Aggressive-Intervention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.10K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.3%

Resolved

5,317

Trades

6,238

lifetime

Volume

$86.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 09-20 13:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 60% -$685

Other

1% 14% -$237

Sports

0% 0% -$130

Politics

0% 5% -$76

Tech

0% 75% +$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 105 in september 2026 from september 16	1	$251	716	0	+716	No	-$251	09-20 13:03
Will the fight be won by submission?	1	$100	333	0	+333	No	-$100	09-20 00:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$79	288	0	+288	Down	+$209	05-06 03:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 21:45 UTC	3	$72	98	70	+28	Up	-$28	06-14 21:55
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$71	108	0	+108	Up	+$36	05-18 18:33
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	3	$63	71	71	+0	Yes	+$53	08-12 21:03
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$63	40	40	+0	Up	+$12	05-18 19:02
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 16:15 UTC	3	$62	80	46	+35	Up	-$8	06-17 16:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 16:15 UTC	3	$61	77	45	+32	Up	-$14	06-17 16:25
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 22:15 UTC	3	$61	73	46	+27	Up	-$15	06-14 22:25
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	3	$60	83	44	+39	Up	-$42	06-14 13:40
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 10:30 UTC	3	$60	73	43	+30	Down	-$14	06-25 10:40
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 14:15 UTC	3	$60	69	42	+27	Up	-$16	06-26 14:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 20:15 UTC	3	$60	79	41	+38	Up	-$4	06-18 20:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 12:30 UTC	4	$59	69	42	+27	Up	-$16	06-22 12:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 15:45 UTC	3	$59	73	46	+27	Down	-$16	06-18 15:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 11:00 UTC	3	$59	64	36	+27	Down	-$16	06-17 11:10
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	3	$57	62	62	+0	Yes	+$47	08-12 21:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 03:30 UTC	3	$55	74	45	+29	Up	-$19	06-21 03:40
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 21:30 UTC	3	$54	66	47	+19	Up	-$33	06-15 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$53	253	0	+253	Up	-$53	05-14 15:00
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$53	192	0	+192	Up	+$140	05-15 02:01
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$53	88	0	+88	Down	+$35	05-17 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$52	140	0	+140	Up	-$52	05-14 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$52	120	0	+120	Down	+$68	05-16 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$52	93	0	+93	Up	-$52	05-17 10:15
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$52	109	0	+109	Up	+$57	05-15 02:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$52	101	0	+101	Up	+$50	05-15 02:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$52	99	0	+99	Up	-$52	05-17 10:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$52	95	0	+95	Down	+$44	05-14 15:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 13:03:22	will wti reach 105 in september 2026 from september 16	Yes	BUY	716	35¢	$251	0x01fbff…
09-20 00:37:54	Will the fight be won by submission?	Yes	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0xb59990…
09-20 00:36:33	Will the fight be won by submission?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xc30c85…
09-08 13:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xec4f1a…
09-08 13:35:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x0abe9f…
09-08 13:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x30cc75…
09-08 12:15:18	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0x8abd1d…
09-08 11:15:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xf7d09b…
09-08 11:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x4fa867…
09-08 11:10:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	27¢	$11	0xa1977b…
09-08 11:10:18	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	64	18¢	$12	0xf73c65…
09-08 11:10:18	XRP Up or Down - September 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	72	17¢	$12	0x22f1e6…
09-08 10:00:16	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xaa04b6…
09-08 09:45:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xd3d363…
09-08 09:45:21	XRP Up or Down - September 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x154d4b…
09-08 09:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x6556c1…
09-08 03:15:16	Solana Up or Down - September 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x62237e…
09-08 03:05:18	XRP Up or Down - September 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xfddd3d…
09-08 03:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x484c31…
09-08 03:05:16	Solana Up or Down - September 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x2dd929…
09-08 03:00:25	XRP Up or Down - September 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xc19fa3…
09-08 03:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x79c560…
09-08 03:00:18	Solana Up or Down - September 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x07be0f…
09-07 22:45:16	XRP Up or Down - September 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x67c2db…
09-07 22:40:19	Solana Up or Down - September 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	29¢	$11	0x0639a3…
09-07 22:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	77	17¢	$13	0x2efbdf…
09-07 22:05:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0x954c0f…
09-07 22:05:15	XRP Up or Down - September 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xdaf210…
09-07 21:10:16	Solana Up or Down - September 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x480037…
09-07 19:35:16	Solana Up or Down - September 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	59¢	$10	0xfae0f4…
09-07 19:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x00977d…
09-07 17:50:15	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	74	16¢	$12	0x8f6ce8…
09-07 17:15:25	XRP Up or Down - September 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	66¢	$10	0x215217…
09-07 17:15:16	Solana Up or Down - September 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x2cfd9c…
09-07 15:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x4da283…
09-07 15:35:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	58¢	$10	0xd0eae8…
09-07 14:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x09907a…
09-07 13:05:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x094a6a…
09-07 13:00:18	XRP Up or Down - September 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0xd13088…
09-07 13:00:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x4ff00d…
09-07 12:45:18	XRP Up or Down - September 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	55¢	$11	0x181873…
09-07 09:55:18	XRP Up or Down - September 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xbd0c0e…
09-07 01:45:18	XRP Up or Down - September 6, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xb980ad…
09-07 01:45:18	XRP Up or Down - September 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x2e620e…
09-07 01:20:16	XRP Up or Down - September 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	45	26¢	$12	0x4b696a…
09-07 01:10:16	XRP Up or Down - September 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0x0b68e8…
09-06 23:40:25	Solana Up or Down - September 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xf54669…
09-06 22:20:18	XRP Up or Down - September 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x59ba8e…
09-06 22:20:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0xe5d4d3…
09-06 21:20:16	Solana Up or Down - September 6, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xe27de4…
09-06 21:05:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	59¢	$10	0xeeeef5…
09-06 20:55:16	XRP Up or Down - September 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x950ae8…
09-06 20:50:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x3250fb…
09-06 20:35:25	XRP Up or Down - September 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x64fc3b…
09-06 20:25:16	XRP Up or Down - September 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	52	24¢	$12	0x7c4858…
09-06 19:45:16	Solana Up or Down - September 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xd012b9…
09-06 18:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x887333…
09-06 15:15:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xcfbb13…
09-06 15:05:24	Solana Up or Down - September 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xe4b14d…
09-06 14:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	58¢	$10	0x1abed6…
09-06 14:15:24	XRP Up or Down - September 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xc552da…
09-06 14:15:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0xe64554…
09-06 13:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x377f72…
09-06 13:30:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x3d6303…
09-06 13:30:15	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xa76da7…
09-06 12:45:15	Solana Up or Down - September 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xf94639…
09-06 10:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0x155bce…
09-06 09:30:15	Solana Up or Down - September 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x2ca4da…
09-06 09:25:27	Solana Up or Down - September 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xce8a9a…
09-06 09:25:16	XRP Up or Down - September 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x32fab1…
09-06 09:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x05f4eb…
09-06 09:20:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-06 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x8aa5f3…
09-06 03:45:19	XRP Up or Down - September 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	59¢	$10	0xbdc5b8…
09-06 03:45:18	XRP Up or Down - September 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xdafba2…
09-06 03:40:16	XRP Up or Down - September 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0xd84c82…
09-06 02:40:16	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	136	9¢	$12	0xd14a07…
09-06 02:35:16	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x9e880b…
09-06 01:55:16	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0x0add3b…
09-06 01:40:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	55	20¢	$11	0xf85ef3…
09-06 01:40:18	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	53	16¢	$9	0x14865e…
09-06 00:50:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xbdd067…
09-06 00:30:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xaf7886…
09-05 21:45:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x0aedfa…
09-05 21:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x0cbeff…
09-05 21:30:18	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x4210ef…
09-05 19:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	47	26¢	$12	0x3fb5a4…
09-05 18:00:24	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0x521756…
09-05 18:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	69¢	$11	0x32e510…
09-05 17:15:28	XRP Up or Down - September 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x9160df…
09-05 17:15:27	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x34f0cf…
09-05 17:10:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x9438fc…
09-05 17:05:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x5657a4…
09-05 17:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xd447e2…
09-05 16:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x6f7f2a…
09-05 16:30:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x275266…
09-05 13:05:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	48	20¢	$10	0x8fc851…
09-05 13:00:16	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	26¢	$11	0xe61c0b…
09-05 12:45:15	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	62¢	$10	0x5e7968…
09-05 11:25:15	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	62¢	$10	0xd45130…
09-05 10:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x484d3d…