Wiggly-Mistake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

292

Trades

293

lifetime

Volume

$3.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-03 16:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 233 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 13:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:09
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-11 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:09
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 06:38
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:55
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 11:44
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 03:10
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 08:49
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:33
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:38
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-03 13:30
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-02 08:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:24
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:19
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:58
highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 7c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-06 15:11
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 14c	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-05 09:01
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 24c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 15:11
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 72 73f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 02:37
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 14:49
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:36
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:43
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:42
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:22
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 78 79f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 16:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x244113…
11-02 14:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbfdb0d…
11-01 12:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x77025a…
10-31 15:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x380866…
10-30 14:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xafbc63…
10-29 17:47:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x05873b…
10-29 09:09:47	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xac394c…
10-28 07:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0ec58f…
10-27 09:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x90ee6e…
10-26 09:23:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x7615c4…
10-24 11:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x044a20…
10-22 10:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42c092…
10-20 07:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8a9e7…
10-19 09:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ade4d…
10-18 09:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x310588…
10-17 15:23:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xffde9a…
10-16 09:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x872205…
10-15 09:29:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1424a2…
10-14 09:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x834494…
10-13 09:18:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0b62f…
10-12 09:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x254ec3…
10-11 08:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a5f85…
10-08 09:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32df00…
10-07 15:25:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3bb750…
10-06 08:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xffebfe…
10-05 01:59:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfdd58e…
10-03 08:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a0c87…
10-02 11:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36f200…
10-01 08:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x935d7e…
09-30 12:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3a02c…
09-29 15:59:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c1416…
09-28 09:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97f45d…
09-27 08:51:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f0b5d…
09-25 16:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ad774…
09-24 08:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9125b7…
09-23 07:57:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf65018…
09-22 08:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x635d8c…
09-21 09:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88b24b…
09-20 05:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x56b09c…
09-19 08:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f0316…
09-18 07:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x168589…
09-17 04:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc61cf…
09-16 08:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb5b11…
09-15 10:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26a510…
09-14 09:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c0e7a…
09-12 16:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe23957…
09-11 07:22:15	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x076f94…
09-10 08:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98d0ab…
09-09 12:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f0088…
09-08 15:45:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x43bb88…
09-08 06:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa55d4e…
09-07 08:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb0fbf…
09-06 17:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34db24…
09-06 09:33:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93e461…
09-05 01:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb1906…
09-03 16:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fa3f6…
09-02 07:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd776c4…
08-30 09:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15ff28…
08-29 09:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5316b7…
08-28 08:14:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc385c4…
08-27 08:58:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53b1b9…
08-26 08:38:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6aa6ec…
08-25 09:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a73de…
08-24 13:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x74555f…
08-23 14:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7b489…
08-22 08:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbbe23e…
08-21 07:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd0006…
08-20 08:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb678fb…
08-18 08:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99974f…
08-17 07:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbdeff8…
08-16 12:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98f4cb…
08-15 09:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a2fa0…
08-14 06:53:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85ee83…
08-13 08:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1fb01a…
08-12 07:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8c584d…
08-11 06:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1edb2f…
08-10 07:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x330970…
08-09 02:13:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9ba63…
08-08 07:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc42df0…
08-07 07:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a5039…
08-06 06:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf40d0…
08-05 07:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeff7b7…
08-04 08:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb74623…
08-03 07:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7cba38…
08-02 02:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf6ccd…
08-01 07:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00bfcb…
07-31 13:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e0900…
07-30 07:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2a8ca…
07-29 07:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeffe9c…
07-28 06:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x8386ce…
07-27 08:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1af8aa…
07-26 07:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe9694…
07-25 08:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95bd10…
07-24 10:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17d3e8…
07-23 08:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe02442…
07-22 02:06:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc563d9…
07-21 09:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb8053…
07-21 00:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba3e69…
07-20 08:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4d76c…
07-18 23:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb0c83…