Jagged-Liquidity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-15 06:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 89% -$2

Other

43% 80% -$4

Politics

7% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 82k on january 5	1	$56	56	+56	Yes	+$0	01-04 12:50
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	1	$56	56	+56	No	+$0	04-09 12:22
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 14	1	$56	56	+56	No	+$0	04-13 11:40
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	03-30 13:58
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	1	$55	55	+55	Yes	+$0	04-27 12:02
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	05-02 02:57
ethereum above 2200 on march 7	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	03-07 05:50
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	05-24 13:19
bitcoin above 66k on april 21	1	$55	55	+55	Yes	+$0	04-20 13:16
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 240plus	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	03-12 10:29
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	05-19 08:48
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	06-01 12:31
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	05-07 10:40
military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	03-19 13:10
ethereum above 1900 on march 24	1	$55	55	+55	Yes	+$0	03-24 12:22
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	06-11 11:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 5?	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	05-04 08:49
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	03-17 11:20
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 190 214	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	03-15 08:47
will solana reach 120 february 9 15	1	$54	54	+54	No	+$0	02-14 11:12
bitcoin above 72k on february 10	1	$54	54	+54	No	+$0	02-10 13:59
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	1	$53	53	+53	No	+$0	06-14 11:48
bitcoin above 90k on january 16	1	$53	53	+53	Yes	+$0	01-16 10:59
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 11	1	$53	53	+53	No	+$0	01-10 12:49
xrp above 1pt8 on january 8	1	$42	42	+42	Yes	+$0	01-08 12:45
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 140 164	1	$32	32	+32	No	+$0	04-18 07:06
will shelter opening weekend box office be less than 2pt5m	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	01-30 12:08
trumprx launched by january 31 2026	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$1	01-30 12:03
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 19	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-18 06:57
will the us next strike iran on january 25 2026 et 395	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$1	01-22 12:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 06:49:01	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x745cf9…
10-15 06:44:41	wta jovic chwalin 2026 10 14	Iva Jovic	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x509fba…
09-20 10:15:21	Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x36c27f…
09-20 10:09:34	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x5889b3…
08-17 08:46:25	iran leadership change by august 22	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x63bf5b…
07-18 08:19:30	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x45b8ec…
06-14 11:48:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x6e9e75…
06-14 11:41:22	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	443	0¢	$2	0xf125d7…
06-11 11:29:49	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x9ec1c3…
06-01 12:31:10	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x87139e…
05-24 13:19:32	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x7697af…
05-19 08:48:45	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xd2a118…
05-10 10:35:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb1172b…
05-07 10:40:35	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x589b3c…
05-04 08:49:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x868702…
05-02 02:57:56	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x1d8c17…
04-27 12:02:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x8a9b76…
04-20 13:16:14	bitcoin above 66k on april 21	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x6ef33c…
04-18 07:06:44	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 140 164	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x7c44cf…
04-18 07:01:00	will ethereum dip to 1900 april 13 19	Yes	BUY	322	0¢	$1	0x75820a…
04-18 06:57:54	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 19	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xae31af…
04-13 11:40:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 14	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x5f394c…
04-09 12:22:37	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xb2528b…
03-30 13:58:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0xfae6fd…
03-24 12:22:29	ethereum above 1900 on march 24	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xd55490…
03-19 13:10:29	military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xb57ca7…
03-17 11:20:55	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xe4102a…
03-15 08:47:49	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 190 214	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xc11054…
03-13 13:57:27	bitcoin above 78k on march 13	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa04253…
03-12 10:29:19	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 240plus	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x1306d1…
03-07 05:50:07	ethereum above 2200 on march 7	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x7e0d73…
02-14 11:12:43	will solana reach 120 february 9 15	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x7d5a68…
02-10 13:59:53	bitcoin above 72k on february 10	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x02b3f2…
02-10 13:52:49	will so easy to fall in love olivia dean be the 1 song on us spotify this week 795	Yes	BUY	240	0¢	$1	0x7c0dad…
01-30 12:08:02	will shelter opening weekend box office be less than 2pt5m	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbb8baf…
01-30 12:03:38	trumprx launched by january 31 2026	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x56a4a9…
01-22 12:38:56	will the us next strike iran on january 25 2026 et 395	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xd8fd49…
01-22 12:36:00	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x5176b4…
01-16 10:59:06	bitcoin above 90k on january 16	Yes	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x66faec…
01-10 12:49:00	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 11	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x8c1251…
01-08 12:45:09	xrp above 1pt8 on january 8	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xc452fe…
01-08 12:35:15	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3400 on january 8	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xceeb3b…
01-08 12:34:39	bitcoin above 82k on january 9	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd07f62…
01-04 12:50:01	bitcoin above 82k on january 5	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x558c23…