Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$252

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

176

Trades

343

lifetime

Volume

$112.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$326

Open exposure

$6.41K

30 positions

First seen

2026-07-27

last 10-22 07:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

57% 98% +$49

Politics

33% 100% +$165

Tech

9% 100% +$32

Sports

0% 100% +$6

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+4,619	$4,591	100¢	$4.6K	+$23	10-12 03:44
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+76	$72	96¢	$73	+$1	10-05 04:13
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	+75	$72	97¢	$72	+$1	10-05 04:13
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+75	$72	97¢	$72	+$1	10-05 04:13
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+74	$72	98¢	$72	+$0	10-05 04:14
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	+74	$72	97¢	$72	+$0	10-05 04:13
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	+79	$72	92¢	$72	+$0	10-05 04:13
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	No	+73	$72	99¢	$72	+$0	10-05 04:14
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+74	$72	97¢	$72	+$0	10-05 04:13
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	No	+75	$72	96¢	$72	+$0	10-05 04:13
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+73	$72	98¢	$72	$0	10-05 04:13
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	+78	$72	92¢	$71	$0	10-05 04:13
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+78	$72	92¢	$71	$0	10-05 04:13
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	+75	$72	95¢	$71	-$1	10-05 04:13
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+78	$72	91¢	$71	-$1	10-05 04:13
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	+76	$72	93¢	$71	-$1	10-05 04:13
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	No	+74	$72	96¢	$71	-$1	10-05 04:13
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	+74	$72	95¢	$71	-$1	10-05 04:13
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+74	$72	96¢	$71	-$1	10-05 04:13
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	+78	$72	90¢	$71	-$1	10-05 04:13
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	No	+76	$72	93¢	$71	-$1	10-05 04:13
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+79	$72	86¢	$68	-$4	10-05 04:13
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	+79	$72	86¢	$68	-$4	10-05 04:13
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+40	$40	100¢	$40	+$0	10-12 03:35
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	+40	$40	83¢	$33	-$6	10-12 03:35
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?	No	+34	$30	92¢	$31	+$1	09-17 07:10
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	+34	$30	92¢	$31	+$1	09-17 07:10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+34	$30	92¢	$31	+$1	09-17 07:09
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+34	$30	92¢	$31	+$1	09-17 07:10
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+33	$30	92¢	$31	+$1	09-17 07:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	6	$20.7K	20,708	0	+20,708	Yes	+$52	08-05 07:41
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	4	$9.2K	9,264	0	+9,264	Yes	+$24	07-30 04:51
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	4	$6.9K	6,871	0	+6,871	No	+$11	07-30 14:51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$4.6K	4,619	0	+4,619	open	—	10-12 03:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 29?	3	$4.5K	4,496	0	+4,496	No	+$4	07-28 20:10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$4.2K	4,279	0	+4,279	No	+$45	08-04 10:43
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	7	$4.0K	4,030	0	+4,030	No	+$4	07-28 09:44
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	2	$2.4K	2,400	0	+2,400	No	+$5	08-18 03:20
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?	3	$2.2K	2,174	0	+2,174	No	+$4	07-28 20:03
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-08-16?	6	$1.8K	1,847	0	+1,847	Yes	+$63	08-17 05:13
Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?	2	$1.7K	1,657	0	+1,657	No	+$3	08-04 02:24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 14?	1	$1.3K	1,324	0	+1,324	No	+$1	08-14 02:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13?	1	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	Yes	+$1	08-13 09:30
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 28?	1	$1.2K	1,207	0	+1,207	No	+$1	09-28 06:35
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 23?	3	$1.2K	1,206	0	+1,206	No	+$2	09-23 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 10?	1	$1.1K	1,108	0	+1,108	No	+$1	10-10 02:19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 11?	2	$1.1K	1,083	0	+1,083	No	+$1	08-11 06:01
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 31?	1	$1.1K	1,078	0	+1,078	No	+$1	07-31 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 6?	2	$1.0K	1,037	0	+1,037	No	+$1	08-06 02:56
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 15?	1	$1.0K	1,028	0	+1,028	Yes	+$1	08-15 14:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 10?	1	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	No	+$1	08-10 09:21
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 30?	1	$989	990	0	+990	Yes	+$1	07-30 14:46
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 17?	3	$970	972	0	+972	No	+$2	08-17 05:06
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 30?	3	$970	966	7	+959	No	-$1	07-30 14:45
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	2	$848	853	0	+853	Yes	+$6	09-29 03:13
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 14?	1	$841	842	0	+842	No	+$1	10-14 07:50
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 13?	2	$828	829	0	+829	Yes	+$1	10-13 06:52
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 31?	1	$828	829	0	+829	No	+$1	07-31 15:38
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 16?	2	$791	793	0	+793	No	+$2	09-16 08:25
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 15?	1	$791	792	0	+792	No	+$1	09-15 05:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 07:50:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0xee3439…
10-22 07:50:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xa33ddc…
10-22 07:50:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x29aaf1…
10-22 03:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 22?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xd784c4…
10-22 03:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 22?	No	BUY	306	100¢	$305	0x1d3ad3…
10-22 03:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 22?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$121	0x627e99…
10-21 03:33:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on October 21?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x8ea1d5…
10-21 03:33:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	224	100¢	$224	0x30074e…
10-21 03:33:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x092033…
10-21 03:33:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 21?	No	BUY	305	100¢	$304	0xdb1039…
10-21 03:32:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 21?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x3d5a0c…
10-20 04:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x1023c6…
10-20 04:12:11	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	599	100¢	$599	0xc1f706…
10-20 04:12:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x44d4fc…
10-20 04:11:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x7f8f82…
10-20 04:11:29	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 20?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xfcbfae…
10-20 04:10:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 20?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6dbd28…
10-16 07:22:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 16?	No	BUY	466	100¢	$466	0x934130…
10-16 07:22:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	382	100¢	$381	0x05901a…
10-15 05:16:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	217	100¢	$217	0xbe6de9…
10-15 05:16:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x391bab…
10-15 05:15:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xe90a9a…
10-15 05:15:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	271	99¢	$268	0xad1d20…
10-15 05:15:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 15?	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0x9cd7f7…
10-15 05:15:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 15?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x66f6d5…
10-15 05:15:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xee8031…
10-15 05:15:11	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 15?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x52eed6…
10-15 05:15:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 15?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5dadaa…
10-15 05:14:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xe115de…
10-14 07:50:35	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 14?	No	BUY	842	100¢	$841	0x8e27d0…
10-13 06:52:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xec6dde…
10-13 06:52:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	734	100¢	$733	0x21d142…
10-13 06:52:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 13?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x265bca…
10-13 06:52:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$95	0xe9483a…
10-12 09:22:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x723aa2…
10-12 03:44:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,445	100¢	$1,438	0x06005b…
10-12 03:35:36	Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xc5decb…
10-12 03:35:35	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x595d98…
10-12 03:26:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	609	100¢	$608	0x42159d…
10-12 03:26:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	202	100¢	$201	0x800f52…
10-12 03:26:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd2c87…
10-12 03:26:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c057c…
10-12 03:26:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc838e8…
10-10 02:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 10?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xe02f44…
10-10 02:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 10?	No	BUY	350	100¢	$349	0x26f2b6…
10-10 02:19:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 10?	No	BUY	1,108	100¢	$1,107	0xe41592…
10-10 02:18:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x896245…
10-10 02:18:44	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0x47aead…
10-09 06:07:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 9?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x066a7f…
10-09 06:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 9?	No	BUY	651	100¢	$650	0x8da862…
10-08 05:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 8?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xce3b4f…
10-08 05:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb96120…
10-08 05:27:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 8?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$73	0xc34fc3…
10-08 05:26:50	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0x7d7eb5…
10-08 05:26:44	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x82e17b…
10-08 05:26:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x901046…
10-08 05:26:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 8?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x7ca1d6…
10-08 05:26:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 8?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xe29fff…
10-08 05:25:47	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 8?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$224	0xa6d74b…
10-08 05:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 8?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x4256b9…
10-07 03:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 7?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x34808e…
10-07 03:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5cf1e…
10-07 03:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x57902b…
10-07 03:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad8539…
10-07 03:46:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd243d0…
10-07 03:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	544	100¢	$543	0xa3a2bc…
10-06 05:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 6?	No	BUY	643	100¢	$642	0x38435a…
10-05 16:17:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on October 6?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x370b7d…
10-05 04:14:34	Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x074b11…
10-05 04:14:07	Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x8bf4de…
10-05 04:14:01	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	74	97¢	$72	0xa50704…
10-05 04:13:58	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	92¢	$72	0xf09fc9…
10-05 04:13:56	Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	78	92¢	$72	0x4399f7…
10-05 04:13:55	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	91¢	$72	0x506ebb…
10-05 04:13:53	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	79	91¢	$72	0x83e1f2…
10-05 04:13:53	Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	74	97¢	$72	0x63a854…
10-05 04:13:50	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	97¢	$72	0xd69c2b…
10-05 04:13:49	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	92¢	$72	0x84076c…
10-05 04:13:47	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	95¢	$72	0x82277e…
10-05 04:13:47	Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	74	97¢	$72	0x3ab17d…
10-05 04:13:44	Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	98¢	$72	0xfd3858…
10-05 04:13:44	Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	97¢	$72	0xb2934a…
10-05 04:13:41	Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0xb02566…
10-05 04:13:40	Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	76	95¢	$72	0xbd55cb…
10-05 04:13:40	Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0x9f45e2…
10-05 04:13:37	Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	94¢	$72	0x792489…
10-05 04:13:35	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	74	96¢	$72	0xf04a16…
10-05 04:13:35	Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	79	91¢	$72	0xb1915d…
10-05 04:13:34	Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	92¢	$72	0xcc208a…
10-05 04:13:32	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0x988ed4…
10-05 04:13:31	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0xbcea74…
10-05 04:13:29	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	73	98¢	$72	0xfb6021…
10-05 04:13:28	Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xa38f99…
10-05 04:13:26	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	74	97¢	$72	0xe6616e…
10-02 06:10:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 2?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3b5729…
10-02 03:06:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,658	100¢	$1,651	0x37cb5d…
10-02 02:02:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 2?	No	BUY	232	93¢	$216	0x9e7802…
10-02 02:02:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 2?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9988fb…
10-02 02:02:29	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 2?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x788488…
10-02 02:02:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 2?	No	BUY	440	100¢	$438	0x4a6dd3…