Grandiose-Consideration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1000

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.8%

Resolved

8,486

Trades

11,213

lifetime

Volume

$534.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 08-10 16:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 176 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 94% +$331

Other

3% 81% -$766

Politics

0% 0% -$615

Tech

0% 67% +$51

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 144 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$785	500	500	+0	Yes	-$75	02-27 12:46
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	5	$708	400	400	+0	Yes	+$52	06-13 15:49
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$540	600	0	+600	Yes	-$540	02-25 14:28
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 65 89	2	$387	200	200	+0	Yes	+$7	02-16 15:56
xrp up or down march 13 2am et	4	$374	400	0	+400	Down	+$26	03-13 06:28
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 115 139	1	$290	500	0	+500	Yes	-$290	03-10 15:57
spx opens up or down on february 19 2026	1	$285	300	0	+300	Down	+$15	02-19 13:42
xrp up or down march 9 1am et	3	$283	300	0	+300	Up	+$17	03-09 05:42
xrp up or down february 19 12am et	4	$241	250	0	+250	Down	+$9	02-19 05:26
solana up or down march 12 3am et	4	$206	208	0	+208	Up	+$2	03-12 07:44
xrp up or down february 23 7pm et	2	$200	200	0	+200	Up	+$0	02-24 00:50
xrp up or down february 27 4am et	2	$200	200	0	+200	Down	+$0	02-27 09:47
ethereum up or down february 27 6pm et	2	$200	200	0	+200	Up	+$0	02-27 23:50
xrp up or down february 26 6am et	2	$199	200	0	+200	Down	+$0	02-26 11:52
ethereum up or down february 26 6am et	2	$199	200	0	+200	Down	+$1	02-26 11:49
ethereum up or down february 27 4am et	2	$199	200	0	+200	Down	+$0	02-27 09:47
xrp up or down february 25 2pm et	2	$199	200	0	+200	Down	+$1	02-25 19:35
bitcoin up or down february 27 10pm et	2	$199	200	0	+200	Down	+$1	02-28 03:49
solana up or down february 23 5pm et	2	$198	200	0	+200	Down	-$198	02-23 22:45
solana up or down february 24 12am et	2	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	02-24 05:46
solana up or down february 28 5am et	2	$198	200	0	+200	Up	+$2	02-28 10:36
ethereum up or down february 23 10pm et	2	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	02-24 03:37
bitcoin up or down february 28 12am et	2	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	02-28 05:51
xrp up or down february 27 10pm et	2	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	02-28 03:37
xrp up or down february 26 3am et	2	$198	200	0	+200	Up	+$2	02-26 08:50
xrp up or down february 26 5am et	2	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	02-26 10:50
bitcoin up or down february 25 12am et	2	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	02-25 05:33
xrp up or down february 26 2am et	2	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	02-26 07:39
solana up or down february 23 6pm et	2	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	02-23 23:46
bitcoin up or down february 28 3am et	2	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	02-28 08:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 16:17:54	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0x99e191…
08-10 16:02:30	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xf1dd54…
08-10 15:45:43	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0x0bef6e…
08-10 15:30:46	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0x59f5ff…
08-10 15:30:46	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x021c70…
08-10 15:00:49	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xb62c49…
08-10 15:00:49	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x335d25…
08-10 15:00:48	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$6	0xe404d4…
08-10 15:00:48	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x505424…
08-10 15:00:48	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x4f3a61…
08-10 14:45:54	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0xcaccdc…
08-10 14:45:52	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xe62462…
08-10 14:45:52	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xd0bbe8…
08-10 14:45:52	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x68bbeb…
08-10 14:45:52	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x23388f…
08-10 14:45:52	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x0f5464…
08-10 14:30:51	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xc0f15b…
08-10 14:16:13	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x6509e9…
08-10 13:46:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xfd4feb…
08-10 13:46:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0x1c6c61…
08-10 13:46:00	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0xdde905…
08-10 13:31:57	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xdea499…
08-10 13:31:57	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x6ea77e…
08-10 13:31:57	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x11d5b8…
08-10 13:31:57	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0x08e60f…
08-10 13:17:57	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x307552…
08-10 13:00:48	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xb74bd2…
08-10 12:46:54	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0xe2a9f5…
08-10 12:46:54	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0x949ab1…
08-10 12:30:49	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x20fb64…
08-10 12:16:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0xf3d3f0…
08-10 12:16:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0xbb57bf…
08-10 12:16:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x763e43…
08-10 12:16:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x126f9d…
08-10 12:15:54	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xe8fee7…
08-10 12:15:54	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x77ea31…
08-10 12:15:54	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x0f4fbb…
08-10 12:15:52	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe8b26f…
08-10 12:15:52	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x64365e…
08-10 12:00:52	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xd93960…
08-10 12:00:52	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x2d009f…
08-10 11:48:31	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	23	83¢	$19	0x9ed09e…
08-10 11:48:31	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	27	83¢	$22	0x0b7e6f…
08-10 11:31:13	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x2ed635…
08-10 11:31:01	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xe921d8…
08-10 11:18:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x11ee50…
08-10 11:01:27	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	70¢	$17	0xd121c7…
08-10 11:01:25	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$0	0xb3a979…
08-10 11:01:25	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x9d926b…
08-10 11:01:25	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x0b34fd…
08-10 10:45:42	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x885dc1…
08-10 10:45:42	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x73363e…
08-10 10:45:42	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x5ccb0c…
08-10 10:30:46	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x4660e0…
08-10 10:30:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x1efc2d…
08-10 10:16:19	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xbfb303…
08-10 10:16:19	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	31	44¢	$14	0x83c19f…
08-10 10:16:19	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0x32567b…
08-10 10:02:31	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xd61f6d…
08-10 09:45:49	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xb0650f…
08-10 09:45:49	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x94d4f0…
08-10 09:45:49	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x82183d…
08-10 09:35:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xead536…
08-10 09:18:43	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0xf04024…
08-10 09:18:43	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0x6e467f…
08-10 09:03:00	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0xf20d3b…
08-10 08:32:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x59d634…
08-10 08:32:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x0001e3…
08-10 08:32:22	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	42¢	$10	0x3c933f…
08-10 08:32:10	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x71ea5b…
08-10 08:17:39	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xa84c85…
08-10 08:17:39	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x13adfd…
08-10 08:17:36	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xe78cc8…
08-10 08:17:36	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xa19802…
08-10 08:17:36	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x844069…
08-10 08:17:36	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x0fa6d9…
08-10 08:17:34	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xc71725…
08-10 08:00:54	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x670c48…
08-10 08:00:49	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	57¢	$13	0x5bfb11…
08-10 07:45:49	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	45	52¢	$23	0x4179d4…
08-10 07:45:48	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x08351e…
08-10 07:31:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x384f94…
08-10 07:31:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xaa279e…
08-10 07:31:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x7ce02e…
08-10 07:16:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x2abefc…
08-10 07:01:16	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xd2b4c7…
08-10 07:01:16	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x7f73ae…
08-10 06:46:40	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8654e2…
08-10 06:30:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x551f27…
08-10 06:16:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	34	51¢	$17	0xfd62f7…
08-10 06:16:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xf71e54…
08-10 06:16:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x59f9fc…
08-10 06:01:00	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	42¢	$9	0x3f9123…
08-10 06:00:57	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x541ea9…
08-10 06:00:55	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x3c5b14…
08-10 06:00:55	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x2563e4…
08-10 05:52:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xf5de56…
08-10 05:52:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xc25b4a…
08-10 05:52:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xb97c8e…
08-10 05:52:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	35	70¢	$24	0x25ab7e…