Menacing-Rhyme — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

298

Trades

298

lifetime

Volume

$3.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-12 08:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 240 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 13:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:08
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-11 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 09:07
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 10:38
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or below on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:17
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:54
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 10:42
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 03:09
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 08:49
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:32
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 05:55
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:37
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-03 12:34
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 08:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:23
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:18
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:57
highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 7c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-06 15:11
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-05 09:00
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 24c	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-03 15:11
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 02:32
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 14:48
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:35
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:43
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:42
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 08:34:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3684a3…
11-11 16:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x743f60…
11-10 06:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 9?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcbf6a9…
11-08 14:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3691ee…
11-07 11:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd3b011…
11-06 06:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1e99c9…
11-03 16:45:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x71aa78…
11-02 14:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa48a82…
11-01 13:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x363d4d…
10-31 15:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4127d7…
10-30 14:47:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x262615…
10-29 17:48:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7f74a2…
10-29 09:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0dad1c…
10-28 07:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7dd71f…
10-27 09:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7567c1…
10-26 09:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xb0e61a…
10-24 11:44:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7482b4…
10-22 10:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b5900…
10-20 07:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82c0f5…
10-19 09:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19133f…
10-18 10:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7151a2…
10-17 15:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23c4d8…
10-16 09:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x903792…
10-15 09:29:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb2275…
10-14 09:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a1a60…
10-13 09:19:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ffc4f…
10-12 09:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e9272…
10-11 09:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x281a64…
10-08 09:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7b8a7…
10-07 15:26:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x77c817…
10-06 08:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2447f8…
10-05 02:00:35	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc734cf…
10-03 08:21:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2fbe00…
10-02 11:44:38	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03de1a…
10-01 08:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x65fffc…
09-30 12:57:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3662c…
09-29 16:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52b66f…
09-28 09:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78435a…
09-27 08:52:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87ddcc…
09-25 16:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1986c9…
09-24 08:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb84c5b…
09-23 08:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95bbd1…
09-22 08:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e666e…
09-21 09:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9643e4…
09-20 05:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99c0cd…
09-19 08:48:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5837d3…
09-18 07:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x710e41…
09-17 04:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a2006…
09-16 08:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38b520…
09-15 10:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd21ec1…
09-14 09:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd4386…
09-13 01:30:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x618337…
09-11 07:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb08318…
09-10 08:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x852010…
09-09 12:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51a563…
09-08 15:45:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x568cb4…
09-08 06:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8fdf93…
09-07 08:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf73e14…
09-06 16:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe923da…
09-06 10:34:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a2e85…
09-05 01:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40b114…
09-03 16:57:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x835445…
09-02 07:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13534e…
08-30 09:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6cd8dd…
08-29 09:38:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9bbaea…
08-28 08:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70dff4…
08-27 08:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59d10c…
08-26 08:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1eeb64…
08-25 09:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89f8d2…
08-24 13:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb9251…
08-23 14:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81ecf1…
08-22 08:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd71675…
08-21 07:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf91320…
08-20 08:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x65c9d2…
08-18 08:22:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x642147…
08-17 08:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce0a6d…
08-16 14:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92d9f2…
08-15 10:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x856147…
08-14 06:53:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30cd4d…
08-13 08:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8a998…
08-12 07:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a3295…
08-11 06:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6557d…
08-10 08:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc1a16…
08-09 02:14:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcde143…
08-08 07:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ee4a5…
08-07 07:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21e327…
08-06 06:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde16ab…
08-05 07:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad8b26…
08-04 08:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd04f9…
08-03 07:40:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92ee4d…
08-02 02:14:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f1cc1…
08-01 07:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x287d06…
07-31 13:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ccf51…
07-30 07:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ab520…
07-29 07:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6dc35…
07-28 06:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd6e323…
07-27 08:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x234078…
07-26 07:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89e001…
07-25 08:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5574f…
07-24 10:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08db12…