Bleak-Motherinlaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.1%

Resolved

Trades

3,012

lifetime

Volume

$3.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 06-19 11:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 41% +$9

Other

10% — —

Tech

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 529 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	06-01 17:38
lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 16 2026 0pt82	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	06-07 00:26
Will Hotstuff launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	06-03 10:12
will russia capture sofiivka by december 31	2	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	06-07 10:01
will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	9	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	06-06 19:51
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	2	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	06-02 10:41
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	2	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	06-05 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	7	$16	29	0	+29	open	—	05-17 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	5	$15	24	0	+24	open	—	05-17 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	6	$15	26	0	+26	open	—	05-17 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	5	$14	24	0	+24	open	—	05-17 06:49
fda approves gsk spero therapeutics tebipenem hbr 06 18 2026	3	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	06-05 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	5	$14	29	0	+29	open	—	05-17 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$13	19	0	+19	open	—	05-17 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	4	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	05-17 06:29
ostium fdv above 200m one day after launch	3	$13	20	20	+0	open	—	06-07 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	4	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	05-17 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	4	$11	19	0	+19	open	—	05-17 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	4	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	05-17 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	7	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	05-17 05:24
fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	2	$11	20	20	+0	open	—	06-06 07:19
will eberechi eze score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	3	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	06-04 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	5	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	05-17 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$9	15	0	+15	open	—	05-17 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	4	$9	15	0	+15	open	—	05-17 05:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	3	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	05-17 07:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	3	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	05-17 05:01
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?	3	$7	20	20	+0	open	—	06-03 06:01
lowest temperature in seoul on april 22 2026 9c	2	$7	7	6	+0	open	—	04-22 04:15
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	7	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	04-30 11:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 11:55:02	btc updown 5m 1781869800	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7d17de…
06-17 16:30:01	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x935b91…
06-17 04:12:56	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 12am et	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x12af26…
06-17 04:12:47	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4459d4…
06-17 04:09:56	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 12am et	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x23df04…
06-17 04:09:47	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x022c75…
06-17 04:06:11	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 12am et	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x060f85…
06-17 04:06:02	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc2bca7…
06-17 03:53:16	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 11pm et	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x259287…
06-17 03:53:07	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x61e5f9…
06-17 03:50:40	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 11pm et	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x9ac627…
06-17 03:49:10	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2a524a…
06-17 03:42:49	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 11pm et	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x8ddaa1…
06-17 03:42:46	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x30ed2b…
06-07 18:26:18	ostium fdv above 200m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x45cd59…
06-07 17:21:36	ostium fdv above 200m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0x4ed593…
06-07 16:58:00	ostium fdv above 200m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x454e6c…
06-07 10:01:12	will russia capture sofiivka by december 31	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xf4d3a2…
06-07 03:29:42	will russia capture sofiivka by december 31	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xd1c15f…
06-07 00:26:13	lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 16 2026 0pt82	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x431ea2…
06-06 22:35:31	lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 16 2026 0pt82	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x19527a…
06-06 19:51:03	will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	17	44¢	$8	0x144e4f…
06-06 19:06:00	will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0x505665…
06-06 19:05:57	will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x701f2c…
06-06 19:05:57	will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x545d6f…
06-06 19:05:57	will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x28cd3d…
06-06 19:05:27	will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xc61747…
06-06 19:05:27	will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x8c5184…
06-06 19:05:27	will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x6b3d51…
06-06 18:52:54	will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$10	0x45ce04…
06-06 11:36:28	will spacex have fewer than 11 launches in june 2026	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xf2bbe5…
06-06 07:19:31	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x8e1d1f…
06-05 11:25:09	fda approves gsk spero therapeutics tebipenem hbr 06 18 2026	No	SELL	18	24¢	$4	0xa33cc0…
06-05 10:59:03	fda approves gsk spero therapeutics tebipenem hbr 06 18 2026	No	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x2f8ea6…
06-05 10:58:22	fda approves gsk spero therapeutics tebipenem hbr 06 18 2026	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x1ca2ad…
06-05 10:12:39	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x46e060…
06-05 10:08:00	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x604ca9…
06-05 04:10:52	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xed1013…
06-05 02:43:13	will spacex have fewer than 11 launches in june 2026	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xcf3634…
06-04 23:24:09	will eberechi eze score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	9	51¢	$4	0x544dd0…
06-03 10:12:20	Will Hotstuff launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x1f0434…
06-03 08:30:05	Will Hotstuff launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x6469a2…
06-03 06:01:08	Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0xec8d09…
06-03 05:38:14	Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x8edd80…
06-03 04:30:18	Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x101bb6…
06-02 23:53:46	Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0xd6bdad…
06-02 23:25:22	Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xc949af…
06-02 23:25:22	Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x769345…
06-02 17:23:40	Will Eberechi Eze score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x206f85…
06-02 17:23:09	Will Eberechi Eze score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6e1af1…
06-02 10:41:15	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x9b9821…
06-02 08:16:51	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xb57c8b…
06-01 17:38:42	Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xa85df2…
06-01 17:37:04	Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x416e94…
05-17 08:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0xeecbf0…
05-17 08:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x9e6297…
05-17 08:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8b673b…
05-17 08:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x611ab9…
05-17 08:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb85a4e…
05-17 08:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x736460…
05-17 08:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xfa5c9f…
05-17 08:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xe40315…
05-17 08:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x2e991f…
05-17 08:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9d2415…
05-17 07:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x145b0c…
05-17 07:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x3a5a6b…
05-17 07:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6cf57c…
05-17 07:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe70c7c…
05-17 07:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x167f54…
05-17 07:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd6b244…
05-17 07:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x655d8c…
05-17 07:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x2f3090…
05-17 07:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xa8b240…
05-17 07:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x010faf…
05-17 07:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa92c4a…
05-17 07:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x9ffdd6…
05-17 07:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xceffaa…
05-17 07:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x706ca9…
05-17 07:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x3accb9…
05-17 07:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xf2a4d0…
05-17 07:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbc18f6…
05-17 07:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x669132…
05-17 07:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xddd86e…
05-17 07:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2a5cf1…
05-17 07:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1e3df9…
05-17 07:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xb9bf66…
05-17 07:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xaefdec…
05-17 07:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4eca7d…
05-17 07:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xde25f0…
05-17 07:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa0fb57…
05-17 07:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x0eaf4c…
05-17 07:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0xfd789a…
05-17 06:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd7764c…
05-17 06:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x12e20c…
05-17 06:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4ea22e…
05-17 06:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1862b8…
05-17 06:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x103a79…
05-17 06:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xdbe384…
05-17 06:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xff1628…
05-17 06:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa581d0…