Loathsome-Yarn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

299

Trades

300

lifetime

Volume

$3.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-12 08:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 241 days

Categories

Other

98% 100% -$3

Politics

2% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-14 13:06
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	23	+23	No	-$23	05-15 05:19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-13 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:11
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 11?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-11 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 10?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-10 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 9?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-09 09:07
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-08 15:10
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 06:15
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 01:54
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 03:09
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 08:48
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:32
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-04 05:54
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:37
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-03 12:34
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-02 08:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:23
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-08 10:18
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-07 06:57
highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 7c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 15:11
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:00
highest temperature in lucknow on april 3 2026 36c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 14:17
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 02:32
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 14:48
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$21	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:35
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$21	21	+21	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:42
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$21	21	+21	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:41
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$21	21	+21	No	+$0	03-31 14:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 08:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa28edd…
11-11 16:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7c1e1c…
11-10 07:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x5c4afc…
11-08 14:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x03c172…
11-07 11:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5caa3a…
11-06 06:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0f46b…
11-03 16:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7f9d8…
11-02 14:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4c607…
11-01 13:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1a62d…
10-31 15:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8753a…
10-30 14:50:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcaa308…
10-29 17:48:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c32b8…
10-29 09:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x796f2a…
10-28 07:50:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4cb389…
10-27 09:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68d320…
10-26 09:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x707f44…
10-24 11:44:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f5816…
10-22 10:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb282e…
10-20 07:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc46c44…
10-19 09:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48588b…
10-18 10:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57df19…
10-17 15:24:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b469e…
10-16 09:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee9793…
10-15 09:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe35e23…
10-14 09:41:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x553a28…
10-13 09:19:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7cdb92…
10-12 09:29:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xedc38a…
10-11 09:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9687e5…
10-08 12:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x164b3f…
10-07 15:26:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaff01d…
10-06 08:42:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaeba9c…
10-05 02:00:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78bd58…
10-03 08:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9f73e…
10-02 11:44:59	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf76147…
10-01 08:29:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b8955…
09-30 12:57:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b4814…
09-29 16:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x666c44…
09-28 09:54:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78362f…
09-27 08:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26e0d5…
09-25 16:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x562614…
09-24 08:40:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea6c36…
09-23 08:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xefc99c…
09-22 08:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f1615…
09-21 09:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a6afe…
09-20 05:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64ea91…
09-19 08:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd157b9…
09-18 07:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9c7ed…
09-17 04:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x160cb5…
09-16 08:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xecdadf…
09-15 10:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8c647b…
09-14 09:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92d7dc…
09-13 02:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24e395…
09-11 07:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc20a46…
09-10 08:37:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf92b7…
09-09 12:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x087215…
09-08 15:46:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34ff23…
09-08 06:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc47e05…
09-07 08:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10cc33…
09-06 16:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x260e4b…
09-06 10:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x445d19…
09-05 01:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ab0ec…
09-03 16:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3619cc…
09-02 07:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a8a20…
08-30 09:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c6b2c…
08-29 09:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d598e…
08-28 08:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a1319…
08-27 08:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe89aea…
08-26 08:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6c4b1…
08-25 09:39:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x544fba…
08-24 13:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54726c…
08-23 14:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ecf0b…
08-22 08:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x135c8d…
08-21 07:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a75e0…
08-20 09:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb79375…
08-18 08:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89e605…
08-17 08:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbca19d…
08-16 14:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16d13b…
08-15 10:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x341c1d…
08-14 06:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19b987…
08-13 08:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e3dad…
08-12 08:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa90129…
08-11 06:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46b368…
08-10 08:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf45e67…
08-09 02:14:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88ff95…
08-08 07:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b3310…
08-07 07:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6908a3…
08-06 06:48:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0cc7e7…
08-05 08:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x590f6e…
08-04 08:22:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb817fc…
08-03 07:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe71479…
08-02 06:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x203751…
08-01 07:06:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95862a…
07-31 13:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff71c9…
07-30 07:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb26c1f…
07-29 07:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb079e…
07-28 07:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57bbb5…
07-27 08:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59fee6…
07-26 07:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb63499…
07-25 08:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f8a47…
07-24 10:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x032590…