Burly-Bit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

291

Trades

292

lifetime

Volume

$3.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-03 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 233 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 05:33
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 10:08
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 08:19
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 06:47
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 15:07
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:33
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 10:41
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 01:43
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 15:21
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 04:57
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 11:26
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 05:50
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:35
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 12:30
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 15:33
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 04:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:20
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:16
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:54
highest temperature in seoul on april 6 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:45
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:54
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 25corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 15:06
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 02:30
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 14:42
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 16:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x699d31…
11-01 17:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C or below on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd1d10b…
10-31 15:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x97c1a8…
10-30 14:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xddc234…
10-29 17:51:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x08d6d7…
10-29 09:27:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x83aebe…
10-28 07:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdf874e…
10-27 09:17:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x225dd3…
10-26 09:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2aaf30…
10-24 11:47:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x22467e…
10-22 10:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc202ce…
10-20 07:41:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc6b98d…
10-19 09:22:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaa1ac3…
10-18 10:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x35677d…
10-17 15:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9f4c68…
10-16 10:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x592829…
10-15 09:38:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66df0f…
10-14 09:44:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x850014…
10-13 09:23:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d04ab…
10-12 09:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeea732…
10-11 09:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5cddd3…
10-08 12:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfddc65…
10-07 15:33:41	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf303c4…
10-06 15:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b7083…
10-05 06:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2d1a3…
10-03 08:44:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe22b2a…
10-02 13:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x173ccd…
10-01 08:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb2e893…
09-30 02:42:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C or below on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59debb…
09-28 09:57:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09b2c5…
09-27 08:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d11c7…
09-25 16:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e9451…
09-24 08:42:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f992f…
09-23 08:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd70c6…
09-22 08:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3546d4…
09-21 09:32:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0fede8…
09-20 05:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4d7e1…
09-19 08:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84a7b7…
09-18 07:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5f964…
09-17 04:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4139c…
09-16 08:54:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6aa09f…
09-15 10:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf40b6…
09-14 09:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf355c2…
09-13 02:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x583063…
09-11 07:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41eaa8…
09-10 08:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcdae02…
09-09 12:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x7911a1…
09-08 15:48:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f925b…
09-08 06:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc828c1…
09-07 08:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00ddc1…
09-06 16:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf88c4…
09-06 10:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8000e4…
09-05 01:20:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b15e7…
09-04 00:59:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2017dc…
09-02 07:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a2265…
08-30 09:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbae36c…
08-29 09:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2078aa…
08-28 08:50:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb20721…
08-27 09:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x297740…
08-26 08:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x473676…
08-25 09:41:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x127859…
08-24 14:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x9ecedd…
08-23 15:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49be4a…
08-22 09:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e192c…
08-21 07:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7429b3…
08-20 09:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87d543…
08-18 08:29:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf0d16…
08-17 08:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe92819…
08-16 14:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x678269…
08-15 10:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c5bce…
08-14 06:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x843c3d…
08-13 08:56:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc871a3…
08-12 08:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf955ef…
08-11 07:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a4674…
08-10 08:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0bf0b…
08-09 06:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc11a12…
08-08 07:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ee68f…
08-07 07:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d45dc…
08-06 06:51:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x854ec1…
08-05 08:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x367528…
08-04 08:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7dfdd…
08-03 07:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc43607…
08-02 06:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1e814…
08-01 07:12:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4fa744…
07-31 13:50:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x358f44…
07-30 07:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4eec0e…
07-29 07:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03d8d6…
07-28 07:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c9927…
07-27 08:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2aa3bd…
07-26 07:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6c625…
07-25 08:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x06e03b…
07-24 13:33:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bd1e7…
07-23 08:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc952d7…
07-22 02:09:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d1e8e…
07-21 09:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaed2c8…
07-21 00:21:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7fbbc2…
07-20 08:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9116d6…
07-18 23:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ab8bf…
07-18 00:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3bdaf6…
07-17 07:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x086278…