Bleak-Perception — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.48K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

917

Trades

5,430

lifetime

Volume

$52.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 09-21 17:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Other

92% 40% +$1,590

Crypto

7% 59% +$57

Politics

1% 15% -$168

Sports

0% 0% -$5

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shanghai on march 23 2026 15c	6	$1.4K	723	723	+0	No	+$1	03-23 05:06
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 16c	6	$1.3K	666	666	+0	No	+$1	03-22 03:03
highest temperature in chongqing on march 22 2026 20c	2	$1.2K	610	610	+0	No	+$0	03-22 07:06
highest temperature in wuhan on march 23 2026 17c	4	$1.2K	605	605	+0	No	+$11	03-23 07:11
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	6	$1.1K	586	586	+0	Yes	+$80	06-15 03:45
highest temperature in chengdu on march 21 2026 22c	13	$998	598	598	+0	No	+$16	03-21 14:42
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	5	$854	440	440	+0	Gold	+$6	01-25 06:20
highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 13c	6	$821	798	798	+0	Yes	-$661	03-24 05:18
highest temperature in shanghai on march 21 2026 13c	3	$728	460	360	+100	No	-$8	03-21 04:33
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	8	$672	600	600	+0	No	-$2	06-14 21:48
will backpack launch a token on march 29	3	$671	341	341	+0	No	+$3	03-12 17:44
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$663	333	333	+0	No	$0	02-03 08:28
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	6	$661	333	333	+0	No	+$3	02-02 06:25
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	4	$654	373	373	+0	Yes	+$8	06-14 22:07
highest temperature in chengdu on march 26 2026 22c	4	$634	414	414	+0	No	-$6	03-26 05:11
highest temperature in chengdu on march 21 2026 19c	3	$623	315	315	+0	No	+$6	03-21 05:14
highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 17c	4	$586	322	322	+0	No	-$38	03-27 05:09
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	3	$540	284	284	+0	Yes	+$26	06-14 03:11
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 19c	26	$523	520	520	+0	No	-$18	03-22 07:57
Scotland leading at halftime?	7	$513	520	520	+0	Yes	-$1	06-14 02:01
Germany leading at halftime?	4	$498	300	300	+0	Yes	-$20	06-14 17:50
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?	4	$447	279	279	+0	Yes	+$111	06-14 06:00
Switzerland leading at halftime?	10	$437	278	278	+0	Yes	+$112	06-13 20:03
highest temperature in beijing on march 23 2026 18c	10	$414	225	225	+0	Yes	+$16	03-23 10:25
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 15c	2	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$0	03-22 02:01
highest temperature in chengdu on march 26 2026 23c	5	$397	219	219	+0	No	+$9	03-26 08:05
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	3	$379	200	200	+0	Yes	+$21	06-17 03:01
ETHGAS FDV above $1B one day after launch?	5	$373	210	164	+46	No	+$1	01-21 14:39
highest temperature in beijing on march 24 2026 20c	4	$369	204	204	+0	No	+$13	03-24 10:13
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	5	$368	245	245	+0	Yes	+$27	06-16 20:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 17:59:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x3e53b4…
09-21 17:58:01	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xfc6e19…
09-04 14:49:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xdc788c…
08-28 17:46:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 17:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x75a137…
08-28 17:45:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xe98498…
08-28 17:39:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3d9c00…
08-28 17:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x1a41bf…
08-28 17:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xec0e0e…
08-28 17:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6718d2…
07-29 16:20:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	95	0¢	$0	0x0f48e2…
07-29 16:13:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xfab4eb…
07-29 16:13:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x1c39da…
07-19 05:54:46	world cup final weather delay 20260716194025806	Yes	SELL	70	4¢	$3	0x6fa1f7…
07-18 20:48:25	world cup final weather delay 20260716194025806	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0xdab3a2…
07-18 17:26:55	world cup final weather delay 20260716194025806	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x118b57…
07-18 15:36:15	world cup final weather delay 20260716194025806	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x4047d0…
07-18 10:12:12	world cup final weather delay 20260716194025806	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x7b4d04…
07-07 13:29:10	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xec4097…
07-04 16:03:29	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	No	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0x6ac495…
07-04 16:02:58	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Morocco	SELL	19	71¢	$13	0x369b7c…
07-04 15:23:22	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0x1a291a…
07-04 15:22:11	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	No	SELL	21	46¢	$10	0x06a202…
07-04 03:20:47	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa276ce…
07-04 03:19:58	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x1ccca9…
07-02 07:34:01	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xf383d6…
07-01 16:43:25	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x1c4c53…
06-30 14:40:04	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x70afe8…
06-29 18:20:29	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2f5e81…
06-29 18:18:59	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xedb736…
06-29 18:09:23	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xe3ea11…
06-29 17:54:52	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	18	22¢	$4	0x801f9f…
06-29 15:30:10	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x207f52…
06-21 16:26:07	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	37	70¢	$26	0x6e1faf…
06-21 16:21:35	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xcc3fb4…
06-21 07:51:47	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0x451e4c…
06-21 02:18:47	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	23	69¢	$16	0xc5c9ec…
06-21 01:46:19	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xc6da70…
06-20 17:21:47	Germany leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	70	51¢	$36	0x218ec3…
06-20 17:17:11	Netherlands vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	179	2¢	$4	0x58719e…
06-20 17:09:32	Netherlands vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x5f38d6…
06-20 17:08:46	Netherlands vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	179	18¢	$32	0x1373e3…
06-20 04:52:47	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	35	69¢	$24	0x82c8ea…
06-20 04:52:13	Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	27¢	$5	0xa43f64…
06-20 04:52:11	Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xcb4154…
06-20 04:52:11	Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	63	27¢	$17	0x7a2fe0…
06-20 04:52:11	Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x31abf3…
06-20 03:41:40	Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x5fb47f…
06-20 03:40:32	Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x3f8441…
06-20 03:40:31	Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	51	12¢	$6	0xd6944c…
06-20 03:40:31	Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x86e965…
06-20 03:37:08	Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xa9f503…
06-20 03:36:02	Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0x6c05df…
06-20 03:35:59	Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x4a9022…
06-20 03:12:31	Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	97	25¢	$24	0x696caa…
06-20 03:12:22	Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x2defe2…
06-20 03:08:20	Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	41	28¢	$11	0x4d75f8…
06-20 01:32:10	Brazil leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x7bbe31…
06-20 00:56:25	Brazil leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x411e92…
06-19 19:50:49	Morocco leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x37a8fd…
06-19 19:45:47	Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xcc9662…
06-19 19:43:26	Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xeecfa4…
06-19 19:35:13	Morocco leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	23	41¢	$9	0x055953…
06-19 19:34:01	United States vs. Australia: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x0e4bf1…
06-19 17:15:28	United States vs. Australia: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xe05474…
06-19 02:11:38	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	43	74¢	$32	0xa107bf…
06-19 01:56:55	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x444841…
06-19 01:53:14	Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xfe240b…
06-19 01:43:16	Mexico leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x657de6…
06-19 01:30:17	Mexico leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	91	22¢	$20	0x63658b…
06-19 01:29:44	Mexico leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x894d77…
06-19 01:28:44	Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xb2a11f…
06-19 01:09:47	Mexico leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	120	32¢	$38	0x8b73a8…
06-18 17:12:17	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	103	21¢	$22	0x869a6e…
06-18 17:12:16	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xf05a79…
06-18 17:12:16	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xb412aa…
06-18 17:12:13	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0x142587…
06-18 16:40:01	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	157	21¢	$33	0xf32ab9…
06-18 04:15:08	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x2e717f…
06-18 03:46:52	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xcde48f…
06-18 03:36:55	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x2c62af…
06-18 03:35:08	Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0x7f9787…
06-18 03:06:52	Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x57a5d2…
06-18 02:40:07	Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	87	54¢	$47	0xf7d501…
06-18 02:36:10	Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x76bf28…
06-18 02:34:37	Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x5fe0c9…
06-18 02:30:52	Colombia leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0xbe9b9d…
06-18 02:11:49	Colombia leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2aa699…
06-18 02:11:40	Colombia leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	80	51¢	$41	0x11b0b4…
06-18 00:58:17	Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x60651b…
06-18 00:39:44	Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd523e7…
06-17 19:24:41	Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x5e5acf…
06-17 19:01:40	Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x43f404…
06-17 18:51:14	Portugal vs. DR Congo: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x187b75…
06-17 18:39:31	Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xab11d6…
06-17 18:38:34	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0xb56d0c…
06-17 18:12:26	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x1bb4e4…
06-17 17:34:55	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xb9f165…
06-17 17:25:22	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x6f147b…
06-17 17:25:08	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	54	92¢	$50	0xf412f2…
06-17 17:24:11	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0xfc9f62…