Frosty-Tragedy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.8%

Resolved

179

Trades

603

lifetime

Volume

$4.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-22 16:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 84% +$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	3	$44	34	34	+0	open	—	05-20 07:27
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$40	56	0	+56	open	—	05-20 09:55
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$40	45	0	+45	open	—	05-20 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	3	$34	26	26	+0	Up	$-6	05-11 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	3	$32	22	12	+10	Up	+$2	05-12 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	5	$30	22	11	+11	open	—	05-17 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$29	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	05-13 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	3	$29	24	13	+11	Up	$-0	05-12 21:14
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	2	$28	23	23	+0	open	—	05-20 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	3	$27	26	14	+11	Down	$-2	05-14 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$26	19	19	+0	open	—	05-20 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	3	$24	25	13	+12	open	—	05-18 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	05-20 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	3	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-16 14:25
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	05-20 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$20	26	0	+26	Down	+$6	05-11 13:56
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-20 09:28
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-20 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	4	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-16 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-15 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	2	$20	21	21	+0	open	—	05-15 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	4	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-16 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	05-21 07:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$18	16	16	+0	open	—	05-21 08:56
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$18	18	18	+0	open	—	05-22 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$18	12	12	+0	Up	$-2	05-11 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	05-22 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$17	16	16	+0	open	—	05-15 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$17	17	17	+0	open	—	05-20 03:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 16:29:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0x046c1a…
05-22 16:25:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4a76c5…
05-22 16:14:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd46ec0…
05-22 15:59:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb30feb…
05-22 15:57:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x028760…
05-22 15:57:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8931b6…
05-22 15:44:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x02673a…
05-22 15:43:03	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0xce836f…
05-22 15:41:25	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3e38cf…
05-22 13:41:10	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	18	44¢	$8	0x94ebef…
05-22 13:40:51	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xf9c10e…
05-22 13:25:06	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc4166a…
05-22 13:12:38	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	33¢	$4	0xbc8eda…
05-22 13:11:06	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x8594b1…
05-22 12:55:07	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6a2938…
05-22 12:40:07	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x845b73…
05-22 12:25:15	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd8eeaf…
05-22 12:10:12	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x0d6734…
05-22 11:55:40	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc29f6f…
05-22 11:40:07	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x9c138a…
05-22 11:25:06	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x7e1fad…
05-22 08:59:39	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xfdbc2a…
05-22 08:56:04	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x8784a7…
05-22 08:40:06	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x78bdf1…
05-22 08:10:06	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xfd72e4…
05-22 07:55:06	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x7b2cb0…
05-22 07:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x1b8463…
05-22 07:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x003092…
05-22 07:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7ce41c…
05-22 07:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1d571c…
05-22 06:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x45c4fd…
05-22 06:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x20d936…
05-22 06:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	53¢	$8	0x165434…
05-22 06:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x65d513…
05-22 05:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x1727b4…
05-22 05:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd81f95…
05-22 04:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xec0041…
05-22 04:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xac8a33…
05-22 04:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xae13f8…
05-22 04:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x17a2d6…
05-21 09:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x9d0bbe…
05-21 09:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71bd60…
05-21 09:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0x067eb9…
05-21 09:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x08b060…
05-21 09:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x97af4f…
05-21 08:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	16	52¢	$8	0x04fa7d…
05-21 08:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x67596a…
05-21 08:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe2ed6c…
05-21 08:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x90c5ba…
05-21 08:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x879854…
05-21 07:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaa7ebd…
05-21 07:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa943ce…
05-21 07:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xd23443…
05-21 07:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	63¢	$9	0x3016e9…
05-21 07:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x6d7bb8…
05-21 06:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xf522cf…
05-21 06:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xe6875d…
05-21 06:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x0e217b…
05-21 06:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x5479fb…
05-21 05:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xf2c44a…
05-21 05:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	14	47¢	$6	0x6dad67…
05-21 05:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xa38a5f…
05-21 05:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x7354b9…
05-21 05:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xb4980a…
05-21 04:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xcbfe6c…
05-21 04:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xe976bf…
05-21 04:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x1d3d7d…
05-21 04:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x41a877…
05-21 03:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xbf477e…
05-21 03:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xc3e840…
05-21 03:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xed8fe9…
05-21 03:11:32	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x3826c4…
05-21 02:55:08	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6427ce…
05-21 02:44:07	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x85493f…
05-21 02:25:07	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6ca2f8…
05-21 02:10:08	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x201624…
05-21 01:58:37	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x4f84eb…
05-21 01:56:18	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x3f2cc5…
05-21 01:41:12	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x7dc2f9…
05-21 01:40:44	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xb35f67…
05-21 01:25:08	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5f7d61…
05-21 01:10:48	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x185c61…
05-21 00:55:07	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xac888b…
05-21 00:40:07	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x3688a6…
05-21 00:25:29	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x798d61…
05-21 00:10:07	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0b8e0a…
05-20 23:55:07	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x29fe5c…
05-20 23:40:08	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x36df15…
05-20 23:25:08	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x965b47…
05-20 23:11:03	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7315d1…
05-20 22:59:58	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x60bd80…
05-20 19:10:08	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x72b4cd…
05-20 18:55:07	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x35c277…
05-20 18:41:29	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x014785…
05-20 18:25:08	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xcafff7…
05-20 18:10:29	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xd94ba6…
05-20 17:55:07	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa1c38d…
05-20 17:41:52	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x2a8d3e…
05-20 17:25:17	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe548d2…
05-20 17:10:08	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x621900…