Bleak-Motherinlaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$112

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.8%

Resolved

2,268

Trades

3,054

lifetime

Volume

$3.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 06-20 17:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 44% -$52

Other

12% 45% -$37

Politics

3% 0% -$17

Tech

1% 0% -$4

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	8	$50	60	60	+0	No	-$4	06-06 07:30
Will Floriana Natale win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?	4	$28	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	06-05 01:58
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?	2	$25	20	20	+0	No	-$3	06-06 10:49
Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	06-01 17:38
lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 16 2026 0pt82	2	$24	20	20	+0	Yes	-$3	06-07 00:26
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	06-05 03:07
Will Hotstuff launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	06-03 10:12
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	3	$21	20	20	+0	No	-$1	06-01 19:42
will russia capture sofiivka by december 31	2	$20	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	06-07 10:01
will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	9	$19	20	20	+0	Yes	-$2	06-06 19:51
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	2	$19	20	20	+0	No	$0	06-02 10:41
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan mayoral election by between 5% and 10%?	2	$18	20	20	+0	No	-$4	06-03 01:29
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	2	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	06-05 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	7	$16	29	0	+29	Up	+$3	05-17 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	5	$15	24	0	+24	Down	$0	05-17 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	6	$15	26	0	+26	Down	-$5	05-17 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	5	$14	24	0	+24	Up	-$1	05-17 06:49
Will Ernesto Bello win the 2026 Castrovillari mayoral election?	2	$14	20	20	+0	No	-$6	06-03 00:35
fda approves gsk spero therapeutics tebipenem hbr 06 18 2026	3	$14	20	20	+0	Yes	-$4	06-05 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	5	$14	29	0	+29	Up	-$4	05-17 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$13	19	0	+19	Up	-$4	05-17 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	4	$13	20	0	+20	Up	-$3	05-17 06:29
ostium fdv above 200m one day after launch	3	$13	20	20	+0	open	—	06-07 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	4	$12	20	0	+20	Down	-$7	05-17 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	4	$11	19	0	+19	Up	-$2	05-17 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	4	$11	20	0	+20	Down	-$1	05-17 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	7	$11	20	0	+20	Up	-$1	05-17 05:24
fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	2	$11	20	20	+0	Yes	-$5	06-06 07:19
will eberechi eze score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	3	$10	9	9	+0	No	-$2	06-04 23:24
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-06-06?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-06 08:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 17:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf1a164…
06-20 16:26:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 21?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xbd29b1…
06-20 16:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x45ac63…
06-19 11:55:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7d17de…
06-17 16:30:01	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x935b91…
06-17 04:12:56	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 12am et	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x12af26…
06-17 04:12:47	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4459d4…
06-17 04:09:56	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 12am et	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x23df04…
06-17 04:09:47	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x022c75…
06-17 04:06:11	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 12am et	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x060f85…
06-17 04:06:02	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc2bca7…
06-17 03:53:16	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 11pm et	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x259287…
06-17 03:53:07	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x61e5f9…
06-17 03:50:40	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 11pm et	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x9ac627…
06-17 03:49:10	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2a524a…
06-17 03:42:49	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 11pm et	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x8ddaa1…
06-17 03:42:46	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x30ed2b…
06-07 18:26:18	ostium fdv above 200m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x45cd59…
06-07 17:21:36	ostium fdv above 200m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0x4ed593…
06-07 16:58:00	ostium fdv above 200m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x454e6c…
06-07 10:01:12	will russia capture sofiivka by december 31	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xf4d3a2…
06-07 03:29:42	will russia capture sofiivka by december 31	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xd1c15f…
06-07 00:26:13	lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 16 2026 0pt82	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x431ea2…
06-06 22:35:31	lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 16 2026 0pt82	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x19527a…
06-06 19:51:03	will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	17	44¢	$8	0x144e4f…
06-06 19:06:00	will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0x505665…
06-06 19:05:57	will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x701f2c…
06-06 19:05:57	will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x545d6f…
06-06 19:05:57	will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x28cd3d…
06-06 19:05:27	will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xc61747…
06-06 19:05:27	will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x8c5184…
06-06 19:05:27	will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x6b3d51…
06-06 18:52:54	will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$10	0x45ce04…
06-06 11:36:28	will spacex have fewer than 11 launches in june 2026	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xf2bbe5…
06-06 10:49:37	Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x0f5a88…
06-06 10:37:51	Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xc50d6f…
06-06 08:57:30	Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-06-06?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf46b9e…
06-06 08:20:03	Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-06-06?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbab426…
06-06 07:30:39	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x1e502c…
06-06 07:30:13	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xe0d41d…
06-06 07:21:31	Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 0% and 2% in May?	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x728b22…
06-06 07:19:31	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x8e1d1f…
06-06 00:43:27	Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 0% and 2% in May?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xa7ead4…
06-06 00:43:07	Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 0% and 2% in May?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xc55e25…
06-06 00:41:27	Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 0% and 2% in May?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x62aa7c…
06-05 11:25:09	fda approves gsk spero therapeutics tebipenem hbr 06 18 2026	No	SELL	18	24¢	$4	0xa33cc0…
06-05 10:59:03	fda approves gsk spero therapeutics tebipenem hbr 06 18 2026	No	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x2f8ea6…
06-05 10:58:22	fda approves gsk spero therapeutics tebipenem hbr 06 18 2026	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x1ca2ad…
06-05 10:12:39	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x46e060…
06-05 10:08:00	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x604ca9…
06-05 04:10:52	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xed1013…
06-05 03:07:16	Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xf2753f…
06-05 02:43:13	will spacex have fewer than 11 launches in june 2026	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xcf3634…
06-05 02:36:22	Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x2b03a5…
06-05 02:07:25	Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xec4cd3…
06-05 02:03:00	Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x073450…
06-05 01:58:48	Will Floriana Natale win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x2e9187…
06-05 01:58:21	Will Floriana Natale win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?	No	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0xd1f938…
06-05 01:58:10	Will Floriana Natale win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?	No	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0xfb807d…
06-04 23:24:09	will eberechi eze score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	9	51¢	$4	0x544dd0…
06-04 21:56:36	Will Floriana Natale win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xdd93a0…
06-04 19:30:37	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	No	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0x36ef72…
06-04 18:12:51	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	No	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x85eb38…
06-04 18:12:37	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xa200d2…
06-03 10:12:20	Will Hotstuff launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x1f0434…
06-03 08:30:05	Will Hotstuff launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x6469a2…
06-03 06:01:08	Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0xec8d09…
06-03 05:38:14	Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x8edd80…
06-03 04:30:18	Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x101bb6…
06-03 01:29:02	Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan mayoral election by between 5% and 10%?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x7e945d…
06-03 01:22:28	Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan mayoral election by between 5% and 10%?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xced8cc…
06-03 00:35:55	Will Ernesto Bello win the 2026 Castrovillari mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x564087…
06-02 23:53:46	Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0xd6bdad…
06-02 23:52:52	Will Ernesto Bello win the 2026 Castrovillari mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7189ae…
06-02 23:25:22	Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xc949af…
06-02 23:25:22	Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x769345…
06-02 21:27:07	Will Sandro Parcaroli win the 2026 Macerata mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xd7f263…
06-02 21:14:02	Will Sandro Parcaroli win the 2026 Macerata mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xd59ac8…
06-02 17:23:40	Will Eberechi Eze score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x206f85…
06-02 17:23:09	Will Eberechi Eze score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6e1af1…
06-02 10:41:15	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x9b9821…
06-02 09:56:47	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	No	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0xfde6d1…
06-02 09:56:47	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	No	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x46f6e9…
06-02 09:11:15	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x43f668…
06-02 08:16:51	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xb57c8b…
06-01 19:42:54	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x0b599b…
06-01 19:10:28	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xb424e2…
06-01 19:10:28	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x7023d7…
06-01 17:38:42	Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xa85df2…
06-01 17:37:04	Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x416e94…
05-17 08:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0xeecbf0…
05-17 08:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x9e6297…
05-17 08:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8b673b…
05-17 08:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x611ab9…
05-17 08:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb85a4e…
05-17 08:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x736460…
05-17 08:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xfa5c9f…
05-17 08:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xe40315…
05-17 08:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x2e991f…
05-17 08:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9d2415…