Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$93

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

19.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

41 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$239

$239 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-29

last 10-27 21:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

63% 0% -$90

Crypto

35% 15% -$3

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes		+147	$5	2¢	$3	-$2	10-27 21:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 30?	2	$36	138	138	+0	Yes	-$4	08-29 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	3	$35	180	150	+30	Down	+$23	09-05 07:44
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on September 3?	1	$30	493	0	+493	No	-$30	09-02 20:48
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	2	$14	97	97	+0	No	-$2	10-26 23:21
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 30?	2	$13	333	333	+0	No	-$7	08-29 14:11
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 30?	2	$12	97	97	+0	No	-$4	08-29 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	3	$11	49	16	+33	Down	+$3	09-05 17:38
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	1	$10	393	0	+393	No	-$10	09-05 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$10	37	0	+37	Up	-$10	09-02 20:36
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	1	$9	350	0	+350	No	-$9	09-06 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$8	400	400	+0	Up	+$0	09-02 22:33
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	1	$7	113	0	+113	No	-$7	10-26 23:26
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$5	147	0	+147	open	—	10-27 21:46
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	1	$5	1,033	0	+1,033	No	-$5	09-05 07:41
bitcoin above 78k on september 6 2026	1	$4	222	0	+222	Yes	-$4	09-05 18:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 29?	2	$4	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$2	08-29 15:00
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	1	$4	266	0	+266	No	-$4	09-04 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$4	37	0	+37	Up	-$4	09-02 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$3	23	0	+23	Up	-$3	09-05 07:46
Will MrBeast's next video get between 77 and 78 million views in week 1?	1	$3	449	0	+449	No	-$3	08-29 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$2	1,014	0	+1,014	Up	-$2	10-26 23:29
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05?	1	$2	200	0	+200	No	-$2	09-05 18:21
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-05?	1	$1	167	0	+167	No	-$1	09-05 18:21
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	1	$1	500	0	+500	No	-$1	09-05 22:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 27?	1	$1	200	0	+200	No	-$1	10-26 19:49
Will MrBeast's next video get between 76 and 77 million views in week 1?	1	$1	110	0	+110	No	-$1	08-29 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$1	17	0	+17	Down	-$1	10-26 19:44
Will MrBeast's next video get between 74 and 75 million views in week 1?	1	$1	8	0	+8	No	-$1	08-29 10:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 15:00 UTC	1	$1	6	0	+6	Down	-$1	08-29 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Up	-$1	09-05 17:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:46:09	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	3¢	$5	0x334563…
10-26 23:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x122362…
10-26 23:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8a322e…
10-26 23:26:35	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	6¢	$7	0xfcf3d6…
10-26 23:21:23	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	97	6¢	$6	0xfafd18…
10-26 19:49:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xacda2d…
10-26 19:46:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	8¢	$8	0xb49b7c…
10-26 19:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1495ce…
09-06 09:21:30	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	350	3¢	$9	0x9dcd4f…
09-05 22:27:30	Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x54ff6d…
09-05 18:21:57	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x5b00ce…
09-05 18:21:42	Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xf14c46…
09-05 18:20:57	bitcoin above 78k on september 6 2026	No	BUY	222	2¢	$4	0xaff9b4…
09-05 17:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa60322…
09-05 17:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc49ec7…
09-05 17:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	16	44¢	$7	0xa23fc9…
09-05 17:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x724c26…
09-05 08:13:40	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	393	3¢	$10	0xbe4d9d…
09-05 07:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x3d3855…
09-05 07:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x992e73…
09-05 07:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	150	19¢	$29	0x4d58f1…
09-05 07:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xe6d2a2…
09-05 07:41:16	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,033	0¢	$5	0x169804…
09-04 09:19:09	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	266	1¢	$4	0x07745a…
09-02 22:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	400	1¢	$4	0x91b256…
09-02 22:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x74fbce…
09-02 20:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	493	6¢	$30	0x90909b…
09-02 20:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xa8041e…
09-02 20:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	37	10¢	$4	0x76218c…
08-29 15:01:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0d5d9b…
08-29 15:00:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 29?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe61c98…
08-29 14:14:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 29?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x118020…
08-29 14:11:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	333	1¢	$3	0x451b3b…
08-29 12:58:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 77 and 78 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	449	1¢	$3	0x468819…
08-29 12:51:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	97	4¢	$4	0x991b19…
08-29 11:29:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	97	8¢	$8	0xff93f0…
08-29 11:28:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x859721…
08-29 11:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	138	12¢	$16	0x007f3b…
08-29 11:06:48	Will MrBeast's next video get between 76 and 77 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x90e691…
08-29 11:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	138	14¢	$20	0x02ef75…
08-29 10:38:09	Will MrBeast's next video get between 74 and 75 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb5d79a…