Tough-Bite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

298

Trades

298

lifetime

Volume

$3.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-12 08:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 240 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 13:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:08
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:11
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-11 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 09:07
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 15:10
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:15
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:54
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 10:42
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 03:09
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 08:49
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:32
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 05:55
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:37
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-03 12:34
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 08:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:23
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:18
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:57
highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 7c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 15:11
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:00
highest temperature in lucknow on april 3 2026 36c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 14:17
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 02:32
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 14:48
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:35
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:43
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:41
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 08:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x045601…
11-11 16:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4e0e68…
11-10 07:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xebb830…
11-08 14:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x18664f…
11-07 11:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x0a81ec…
11-06 06:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d1c6f…
11-03 16:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8072f…
11-02 14:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf696c…
11-01 13:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc852c…
10-31 15:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f7bd5…
10-30 14:49:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04b017…
10-29 17:48:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x458025…
10-29 09:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6a670…
10-28 07:50:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe65afb…
10-27 09:11:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a1513…
10-26 09:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ed150…
10-24 11:44:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb58741…
10-22 10:23:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x908791…
10-20 07:38:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48cae4…
10-19 09:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0165d4…
10-18 10:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51ba3b…
10-17 15:24:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22e3d2…
10-16 09:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19ae4a…
10-15 09:35:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ed2ee…
10-14 09:41:26	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0c47a…
10-13 09:19:47	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a6543…
10-12 09:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54e915…
10-11 09:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8d69b…
10-08 12:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f115a…
10-07 15:26:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x429c56…
10-06 08:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f4e41…
10-05 02:00:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x102766…
10-03 08:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x167e71…
10-02 11:44:47	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb85e34…
10-01 08:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68da11…
09-30 12:57:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xffbb12…
09-29 16:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4781b7…
09-28 09:54:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57a383…
09-27 08:52:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6a8cd…
09-25 16:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70343c…
09-24 08:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7a0a6…
09-23 08:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c9833…
09-22 08:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd80c7…
09-21 09:30:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e8e74…
09-20 05:51:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa5f12…
09-19 08:48:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9958c7…
09-18 07:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2948f1…
09-17 04:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40e119…
09-16 08:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf05ec…
09-15 10:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a8b3b…
09-14 09:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x020bfe…
09-13 01:30:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61be61…
09-11 07:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa8478…
09-10 08:37:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3c99a…
09-09 12:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90cce3…
09-08 15:46:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ce945…
09-08 06:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8472cd…
09-07 08:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x62ba28…
09-06 16:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeed6c2…
09-06 10:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc1f3c…
09-05 01:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7683f9…
09-03 16:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2958e…
09-02 07:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa865b5…
08-30 09:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe04c2…
08-29 09:39:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80ac17…
08-28 08:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x379706…
08-27 08:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12ffe2…
08-26 08:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2551de…
08-25 09:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x752a70…
08-24 13:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7c0b6…
08-23 14:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f2475…
08-22 08:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf81d12…
08-21 07:45:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6dbfac…
08-20 08:49:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x187e26…
08-18 08:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x574509…
08-17 08:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f0329…
08-16 14:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b5a3e…
08-15 10:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa96ea…
08-14 06:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe08914…
08-13 08:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8c9b7e…
08-12 07:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47a430…
08-11 06:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52ae55…
08-10 08:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24a2e1…
08-09 02:14:15	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b2fcb…
08-08 07:34:01	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdabd77…
08-07 07:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39c206…
08-06 06:48:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49523b…
08-05 08:00:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b5845…
08-04 08:22:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1fb90f…
08-03 07:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53a5ec…
08-02 06:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x752112…
08-01 07:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1cbdf…
07-31 13:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7bc2e…
07-30 07:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf7664…
07-29 07:11:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87d333…
07-28 06:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95d29a…
07-27 08:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3a95e…
07-26 07:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ccf91…
07-25 08:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00a49b…
07-24 10:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f3256…