Realized P&L (30d)
+$76
Unrealized P&L
+$530
Hit rate
89.9%
Resolved (30d)
552
Trades (30d)
3,759
5,198 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$63.9K
$96.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$8.21K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-28
last 10-27 04:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Other
70% 85% +$95
Politics
20% 78% $0
Sports
7% 87% -$6
Tech
3% 40% -$10
Crypto
0% 0% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 433 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +519 $517 100¢ $516 -$1 10-18 12:49
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +519 $515 99¢ $515 $0 10-18 12:49
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +519 $345 92¢ $475 +$130 10-18 12:49
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +422 $314 98¢ $416 +$101 10-13 06:26
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +446 $330 91¢ $405 +$76 10-23 23:41
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +396 $395 100¢ $395 +$0 10-23 23:41
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +375 $374 100¢ $374 $0 10-22 17:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +350 $345 99¢ $348 +$2 10-23 09:45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +350 $348 99¢ $347 -$2 10-23 09:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +350 $343 97¢ $341 -$2 10-23 09:45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +300 $297 100¢ $300 +$2 09-23 14:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +300 $298 100¢ $299 +$1 09-23 14:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +300 $153 94¢ $280 +$128 09-23 14:57
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +375 $210 74¢ $276 +$66 10-22 17:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +350 $258 78¢ $275 +$17 10-23 09:45
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +300 $197 70¢ $208 +$12 10-20 01:39
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +175 $175 100¢ $175 +$0 10-21 03:48
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? No +175 $175 100¢ $175 $0 10-12 07:34
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? No +175 $175 100¢ $175 +$0 10-12 07:34
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +175 $175 100¢ $175 $0 10-21 03:48
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +175 $175 100¢ $175 $0 10-21 03:48
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +175 $175 100¢ $175 +$0 10-21 03:48
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +175 $174 100¢ $175 +$1 10-19 05:56
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +175 $175 100¢ $175 $0 10-21 03:48
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? No +175 $175 100¢ $175 $0 10-12 07:34
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +175 $174 100¢ $174 $0 10-21 03:48
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +175 $174 100¢ $174 $0 10-21 03:48
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +175 $174 100¢ $174 +$0 10-21 03:48
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +175 $173 99¢ $173 +$0 10-21 03:48
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +175 $173 99¢ $173 $0 10-21 03:48