Lone-Bureau — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

298

Trades

299

lifetime

Volume

$3.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-12 08:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 239 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% -$2

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 13:07
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 11?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-11 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 10?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-10 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 9?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-09 09:07
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 10:38
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or below on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 06:17
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 01:55
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 11:44
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 03:09
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 08:49
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:32
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:38
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-04 05:55
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 13:28
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-02 08:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:24
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:19
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-07 06:57
highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 7c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 15:11
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:00
highest temperature in lucknow on april 3 2026 36c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 14:17
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 02:32
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 14:48
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:35
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:43
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:42
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 08:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xeeef5c…
11-11 16:56:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd4f8ca…
11-10 06:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc0bb9d…
11-08 14:26:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xddc17f…
11-07 11:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe8e42a…
11-06 06:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x222fbd…
11-03 16:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1686f4…
11-02 14:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x84e716…
11-01 13:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x031904…
10-31 15:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1c298a…
10-30 14:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8bb46e…
10-29 17:48:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5fc21a…
10-29 09:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x941d3a…
10-28 07:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd1ac6d…
10-27 09:11:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x708a52…
10-26 09:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xac14b4…
10-24 11:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x645284…
10-22 10:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x6c89e3…
10-20 07:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x375247…
10-19 09:18:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe5634…
10-18 10:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbcf3c9…
10-17 15:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70d439…
10-16 09:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d0e58…
10-15 09:29:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6983c6…
10-14 09:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3cda4d…
10-13 09:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x44593a…
10-12 09:28:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae2367…
10-11 09:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x483786…
10-08 09:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb7d33…
10-07 15:25:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0b959…
10-06 08:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26ad8c…
10-05 02:00:26	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x557e78…
10-03 08:20:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d47a4…
10-02 11:44:29	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7dae7e…
10-01 08:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b8ced…
09-30 12:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf642fe…
09-29 16:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a64b8…
09-28 09:53:29	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6743cf…
09-27 08:52:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0a49e…
09-25 16:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c1fdc…
09-24 08:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c9791…
09-23 08:27:38	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf73ce…
09-22 08:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf10efa…
09-21 09:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc05deb…
09-20 05:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe555e…
09-19 08:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86f1c9…
09-18 07:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1558df…
09-17 04:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb72ff4…
09-16 08:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed3e7b…
09-15 10:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x335b70…
09-14 09:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90b639…
09-12 16:33:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5065a5…
09-11 07:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf15b2…
09-10 08:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71918a…
09-09 12:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x338c8e…
09-08 15:45:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x000488…
09-08 06:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6738f…
09-07 08:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ada3d…
09-06 16:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d0283…
09-06 10:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ff17a…
09-05 01:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8327c…
09-03 16:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0cfe3…
09-02 07:46:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71f923…
08-30 09:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3030d…
08-29 09:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0a386…
08-28 08:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4bcab…
08-27 08:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x654c8b…
08-26 08:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc2f0f…
08-25 09:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x780f4e…
08-24 13:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e8239…
08-23 14:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5cb8d…
08-22 08:52:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c650d…
08-21 07:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x035b2a…
08-20 08:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x860e74…
08-18 08:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08ad4f…
08-17 08:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc54a24…
08-16 14:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d030a…
08-15 09:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3548e2…
08-14 06:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x617b78…
08-13 08:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee34b1…
08-12 07:59:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9291d8…
08-11 06:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ef03e…
08-10 08:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4730e…
08-09 02:14:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d0226…
08-08 07:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdbb4d2…
08-07 07:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d515b…
08-06 06:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12a752…
08-05 07:59:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x584072…
08-04 08:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b6f66…
08-03 07:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10a5ce…
08-02 02:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x744aa6…
08-01 07:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a5276…
07-31 13:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x382887…
07-30 07:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0166c7…
07-29 07:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x781178…
07-28 06:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x185fb2…
07-27 08:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e3b0b…
07-26 07:22:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3044d2…
07-25 08:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5485d1…
07-24 10:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5384a…