Dependent-Uplift — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$328

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.7%

Resolved

Trades

659

lifetime

Volume

$126.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$192

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-05 05:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 36% $-427

Other

20% 0% $-89

Sports

11% 67% +$188

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 213 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka	11	$5.6K	6,382	6,283	+100	open	—	04-27 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	11	$5.0K	4,085	3,392	+693	open	—	04-27 15:45
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptiste	9	$3.3K	2,968	2,927	+40	open	—	04-27 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	6	$2.7K	2,476	2,208	+268	open	—	05-04 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	5	$2.7K	2,302	1,613	+689	open	—	04-27 10:50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Diane Parry	4	$2.4K	1,334	1,334	+0	open	—	05-04 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	7	$2.1K	1,808	1,587	+221	open	—	04-27 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	6	$2.1K	1,770	1,717	+53	open	—	04-27 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	9	$2.0K	2,085	2,006	+79	open	—	04-27 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	7	$2.0K	2,358	2,289	+69	open	—	04-27 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	5	$1.9K	1,255	1,230	+26	open	—	04-27 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	15	$1.7K	1,553	1,553	+0	open	—	05-02 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	4	$1.6K	1,158	986	+172	open	—	05-04 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	6	$1.5K	1,279	1,279	+0	open	—	05-04 10:24
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	3	$1.5K	932	932	+0	open	—	05-03 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$1.4K	1,173	1,150	+24	open	—	04-27 15:40
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5	7	$1.4K	981	981	+0	open	—	05-02 22:37
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Flavio Cobolli	2	$1.4K	786	783	+3	open	—	04-27 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	4	$1.4K	1,174	1,132	+41	open	—	04-27 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$1.4K	693	691	+2	open	—	04-27 18:55
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins	2	$1.3K	886	886	+0	open	—	05-02 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	6	$1.2K	1,670	1,602	+68	open	—	04-27 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$1.2K	633	633	+0	open	—	05-02 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	11	$1.2K	1,251	1,251	+0	open	—	05-02 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$1.2K	715	700	+15	open	—	04-27 13:20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Ashlyn Krueger vs Nikola Bartunkova	3	$1.2K	631	631	+0	open	—	05-04 09:14
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Felix Auger-Aliassime	5	$1.2K	1,585	0	+1,585	open	—	04-27 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$1.2K	681	668	+13	open	—	04-27 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	5	$1.1K	1,101	1,065	+36	open	—	04-27 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$1.1K	694	677	+16	open	—	04-27 19:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 05:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xc36a15…
05-05 05:19:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	137	6¢	$8	0x0544b5…
05-05 05:18:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	137	51¢	$70	0xe25644…
05-05 05:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	75	97¢	$73	0x92e371…
05-05 05:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0x895ff7…
05-05 05:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	504	15¢	$74	0x3a64ae…
05-05 05:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	504	38¢	$190	0xa1d2d7…
05-05 05:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xdbad52…
05-05 05:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	103	78¢	$80	0x3064ee…
05-05 05:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	257	28¢	$71	0x46f4df…
05-05 05:12:24	Wuxi: Jason Jung vs Andre Ilagan	Andre Ilagan	SELL	416	76¢	$317	0x67bc5c…
05-05 05:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	257	47¢	$121	0x565b55…
05-05 05:07:26	Wuxi: Jason Jung vs Andre Ilagan	Andre Ilagan	SELL	128	82¢	$105	0x905570…
05-05 05:05:20	Wuxi: Jason Jung vs Andre Ilagan	Andre Ilagan	BUY	544	92¢	$500	0x971c9e…
05-05 05:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	136	93¢	$126	0x91e5d1…
05-05 05:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	136	50¢	$68	0x130ba8…
05-05 05:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	164	99¢	$163	0x4aafdc…
05-05 04:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x18a29d…
05-05 04:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	270	41¢	$109	0xe6d4c5…
05-05 04:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	229	49¢	$111	0xe4d531…
05-05 04:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	220	44¢	$97	0x1e5f30…
05-05 04:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xb3d04b…
05-05 04:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	229	35¢	$80	0x245736…
05-05 04:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	319	31¢	$100	0xc48366…
05-05 04:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	103	87¢	$90	0xe671df…
05-05 04:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	103	48¢	$50	0x493732…
05-05 04:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	319	47¢	$150	0x6ce131…
05-05 04:49:20	Wuxi: Jason Jung vs Andre Ilagan	Andre Ilagan	SELL	126	74¢	$93	0x214f6c…
05-05 04:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	81	24¢	$19	0x724aae…
05-05 04:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x6036c1…
05-05 04:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	125	77¢	$96	0x986518…
05-05 04:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	125	48¢	$60	0x10fc3b…
05-05 04:39:24	Wuxi: Jason Jung vs Andre Ilagan	Andre Ilagan	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe4423d…
05-05 04:35:44	Wuxi: Jason Jung vs Andre Ilagan	Andre Ilagan	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x3c5a7c…
05-05 04:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	141	99¢	$139	0xdb09cd…
05-05 04:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x5dd19b…
05-05 04:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x6a6095…
05-05 04:31:40	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	SELL	433	99¢	$429	0x2b160c…
05-05 04:23:50	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	321	92¢	$295	0x144f9c…
05-05 04:23:30	Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)	Ducks	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xf5017b…
05-05 04:22:52	Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)	Ducks	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xc0ecf9…
05-05 04:19:02	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	112	88¢	$99	0x872135…
05-05 04:18:22	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	44	9¢	$4	0xf27df9…
05-05 04:17:46	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0xa71498…
05-05 04:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	125	28¢	$35	0x3e26b2…
05-05 04:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x5d07bb…
05-05 04:14:52	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	536	100¢	$535	0xeb3ac4…
05-05 03:50:52	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x9495ff…
05-05 03:50:30	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xcf2fb1…
05-05 03:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x985a3c…
05-05 03:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	139	48¢	$67	0xcfb7da…
05-05 03:48:32	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	131	54¢	$71	0x2afb70…
05-05 03:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x0b5e1a…
05-05 03:40:58	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xeb8bc9…
05-04 11:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	835	38¢	$317	0x4ac1f4…
05-04 11:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	970	36¢	$345	0xa7425c…
05-04 11:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x7d9980…
05-04 11:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x1b5c59…
05-04 11:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	947	79¢	$750	0xa5eb27…
05-04 11:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	359	99¢	$355	0x1cca9f…
05-04 10:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	359	74¢	$266	0x2a4e06…
05-04 10:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	425	47¢	$200	0x779984…
05-04 10:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1,085	98¢	$1,062	0x3fc6a4…
05-04 10:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0xf947ab…
05-04 10:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1,123	7¢	$74	0xd90d44…
05-04 10:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	521	72¢	$374	0xdda9c4…
05-04 10:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	870	66¢	$576	0x3af023…
05-04 10:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1,004	57¢	$570	0x72ee9c…
05-04 10:46:02	Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs	ALGO Esports	SELL	449	20¢	$89	0x867f9c…
05-04 10:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	671	63¢	$425	0x0b4bc7…
05-04 10:43:28	Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs	ALGO Esports	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0x0d1acf…
05-04 10:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	421	31¢	$129	0xa5d5b3…
05-04 10:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	421	48¢	$200	0x57d645…
05-04 10:36:56	Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs	ALGO Esports	BUY	121	66¢	$80	0x96d06e…
05-04 10:32:46	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Jesper de Jong	Pedro Martinez	SELL	2,309	9¢	$206	0x599b00…
05-04 10:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	854	37¢	$318	0x154db6…
05-04 10:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	505	54¢	$270	0x8587e7…
05-04 10:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	349	57¢	$200	0xf5f37e…
05-04 10:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	549	89¢	$487	0x237739…
05-04 10:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	549	58¢	$320	0x64535b…
05-04 10:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	445	96¢	$425	0x1a116d…
05-04 10:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	445	56¢	$250	0xaed519…
05-04 10:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	210	38¢	$80	0xa9680a…
05-04 10:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	210	48¢	$100	0xfc2cb6…
05-04 10:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	624	58¢	$361	0xe3d1f6…
05-04 10:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	624	48¢	$300	0xbb9aba…
05-04 10:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x917175…
05-04 10:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	676	91¢	$614	0x029b47…
05-04 10:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	369	54¢	$200	0x951f4f…
05-04 10:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	307	65¢	$200	0xc447e4…
05-04 10:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	986	81¢	$802	0x29c745…
05-04 10:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	172	23¢	$40	0xb4e6e5…
05-04 10:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	469	70¢	$330	0x3e3f41…
05-04 10:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	517	77¢	$400	0xa12626…
05-04 10:09:34	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Jesper de Jong	Pedro Martinez	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xf0d819…
05-04 10:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	338	99¢	$335	0x3b8f87…
05-04 10:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	338	89¢	$300	0xe0d81f…
05-04 10:04:02	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Jesper de Jong	Pedro Martinez	BUY	970	26¢	$250	0x11b788…
05-04 10:02:52	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Jesper de Jong	Pedro Martinez	BUY	1,334	22¢	$300	0xfd1b14…
05-04 09:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	495	98¢	$487	0x5bdd3f…