280 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Digital-Dungeon 0xd24b…187d | No | +166 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-05 06:00 |
| Fatherly-Novel 0xdbe1…608d | No | +46 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 05-05 10:31 |
| Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | +36 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-05 00:54 |
| Careless-Structure 0x2b4c…5d43 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 11:26 |
| Every-Pack 0xea74…c9a2 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 11:26 |
| Front-Patriarch 0xd676…9193 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 11:26 |
| Burly-Bit 0xd7c9…3a76 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 11:26 |
| Blushing-Dolphin 0xaeeb…8fdc | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 11:26 |
| Raw-Goddess 0xf4d5…f8b6 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 11:26 |
| Far-Off-Membership 0x819d…bc75 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 11:26 |
| Revolving-Bouquet 0x4a99…3993 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 11:26 |
| High-Voter 0x0ced…69f4 | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-05 11:26 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 07:00 |
| Snappy-County 0x67e2…be4b | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 06:00 |
| Useless-Adaptation 0x3970…f56b | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-05 07:05 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-05 07:04 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 04:30 |
| Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 00:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 11:26:40 | Careless-Structure 0x2b4c…5d43 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x6a8136… |
| 05-05 11:26:38 | Raw-Goddess 0xf4d5…f8b6 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xb60378… |
| 05-05 11:26:36 | Every-Pack 0xea74…c9a2 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x3c4371… |
| 05-05 11:26:32 | Blushing-Dolphin 0xaeeb…8fdc | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x29e442… |
| 05-05 11:26:30 | Burly-Bit 0xd7c9…3a76 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xc5d9d1… |
| 05-05 11:26:28 | Far-Off-Membership 0x819d…bc75 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x7b75ac… |
| 05-05 11:26:24 | High-Voter 0x0ced…69f4 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x635b6d… |
| 05-05 11:26:22 | Front-Patriarch 0xd676…9193 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x42d6c7… |
| 05-05 11:26:20 | Revolving-Bouquet 0x4a99…3993 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xd450e8… |
| 05-05 10:31:20 | Fatherly-Novel 0xdbe1…608d | No | BUY | 46 | 100¢ | $46 | 0x00a1bc… |
| 05-05 08:10:18 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd8ead… |
| 05-05 07:25:20 | Fitting-Sweatsuit 0xa729…728b | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xc70aa6… |
| 05-05 07:05:48 | Useless-Adaptation 0x3970…f56b | No | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $11 | 0x3a9595… |
| 05-05 07:04:54 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xc8c9d2… |
| 05-05 07:00:02 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xea46ad… |
| 05-05 06:00:50 | (anonymous) 0x7e03…f879 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x7bd46b… |
| 05-05 06:00:48 | Digital-Dungeon 0xd24b…187d | No | BUY | 166 | 91¢ | $150 | 0x3979de… |
| 05-05 06:00:40 | Snappy-County 0x67e2…be4b | No | BUY | 13 | 78¢ | $10 | 0x256f00… |
| 05-05 05:49:56 | Accomplished-Essay 0x5235…43a8 | No | SELL | 67 | 62¢ | $42 | 0x832ab9… |
| 05-05 04:30:06 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x939e15… |
| 05-05 04:15:30 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | SELL | 15 | 75¢ | $11 | 0x9baa02… |
| 05-05 00:54:54 | Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xea869e… |
| 05-05 00:54:54 | Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | BUY | 36 | 73¢ | $26 | 0xeb26f8… |
| 05-04 23:14:52 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 2 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x734fd9… |