Instructive-Fill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

290

Trades

290

lifetime

Volume

$3.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-01 12:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 232 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 13:07
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-11 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:09
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 06:38
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:55
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 11:44
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 03:10
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 08:49
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:33
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:38
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-03 13:30
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-02 08:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:24
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:19
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:58
highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 7c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 15:11
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:01
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 24c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 15:55
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 72 73f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 02:37
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 14:49
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:36
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:43
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:42
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:22
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 78 79f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 12:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc5553b…
10-31 15:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbe1c95…
10-30 14:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfd7fa0…
10-29 17:47:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe6556e…
10-29 09:09:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xeb6349…
10-28 07:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe4a579…
10-27 09:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xad24ac…
10-26 09:23:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x455e01…
10-24 11:43:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb43c85…
10-22 10:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xefd975…
10-20 07:38:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22a7c1…
10-19 09:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b0272…
10-18 09:57:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4dd949…
10-17 15:23:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0220d4…
10-16 09:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb2476f…
10-15 09:29:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x040de5…
10-14 09:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6757b9…
10-13 09:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00826b…
10-12 09:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1a82c…
10-11 08:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5f70d…
10-08 09:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6e7e1…
10-07 15:25:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54853e…
10-06 08:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x274083…
10-05 01:59:53	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcac0d1…
10-03 08:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86f4f1…
10-02 11:43:56	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9403ee…
10-01 08:28:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x910e79…
09-30 12:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16b38a…
09-29 15:59:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10e50f…
09-28 09:52:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4de4a1…
09-27 08:51:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x688f98…
09-25 16:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac6d91…
09-24 08:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b2623…
09-23 07:57:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d5663…
09-22 08:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18184c…
09-21 09:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfebf5f…
09-20 05:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5edf76…
09-19 08:47:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07bb4d…
09-18 07:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5a5ab…
09-17 04:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad125f…
09-16 08:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba9ccd…
09-15 10:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x954673…
09-14 09:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa4171…
09-12 16:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9b917…
09-11 07:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9cc396…
09-10 08:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd992c3…
09-09 12:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbddbac…
09-08 15:45:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f1db4…
09-08 06:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe190cb…
09-07 08:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91f145…
09-06 17:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x96b214…
09-06 09:33:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9599d0…
09-05 01:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x796a4e…
09-03 16:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x783231…
09-02 07:46:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2fbfac…
08-30 09:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb84ad…
08-29 09:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2b9ae…
08-28 08:14:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e5e63…
08-27 08:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb95979…
08-26 08:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9e875…
08-25 09:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x425d45…
08-24 13:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b63ac…
08-23 14:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1c596…
08-22 08:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98f1a4…
08-21 07:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x089cba…
08-20 08:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd0dd3…
08-18 08:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d6a99…
08-17 07:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5fd34…
08-16 11:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5014a3…
08-15 09:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32c7cf…
08-14 06:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8cc28a…
08-13 08:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x711d5d…
08-12 07:59:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xafe629…
08-11 06:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20c6e1…
08-10 07:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d00f7…
08-09 02:13:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe93ec4…
08-08 07:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3f233…
08-07 07:48:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef1e2f…
08-06 06:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x455c6b…
08-05 07:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x633b1f…
08-04 08:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x192992…
08-03 07:39:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x471d45…
08-02 02:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e65f4…
08-01 07:05:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5377f…
07-31 13:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2c74d…
07-30 07:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01e238…
07-29 07:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2ea0a…
07-28 06:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x828a61…
07-27 08:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70ae6b…
07-26 07:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4af24…
07-25 08:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f5ce3…
07-24 10:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3542dc…
07-23 08:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb286b5…
07-22 02:05:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b6eb5…
07-21 09:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3fe2d3…
07-21 00:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb9518…
07-20 08:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1cfaf…
07-18 23:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd07e96…
07-18 00:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb792d1…
07-17 07:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14db4d…