Respectful-Paddle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

288

Trades

289

lifetime

Volume

$3.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-06 06:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 235 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No		+8	$8	100¢	$8	$0	11-06 06:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 13:14
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 07:16
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-11 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 09:10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 09:14
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 8?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 10:39
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C or below on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 03:47
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 16:52
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 08:53
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 11:36
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:40
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-03 13:32
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-04 09:28
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-02 08:25
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:26
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:21
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-07 07:00
highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 7c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 15:13
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 13c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:07
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 24c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 15:13
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 22corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 04:38
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 14:50
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:37
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:53
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:44
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:26
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 78 79f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 06:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33af10…
11-03 16:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1be783…
11-02 14:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0bb11c…
11-01 10:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7291aa…
10-31 15:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x506274…
10-30 14:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x864d24…
10-29 17:45:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25c7f5…
10-29 09:07:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2f0f6…
10-28 07:43:23	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe09d3…
10-27 08:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdeaf07…
10-26 09:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a7c21…
10-24 11:41:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaaad90…
10-22 10:19:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa15719…
10-20 07:36:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa501c5…
10-19 09:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ae958…
10-18 09:55:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe53c50…
10-17 15:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbeac40…
10-16 09:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0434ea…
10-15 09:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d57c8…
10-14 09:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d628a…
10-13 09:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7abf4a…
10-12 09:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a8982…
10-11 08:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xffe936…
10-08 09:11:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x510ca1…
10-07 15:23:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5fddd7…
10-06 08:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88b015…
10-05 01:57:59	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72d803…
10-03 08:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6bc784…
10-02 11:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x566931…
10-01 08:26:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86851c…
09-30 12:54:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9468d8…
09-29 15:54:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5982c5…
09-28 09:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c2ee6…
09-27 08:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82f715…
09-25 16:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc52c3f…
09-24 08:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1d548…
09-23 07:56:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a928c…
09-22 08:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xccc904…
09-21 09:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa32e94…
09-20 05:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e19b9…
09-19 08:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x858932…
09-18 06:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8955fe…
09-17 04:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x885fcb…
09-16 08:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x612ed1…
09-15 09:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x949858…
09-14 08:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a6a3b…
09-12 16:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x194d66…
09-11 07:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa06a5…
09-10 08:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d959f…
09-09 09:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f583f…
09-08 15:39:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6aa7be…
09-08 06:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e5434…
09-07 08:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa10886…
09-06 17:37:49	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d3b43…
09-06 09:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4435e1…
09-05 01:12:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4225ad…
09-03 15:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bede1…
09-02 07:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x037106…
08-30 09:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x567bb2…
08-29 09:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xacb89e…
08-28 08:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f345b…
08-27 08:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f7b9e…
08-26 08:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1dc007…
08-25 09:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f9720…
08-24 13:08:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xefb005…
08-23 14:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x294ead…
08-22 08:49:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x152658…
08-21 07:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd29875…
08-20 08:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf73073…
08-19 11:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d7e19…
08-18 08:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2581b8…
08-17 07:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29d241…
08-16 11:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3431e…
08-15 09:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf045a0…
08-14 06:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xccc82f…
08-13 08:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32900a…
08-12 07:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5a5ff…
08-11 06:56:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d2554…
08-10 07:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92429a…
08-09 01:26:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf76435…
08-08 07:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82517a…
08-07 01:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x632c48…
08-06 06:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40ffd2…
08-05 07:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9a9de…
08-04 08:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb47e11…
08-03 07:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d4ae5…
08-02 02:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b083d…
08-01 07:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xebc7bd…
07-31 13:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa9792…
07-30 06:57:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x758b3b…
07-29 07:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23d267…
07-28 06:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b8205…
07-27 08:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9270b4…
07-26 07:19:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19e5ae…
07-25 08:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb2d0ee…
07-24 10:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa45017…
07-23 08:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda8dee…
07-22 02:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15929a…
07-21 09:12:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d6a8b…
07-21 00:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd926b…