Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$66

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-26

last 09-17 07:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

74% 50% -$11

Politics

21% 38% -$5

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-13 09:03
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-02 19:06
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	08-01 16:36
aapl up or down on august 6 2026	1	$2	8	+8	Up	-$2	08-06 13:12
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-03 20:22
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-17 07:35
will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-13 01:01
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-13 17:03
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-06 05:10
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-04 20:26
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-19 22:31
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-02 09:23
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	-$2	08-02 00:40
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on September 1?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	09-01 10:38
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-03 03:11
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-02 00:40
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-14 13:18
wti closes above 84 on august 19 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-19 01:30
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-04 04:25
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-20 09:53
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-03 11:12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-04 12:25
czr quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt05	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	07-26 16:24
wti closes above 85 on july 29 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	07-29 17:32
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-28 02:32
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-31 21:24
another pandemic before gta vi	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-30 20:42
will warsh say framework during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$2	2	+2	No	-$2	08-19 14:08
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	07-26 04:22
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	1	$2	3	+3	cancelled	+$0	07-27 04:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 07:35:52	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x381c75…
09-07 22:26:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8eaeb9…
09-01 10:38:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on September 1?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x8d14b3…
08-20 09:53:12	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xaf18f2…
08-19 22:31:24	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf161f5…
08-19 14:08:30	will warsh say framework during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x683640…
08-19 01:30:39	wti closes above 84 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xdc04ba…
08-14 13:18:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x303f94…
08-13 17:03:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xc6f081…
08-13 09:03:43	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x9c22e6…
08-13 01:01:27	will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x5f0302…
08-06 13:12:20	aapl up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xec3378…
08-06 05:10:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xe39a88…
08-04 20:26:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x8c24be…
08-04 12:25:50	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x83d6d4…
08-04 04:25:27	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xd87fab…
08-03 20:22:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5a00e8…
08-03 11:12:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x09aa8d…
08-03 03:11:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x755b98…
08-02 19:06:18	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xac346f…
08-02 09:23:47	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x3bf433…
08-02 00:40:45	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xf6616e…
08-02 00:40:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x4cb8dc…
08-01 16:36:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x311c82…
08-01 05:26:42	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x49db8e…
07-31 21:24:41	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1dee5c…
07-31 13:24:15	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during cabinet meeting 20260727172357454	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x89ca7b…
07-30 20:42:18	another pandemic before gta vi	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x53313c…
07-30 12:07:57	will trump say iran or israel 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357439	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xcfb867…
07-29 17:32:51	wti closes above 85 on july 29 2026	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xf3d84d…
07-28 22:12:22	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xa529ed…
07-28 02:32:00	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x86cc57…
07-27 16:32:48	sono quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt2	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xae3af2…
07-27 04:26:24	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x43c245…
07-26 16:24:04	czr quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt05	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xdfc8d1…
07-26 04:22:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x698e15…