Winding-Pound — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$374

Unrealized P&L

-$35

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

2,047

lifetime

Volume

$1.01M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$493

Open exposure

$1.33K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-17 11:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 82% +$350

Other

31% — —

Politics

27% 100% +$24

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No		+854	$826	92¢	$781	$-44	07-15 05:23
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No		+557	$535	98¢	$544	+$9	07-14 03:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	10	$30.5K	20,487	10,264	+10,223	open	—	02-15 23:34
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	8	$24.7K	12,698	12,698	+0	open	—	04-01 02:18
us forces enter iran by march 7	6	$22.3K	11,222	11,222	+0	open	—	03-08 05:00
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	8	$20.1K	10,096	10,096	+0	open	—	02-12 07:32
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	327	$17.9K	9,499	9,497	+2	open	—	03-11 09:45
highest temperature in dallas on march 9 2026 84 85f	10	$16.7K	8,373	8,373	+0	open	—	03-10 08:02
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	3	$16.0K	8,161	8,161	+0	open	—	03-15 19:23
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	6	$13.4K	6,759	6,759	+0	open	—	03-06 07:45
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	21	$10.5K	5,410	5,410	+0	open	—	03-06 07:43
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$10.4K	10,463	0	+10,463	open	—	02-23 00:02
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$10.4K	10,400	0	+10,400	open	—	02-22 02:46
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$10.4K	10,390	0	+10,390	open	—	02-21 02:28
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	1	$10.3K	10,351	0	+10,351	open	—	02-20 02:23
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	1	$10.3K	10,310	0	+10,310	open	—	02-19 03:43
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	5	$10.3K	10,285	0	+10,285	open	—	02-18 03:50
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	1	$10.2K	10,264	0	+10,264	open	—	02-16 08:45
bitcoin above 74k on february 15	1	$10.2K	10,192	0	+10,192	open	—	02-15 14:02
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	1	$10.2K	10,182	0	+10,182	open	—	02-15 02:07
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$10.1K	10,131	0	+10,131	open	—	02-14 01:34
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	4	$10.0K	5,023	5,023	+0	open	—	02-03 12:16
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?	18	$9.2K	4,813	4,813	-0	open	—	02-02 12:00
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$8.6K	8,660	0	+8,660	open	—	03-06 07:45
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 23corhigher	3	$8.0K	8,052	0	+8,052	open	—	04-08 02:30
Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?	8	$7.9K	4,014	4,014	+0	No	+$46	03-18 13:35
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	2	$7.1K	7,169	0	+7,169	open	—	02-10 02:20
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	11	$7.0K	3,703	3,703	+0	open	—	02-07 18:30
bitcoin above 62k on april 5	1	$7.0K	7,000	0	+7,000	open	—	04-05 04:22
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	7	$7.0K	3,806	3,806	+0	open	—	02-07 18:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	7	$6.8K	3,509	3,509	+0	open	—	05-25 15:38
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	3	$6.8K	3,479	3,479	+0	open	—	05-11 02:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 11:49:15	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	No	BUY	250	90¢	$225	0x2d4d9e…
07-16 06:41:38	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	BUY	225	74¢	$166	0x859359…
07-15 05:23:34	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	65	90¢	$58	0xfcde7e…
07-15 05:19:35	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	90¢	$63	0x6fcb41…
07-15 05:18:08	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0x4851c8…
07-14 03:11:11	GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	470	96¢	$452	0x49760c…
07-14 03:10:44	GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	87	95¢	$83	0x4d7d9d…
07-14 03:09:53	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	600	90¢	$540	0xc87d21…
06-13 04:39:57	mlb chc sf 2026 06 12	Chicago Cubs	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe32c15…
06-13 04:39:40	mlb chc sf 2026 06 12	Chicago Cubs	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x02380f…
06-13 04:39:03	mlb chc sf 2026 06 12	Chicago Cubs	BUY	220	100¢	$219	0x0671df…
06-12 04:00:28	wnba las por 2026 06 11	Las Vegas Aces	BUY	275	100¢	$275	0x30cca9…
06-12 03:58:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	91¢	$273	0x438a60…
06-03 13:05:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$20	0xddf108…
06-03 02:48:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	163	95¢	$155	0x579b62…
06-03 02:48:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	1,117	94¢	$1,053	0xa2dab5…
06-02 14:02:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	540	100¢	$539	0x74ca9e…
06-02 09:33:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	240	99¢	$239	0xca4802…
06-02 09:32:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x95da68…
06-02 09:30:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	1,288	100¢	$1,283	0xc3fed0…
06-02 03:08:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	99	97¢	$96	0xcf0e00…
06-02 03:08:30	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	92¢	$2,760	0xaa8d6c…
06-02 03:06:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	123	97¢	$119	0xb11b27…
06-02 03:06:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x6cc7d2…
06-02 03:06:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	75	97¢	$72	0x400ee4…
06-02 03:06:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	309	97¢	$300	0xa63228…
06-02 03:03:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x5c2c15…
06-02 03:02:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x7fedad…
06-02 03:01:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x35878f…
06-02 03:01:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	861	97¢	$836	0x800bab…
06-02 03:00:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x833d10…
06-02 03:00:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xd96f5b…
06-02 02:46:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	1,647	93¢	$1,533	0xa4b8df…
06-01 14:51:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	40¢	$24	0x6b4384…
06-01 14:48:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	36¢	$12	0xec0840…
06-01 14:47:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	150	36¢	$53	0x02c54d…
06-01 13:56:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	401	64¢	$257	0xa27aa1…
06-01 13:56:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	64¢	$12	0x8d00f6…
06-01 13:56:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	422	64¢	$270	0x0bd93c…
06-01 13:35:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,485	31¢	$460	0xc8618b…
06-01 13:18:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	658	75¢	$493	0x22d26a…
06-01 12:11:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	74¢	$1,108	0xeb161a…
06-01 03:20:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	1,566	100¢	$1,562	0x7a2e1a…
06-01 02:45:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbcaa52…
06-01 02:45:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	720	98¢	$706	0xefbef9…
06-01 02:45:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x2ab939…
06-01 02:45:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	777	98¢	$761	0x2b9cb4…
06-01 02:45:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x63ce08…
05-31 15:43:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	776	100¢	$775	0x4e2952…
05-31 15:41:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x85b3a8…
05-31 15:41:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xf94577…
05-31 15:41:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	94	99¢	$93	0x2ac940…
05-31 15:39:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xabb332…
05-31 15:39:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x783424…
05-31 15:38:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x8a07e2…
05-31 15:37:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	125	98¢	$123	0x6a87e3…
05-31 15:37:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	138	98¢	$135	0x02603a…
05-29 15:00:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x397919…
05-29 15:00:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x9b1269…
05-29 15:00:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	214	99¢	$211	0xbcee9d…
05-29 14:59:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	115	99¢	$113	0x9bc331…
05-29 14:58:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0x6142f7…
05-29 14:58:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xb9ed67…
05-29 03:43:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	1,315	100¢	$1,313	0x2998f3…
05-29 02:42:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	1,315	99¢	$1,305	0x113ed5…
05-28 15:04:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	765	98¢	$752	0x7a7041…
05-28 13:34:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	244	94¢	$229	0xf9aff1…
05-28 13:33:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	505	94¢	$475	0x39af9a…
05-28 13:33:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x0cfdc5…
05-28 04:58:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,096	91¢	$1,003	0x4ecbfe…
05-28 04:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x06fc84…
05-28 04:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x2b800a…
05-28 04:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xd05e4b…
05-28 04:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0x647f57…
05-28 04:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0x02c6da…
05-28 04:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xadc149…
05-28 04:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	74	93¢	$69	0x66a89b…
05-28 04:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	75	87¢	$65	0x6d5708…
05-28 04:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	75	83¢	$62	0x94bef2…
05-28 02:21:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	968	91¢	$882	0x3fcd16…
05-27 14:15:44	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	381	96¢	$366	0x99dc4b…
05-27 14:13:50	Citrea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	411	100¢	$409	0xe86940…
05-26 14:27:26	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0x4576cd…
05-26 13:26:13	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	758	98¢	$740	0x9b6383…
05-25 15:38:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	2,472	99¢	$2,447	0x7547d9…
05-25 15:38:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	1,037	99¢	$1,027	0x003794…
05-25 14:08:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	211	93¢	$196	0xcbd2a2…
05-25 14:08:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x4c269d…
05-25 14:05:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	3,000	95¢	$2,850	0xf8d279…
05-25 13:59:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	120	96¢	$115	0x374a47…
05-25 13:59:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	158	96¢	$152	0x6e73bf…
05-25 03:39:50	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x88a063…
05-25 03:38:54	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	2,590	100¢	$2,585	0x5bfd90…
05-25 03:35:55	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	630	100¢	$629	0xac6038…
05-25 03:30:07	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd83e7e…
05-25 03:29:53	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x797019…
05-25 03:06:14	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	3,300	99¢	$3,280	0x66d458…
05-24 15:57:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,600	100¢	$1,595	0x5cd480…
05-24 15:57:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	799	100¢	$797	0x9c17dd…
05-24 14:35:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	795	100¢	$792	0x498951…