Hoarse-Guitarist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

294

Trades

294

lifetime

Volume

$3.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-03 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 05:33
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 10:08
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:49
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 08:19
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 06:48
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 15:17
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:36
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 16:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 06:21
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 01:45
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 15:21
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 04:57
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 11:26
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:35
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 05:52
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 12:31
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 15:33
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 04:46
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:21
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:16
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:55
highest temperature in seoul on april 6 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:45
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:54
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 25corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 15:06
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 02:30
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 14:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 16:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf73e98…
11-01 17:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C or below on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x676a4e…
10-31 15:53:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0c157b…
10-30 14:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb5ae3a…
10-29 17:50:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x676210…
10-29 09:26:53	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa14b08…
10-28 07:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfa08ee…
10-27 09:17:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x95c690…
10-26 09:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4736d0…
10-24 11:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x07b2fa…
10-22 10:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4b53d1…
10-20 07:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfa3ec9…
10-19 09:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x58daa5…
10-18 10:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa4afb6…
10-17 15:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2e5814…
10-16 10:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xb76931…
10-15 09:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58a63b…
10-14 09:43:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd427de…
10-13 09:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72bf37…
10-12 09:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab6a29…
10-11 09:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb7d37…
10-08 12:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0142b2…
10-07 15:28:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa0729…
10-06 15:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31d637…
10-05 06:24:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x370aa7…
10-03 08:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2c06e…
10-02 13:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63d6f2…
10-01 08:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83d0fd…
09-30 02:41:53	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C or below on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2086b1…
09-28 09:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x666089…
09-27 08:56:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe0248…
09-25 16:16:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40b2db…
09-24 08:42:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa2ca7…
09-23 08:33:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x325b7d…
09-22 08:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf61d5f…
09-21 09:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12e52b…
09-20 05:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf87c21…
09-19 08:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c53a1…
09-18 07:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5f8c4…
09-17 04:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde1e7e…
09-16 08:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1ce60…
09-15 10:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92871f…
09-14 09:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7068df…
09-13 02:50:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda18ad…
09-11 07:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x051dc5…
09-10 08:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f3d03…
09-09 12:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x5892a3…
09-08 15:48:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b3bc7…
09-08 06:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x06cfeb…
09-07 08:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d98ca…
09-06 16:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda298c…
09-06 10:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x134e6a…
09-05 01:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58479d…
09-03 17:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4df13f…
09-02 07:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee4558…
08-30 09:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e2623…
08-29 09:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa137c8…
08-28 08:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ed9aa…
08-27 09:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23a209…
08-26 08:43:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc173f…
08-25 09:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x074239…
08-24 14:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x02cdde…
08-23 15:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9994c…
08-22 09:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e7344…
08-21 07:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf30d0c…
08-20 09:02:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5ba23…
08-18 08:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x370202…
08-17 08:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17dca0…
08-16 14:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f4865…
08-15 10:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff7aa5…
08-14 06:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75ae3b…
08-13 08:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa44022…
08-12 08:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4ea26…
08-11 07:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x772e79…
08-10 08:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x622369…
08-09 06:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9feb5…
08-08 07:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x571002…
08-07 07:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb770c4…
08-06 06:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd95562…
08-05 08:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5de4f5…
08-04 08:24:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a0791…
08-03 07:42:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e9582…
08-02 06:32:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6dfaf…
08-01 07:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc019f9…
07-31 13:50:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2ecc9…
07-30 07:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90e758…
07-29 07:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc47a1d…
07-28 07:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0cf8ac…
07-27 08:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14d0ae…
07-26 07:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08ee97…
07-25 08:20:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4dfc10…
07-24 13:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x117e68…
07-23 08:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5bbc2b…
07-22 02:09:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a10d8…
07-21 09:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef1034…
07-21 00:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49b450…
07-20 08:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x827ad3…
07-18 23:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc72aa…
07-18 00:34:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a241e…
07-17 07:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17ad96…