Genuine-Traditionalism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

292

Trades

293

lifetime

Volume

$3.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-01 13:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 232 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% -$3

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-14 13:07
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	24	+24	No	-$23	05-15 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-13 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 11?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-11 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 10?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-10 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 9?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:09
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 15:41
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 06:19
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 01:55
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 11:44
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 03:10
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 08:49
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:32
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:38
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-04 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-03 13:30
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-02 08:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:24
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-08 10:19
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-07 06:58
highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 7c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 15:11
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:00
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 24c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 15:55
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 72 73f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 02:37
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 14:48
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:36
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:43
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:42
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 14:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6657ad…
11-01 13:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4676f6…
10-31 15:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa11e3a…
10-30 14:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd1b5f6…
10-29 17:47:49	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4ac386…
10-29 09:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x38aac4…
10-28 07:45:38	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9e052c…
10-27 09:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xc58ffe…
10-26 09:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x575803…
10-24 11:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x535665…
10-22 10:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa98971…
10-20 07:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x727475…
10-19 09:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c0a18…
10-18 09:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27417c…
10-17 15:23:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90ef54…
10-16 09:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e779e…
10-15 09:29:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x06c788…
10-14 09:38:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a26bd…
10-13 09:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd71da0…
10-12 09:28:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b6c1c…
10-11 08:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcaf4cb…
10-08 09:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe50674…
10-07 15:25:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6d8f4…
10-06 08:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f7f85…
10-05 02:00:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a379f…
10-03 08:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb0964…
10-02 11:44:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb370b6…
10-01 08:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87eda8…
09-30 12:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf3086…
09-29 15:59:23	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71b5bb…
09-28 09:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf72bb2…
09-27 08:52:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab6b89…
09-25 16:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x168d13…
09-24 08:39:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16b756…
09-23 08:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd88dbf…
09-22 08:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34cfc2…
09-21 09:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf445b…
09-20 05:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d81d7…
09-19 08:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d29d0…
09-18 07:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c14fc…
09-17 04:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48ff9b…
09-16 08:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0b69d…
09-15 10:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ff05f…
09-14 09:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x958d47…
09-12 16:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xace1eb…
09-11 07:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe0e90b…
09-10 08:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xefe5bc…
09-09 12:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9eb00…
09-08 15:45:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1124e4…
09-08 06:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9247e3…
09-07 08:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73cc3d…
09-06 17:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3dbed…
09-06 09:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8c8c8e…
09-05 01:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b0cb0…
09-03 16:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80fd3f…
09-02 07:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd096e4…
08-30 09:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f9f20…
08-29 09:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb2f44…
08-28 08:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20a175…
08-27 08:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xddd49b…
08-26 08:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9644a3…
08-25 09:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x510e55…
08-24 13:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x357d51…
08-23 14:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x691800…
08-22 08:51:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f4d2c…
08-21 07:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x015a42…
08-20 08:48:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x379fc7…
08-18 08:21:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf27270…
08-17 07:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x572dc8…
08-16 14:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf11fa5…
08-15 09:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6510a…
08-14 06:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6f7d8…
08-13 08:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4adfa…
08-12 07:59:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26f68a…
08-11 06:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86ee7e…
08-10 07:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9b8e4…
08-09 02:13:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x02b1b9…
08-08 07:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe57125…
08-07 07:48:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc08084…
08-06 06:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb09c7…
08-05 07:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32b6c9…
08-04 08:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c2fb9…
08-03 07:39:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f08ff…
08-02 02:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xabd43b…
08-01 07:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x65a973…
07-31 13:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf836d0…
07-30 07:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50da74…
07-29 07:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb5002…
07-28 06:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x339610…
07-27 08:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x581c88…
07-26 07:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5eb0ba…
07-25 08:16:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7cc48d…
07-24 10:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb90be7…
07-23 08:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x55bc7b…
07-22 02:06:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x56d73e…
07-21 09:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd5f0a…
07-21 00:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3961a4…
07-20 08:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e24e4…
07-18 23:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5191c5…
07-18 00:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46a501…