True-Jailhouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$60

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

3,623

Trades

4,377

lifetime

Volume

$213.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 10-27 15:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 96% +$511

Other

1% 17% -$371

Politics

0% 0% -$81

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$700	707	+707	Down	+$7	10-10 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	6	$501	506	+506	Down	+$5	10-15 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$501	506	+506	Down	+$5	10-19 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$501	506	+506	Down	+$5	10-19 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$501	506	+506	Down	+$5	10-20 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$501	506	+506	Down	+$5	10-22 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$501	506	+506	Down	+$5	10-18 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	9	$501	506	+506	Down	+$5	10-20 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$501	506	+506	Up	+$5	10-19 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$501	506	+506	Up	+$5	10-19 01:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$501	506	+506	Up	+$5	10-21 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$501	506	+506	Down	+$5	10-21 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$501	506	+506	Down	+$5	10-18 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$501	506	+506	Up	+$5	10-16 04:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$501	506	+506	Down	+$5	10-21 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$499	506	+506	Down	+$7	10-19 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$499	506	+506	Down	+$7	10-19 16:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:55 UTC	1	$496	506	+506	Up	+$10	10-16 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$401	405	+405	Down	+$4	10-26 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$401	405	+405	Down	+$4	10-23 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$401	405	+405	Up	+$4	10-23 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$401	405	+405	Down	+$4	10-24 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$401	405	+405	Down	+$4	10-25 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$401	405	+405	Up	+$4	10-25 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$401	405	+405	Down	-$401	10-24 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$401	405	+405	Down	+$4	10-24 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$401	405	+405	Down	+$4	10-24 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$401	405	+405	Up	+$4	10-24 04:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$401	405	+405	Down	+$4	10-24 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$401	405	+405	Up	+$4	10-25 06:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	148	99¢	$147	0x1eb7fd…
10-27 14:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	148	98¢	$146	0xe6e177…
10-27 11:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	207	96¢	$199	0x6acd05…
10-27 11:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	207	97¢	$202	0xf63ed3…
10-27 10:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	207	98¢	$203	0x3767c6…
10-27 09:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x8b727e…
10-27 09:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x4b3c1d…
10-27 06:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	207	98¢	$203	0x9b257b…
10-27 04:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	207	98¢	$203	0xebeab0…
10-27 04:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	207	98¢	$202	0x309f01…
10-27 03:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xfa0438…
10-27 03:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x579392…
10-27 03:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xd9c948…
10-27 03:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	182	98¢	$179	0x06fbfb…
10-27 02:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	207	98¢	$203	0x4d2b11…
10-26 21:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	207	97¢	$201	0xeef157…
10-26 20:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcf7a1f…
10-26 20:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x9e2420…
10-26 20:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0x1073d2…
10-26 20:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x96366f…
10-26 18:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	207	98¢	$203	0x3f3333…
10-26 18:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	89	98¢	$88	0xf527ce…
10-26 18:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0xa50ad6…
10-26 18:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xdb21ab…
10-26 18:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xc28a2a…
10-26 18:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	35	98¢	$35	0x34cbd9…
10-26 18:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x14de4c…
10-26 18:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	169	98¢	$166	0x74a493…
10-26 18:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x28edfa…
10-26 17:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	207	97¢	$201	0x4555b0…
10-26 14:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xea4e95…
10-26 13:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x360be7…
10-26 13:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	148	99¢	$147	0x65f8f0…
10-26 12:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	207	98¢	$203	0xd830b4…
10-26 11:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	207	97¢	$201	0xfaa895…
10-26 11:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x52547d…
10-26 11:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	90	98¢	$89	0x49360c…
10-26 11:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0xa6668a…
10-26 11:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x3b02d6…
10-26 10:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	207	98¢	$203	0xbe8c26…
10-26 10:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	207	97¢	$201	0xe681b6…
10-26 10:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	207	97¢	$201	0xb9450c…
10-26 09:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	148	98¢	$146	0x78d1d5…
10-26 07:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	205	99¢	$203	0xd9397a…
10-26 07:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	205	99¢	$203	0x73df13…
10-26 06:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0xdb2ffe…
10-26 04:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	53	99¢	$53	0x521c40…
10-26 04:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0xd02ad2…
10-26 04:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcf5c88…
10-26 04:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x906f10…
10-26 04:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1a1197…
10-25 22:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	148	99¢	$147	0xb26a31…
10-25 18:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0x65044e…
10-25 18:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0x727743…
10-25 16:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0x7b64ca…
10-25 15:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0xd7b3ae…
10-25 15:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0x5d3dee…
10-25 15:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	139	99¢	$137	0x1be56b…
10-25 15:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdd7566…
10-25 15:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x3fc1df…
10-25 15:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaccb43…
10-25 15:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x10d512…
10-25 15:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x63b386…
10-25 15:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	153	99¢	$152	0xac2fc3…
10-25 15:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6b3133…
10-25 13:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0xcf52ef…
10-25 12:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0xc11dc0…
10-25 11:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	137	99¢	$136	0xe628d3…
10-25 11:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0xa47ae2…
10-25 11:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa1a766…
10-25 11:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	134	99¢	$133	0xc151ce…
10-25 09:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0xae1edc…
10-25 09:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0xa0e59c…
10-25 06:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0xbe6a62…
10-24 22:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0x828ed7…
10-24 22:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0x5c8e2c…
10-24 21:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0xf72c64…
10-24 18:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0xdb5054…
10-24 11:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0xfa5bb0…
10-24 10:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0x9d27c8…
10-24 10:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0xbc2ebc…
10-24 08:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0xb6f6e1…
10-24 04:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0x12dd5c…
10-24 04:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0xdb64b0…
10-24 03:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7af6ef…
10-24 03:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x015240…
10-24 03:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	267	99¢	$265	0xd7b398…
10-24 03:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xac0bc6…
10-24 03:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x70e0ca…
10-24 03:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb57f07…
10-24 03:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x51195b…
10-24 03:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x102bd6…
10-24 03:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x0669a1…
10-24 03:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0x217223…
10-24 02:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0xbe6869…
10-24 00:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0x6f87b8…
10-23 21:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0x8ac807…
10-23 21:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x83dac6…
10-23 21:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x1b86d3…
10-23 21:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x6f1a40…