Scratchy-Organisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

292

Trades

292

lifetime

Volume

$3.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-01 13:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 232 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 13:07
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	25	+25	No	-$24	05-15 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-11 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:09
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 15:41
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:19
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:55
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 11:44
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 03:10
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 08:49
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:33
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:38
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-03 13:30
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-02 08:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:24
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:19
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:58
highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 7c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-06 15:11
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-05 09:00
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 24c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-03 15:11
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 72 73f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-03 02:37
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-02 14:57
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:36
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:43
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:42
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	03-31 08:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 13:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7d9dfa…
10-31 15:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7a1499…
10-30 14:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd42890…
10-29 17:47:46	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xab409e…
10-29 09:09:56	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x54bc14…
10-28 07:45:35	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x53b076…
10-27 09:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe045c6…
10-26 09:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x72539c…
10-24 11:44:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x103a32…
10-22 10:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ac26d…
10-20 07:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7286a…
10-19 09:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc1c2a…
10-18 09:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19fc91…
10-17 15:23:47	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89f738…
10-16 09:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x383c09…
10-15 09:29:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0861b6…
10-14 09:38:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x428335…
10-13 09:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x44ae2d…
10-12 09:28:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x669c1b…
10-11 08:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03af23…
10-08 09:14:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea9510…
10-07 15:25:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9393a5…
10-06 08:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe60891…
10-05 02:00:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf7d90…
10-03 08:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x272a9d…
10-02 11:44:08	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x872282…
10-01 08:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x265baa…
09-30 12:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfccc69…
09-29 15:59:20	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x037e1e…
09-28 09:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ca7fb…
09-27 08:52:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54963b…
09-25 16:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xffef54…
09-24 08:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeac017…
09-23 08:22:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b2d74…
09-22 08:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2876f5…
09-21 09:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7cf0e6…
09-20 05:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x470139…
09-19 08:47:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8cc31d…
09-18 07:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75b869…
09-17 04:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb84bd5…
09-16 08:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c341e…
09-15 10:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6e4d53…
09-14 09:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbfcb1f…
09-12 16:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3cefb…
09-11 07:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17effb…
09-10 08:21:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d18c5…
09-09 12:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1e6e0…
09-08 15:45:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9b001…
09-08 06:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4cdfdd…
09-07 08:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7a6cf…
09-06 17:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b461e…
09-06 09:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58ae7b…
09-05 01:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa41b27…
09-03 16:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xafcca6…
09-02 07:46:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdbd4f8…
08-30 09:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc47252…
08-29 09:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5aec6c…
08-28 08:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f22bd…
08-27 08:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6acf33…
08-26 08:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76363a…
08-25 09:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf17b0c…
08-24 13:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x481de8…
08-23 14:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14cc94…
08-22 08:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9820db…
08-21 07:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d631a…
08-20 08:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a1cbf…
08-18 08:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a1ee5…
08-17 07:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f3cec…
08-16 14:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24834f…
08-15 09:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07619f…
08-14 06:53:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e5e5c…
08-13 08:53:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdca1fb…
08-12 07:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d18cb…
08-11 06:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d3b2d…
08-10 07:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfff5a1…
08-09 02:13:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef1db5…
08-08 07:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66f99e…
08-07 07:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68bc6c…
08-06 06:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd39fa0…
08-05 07:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfbec79…
08-04 08:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbdd485…
08-03 07:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8fd51c…
08-02 02:14:05	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x901259…
08-01 07:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34687f…
07-31 13:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70e3e2…
07-30 07:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67a878…
07-29 07:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x019fb0…
07-28 06:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x4a4557…
07-27 08:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x446483…
07-26 07:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c4caa…
07-25 08:15:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1d9b5…
07-24 10:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c8839…
07-23 08:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe78234…
07-22 02:06:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba1742…
07-21 09:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20a4ac…
07-21 00:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa7df3…
07-20 08:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xebec7a…
07-18 23:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68d4f3…
07-18 00:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x302866…
07-17 07:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe74d7…