Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$401

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.9%

Resolved

520

Trades

1,463

lifetime

Volume

$7.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-25

last 10-27 21:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Politics

40% 0% -$23

Other

37% 8% -$65

Crypto

22% 37% -$313

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	4	$645	440	440	+0	Yes	-$6	09-19 03:01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	5	$528	406	406	+0	open	—	10-04 22:49
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	5	$376	251	251	+0	open	—	10-24 14:58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	2	$307	240	240	+0	open	—	09-16 11:22
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	2	$306	201	201	+0	open	—	10-15 20:19
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$304	201	201	+0	open	—	10-11 17:42
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	2	$285	205	205	+0	open	—	09-24 11:47
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	2	$279	201	201	+0	open	—	10-21 17:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 05:30 UTC	6	$256	793	0	+793	Up	-$256	08-28 05:31
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	4	$254	310	310	+0	open	—	09-14 15:17
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	2	$238	205	205	+0	open	—	09-30 19:05
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	3	$227	201	201	+0	open	—	10-27 18:26
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	4	$213	301	301	+0	open	—	10-03 06:18
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	2	$183	201	201	+0	open	—	10-05 11:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$180	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	09-04 12:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$160	200	200	+0	No	+$0	09-04 11:20
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	2	$92	100	100	+0	Yes	-$12	10-04 04:27
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	2	$90	80	80	+0	No	-$7	09-25 18:09
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	2	$85	60	60	+0	No	+$0	09-26 12:33
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	2	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	10-10 19:13
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	2	$74	50	50	+0	open	—	09-23 15:14
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	2	$71	50	50	+0	open	—	09-29 01:40
laptop fdv above 500m one day after launch	4	$56	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	09-08 13:29
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	4	$55	50	50	+0	open	—	10-27 18:25
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$42	50	50	+0	open	—	09-23 12:58
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	2	$40	100	100	+0	open	—	09-20 21:40
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in september	4	$38	40	40	+0	Yes	-$3	08-27 14:36
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	2	$38	80	80	+0	open	—	10-02 20:02
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:15 UTC	8	$36	44	0	+44	Up	+$1	08-26 14:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 05:10 UTC	8	$34	78	0	+78	Up	-$4	08-28 05:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xe9fad1…
10-27 18:26:06	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	170	56¢	$95	0x51149f…
10-27 18:25:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	55¢	$19	0xc800b7…
10-27 14:01:39	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	56¢	$9	0x6993a7…
10-27 09:06:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xd2e20f…
10-27 09:06:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0x3db514…
10-27 00:59:50	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	31	57¢	$17	0x2905ad…
10-26 16:22:30	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	201	57¢	$115	0xee327a…
10-24 14:58:12	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	75¢	$38	0xfde0e8…
10-24 12:18:50	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	75¢	$112	0xfb2c87…
10-24 02:12:05	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	75¢	$151	0xf708cd…
10-23 00:40:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x507fc6…
10-23 00:28:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x83e529…
10-21 17:25:47	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	201	68¢	$136	0xb0ae30…
10-21 15:24:11	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	201	71¢	$143	0x9193de…
10-20 05:47:42	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x960e1b…
10-19 10:25:41	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x78c114…
10-15 20:19:15	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	201	75¢	$151	0xebfbce…
10-15 19:09:14	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	201	77¢	$155	0xa030f2…
10-11 17:42:16	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	201	75¢	$151	0xc17762…
10-11 16:32:15	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	201	76¢	$153	0x4b06a5…
10-11 14:06:58	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x22fc70…
10-11 13:34:27	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x2c1ca9…
10-10 19:13:22	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x582625…
10-10 18:03:21	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x224599…
10-05 11:47:58	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	201	45¢	$90	0xadb41f…
10-05 10:37:53	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	201	46¢	$92	0x1a8566…
10-04 22:49:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	151	62¢	$94	0xee1054…
10-04 22:49:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x3eb120…
10-04 22:48:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	201	62¢	$125	0x79e548…
10-04 04:27:19	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0xe8a300…
10-04 03:42:17	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xab567a…
10-03 06:18:14	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	Yes	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0x4b46c4…
10-03 05:36:33	Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x73c91c…
10-03 05:33:03	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xa82513…
10-03 04:51:23	Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x41da9f…
10-02 20:02:44	Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	80	22¢	$18	0x2dbad4…
10-02 19:17:30	Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x63d556…
10-02 07:28:24	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	Yes	SELL	201	36¢	$72	0xdf2675…
10-02 04:14:59	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	Yes	BUY	201	39¢	$78	0xbc6cb4…
10-01 12:57:35	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0x7b1915…
10-01 12:46:48	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xf31ced…
10-01 12:46:33	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xc908cd…
09-30 19:05:38	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	SELL	205	57¢	$117	0x720d0a…
09-30 17:48:03	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	BUY	205	59¢	$121	0x469d66…
09-29 19:33:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	205	68¢	$139	0xe44a31…
09-29 19:12:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	205	68¢	$139	0xeb21e4…
09-29 01:40:21	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x08f148…
09-29 00:00:17	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xc30c9e…
09-28 06:32:17	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x1dac1e…
09-28 06:32:03	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xd3d246…
09-26 12:33:18	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	SELL	60	71¢	$43	0xb196c8…
09-26 12:18:08	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	60	71¢	$43	0xe75ee5…
09-26 00:44:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xd64e31…
09-26 00:29:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x3a195a…
09-25 18:09:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	80	52¢	$42	0xce5220…
09-25 18:08:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	80	61¢	$49	0x42d579…
09-24 22:23:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xfd1454…
09-24 22:23:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x842834…
09-24 11:47:36	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	SELL	205	69¢	$141	0xdd6577…
09-24 11:47:28	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	BUY	205	70¢	$144	0x42d8c6…
09-23 15:14:26	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x51a26c…
09-23 15:14:11	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x90f1be…
09-23 12:58:55	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xe87450…
09-23 12:58:49	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xaa651c…
09-23 11:39:58	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x00095b…
09-23 11:38:05	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x6b8389…
09-22 21:52:59	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x6af34b…
09-22 21:52:46	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xbf5af9…
09-21 09:20:12	will wti reach 105 in september 2026 from september 16	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x5713ce…
09-21 09:19:57	will wti reach 105 in september 2026 from september 16	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xe164e2…
09-20 21:40:29	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x3d3cd4…
09-20 21:40:19	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xebbec4…
09-19 03:01:37	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	205	74¢	$152	0xc021e6…
09-19 02:46:19	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	205	74¢	$152	0x3920eb…
09-16 16:57:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x82180d…
09-16 16:57:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x734125…
09-16 11:22:40	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	240	63¢	$151	0x99ef11…
09-16 11:22:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	240	65¢	$156	0xc61a0c…
09-15 14:42:18	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	235	71¢	$168	0xd535e9…
09-15 14:42:13	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	235	74¢	$174	0x5ffa80…
09-14 15:17:18	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	210	25¢	$52	0xdbbd7b…
09-14 15:17:09	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	26¢	$55	0x0f15b5…
09-13 12:48:51	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	100	73¢	$73	0xb7a416…
09-13 12:48:46	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xea898f…
09-12 15:00:33	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x3c7c7a…
09-12 14:59:58	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x25d6f9…
09-11 06:27:54	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xba4136…
09-11 06:27:48	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x278019…
09-08 13:29:28	laptop fdv above 500m one day after launch	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xcd1339…
09-08 13:29:21	laptop fdv above 500m one day after launch	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xb18b9c…
09-08 01:34:54	laptop fdv above 500m one day after launch	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xd059b6…
09-08 01:34:45	laptop fdv above 500m one day after launch	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x8e6175…
09-07 16:35:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xd1b27e…
09-07 16:35:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xf54ff8…
09-04 12:44:43	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189 588	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x23cc53…
09-04 12:44:28	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189 588	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xfd015a…
09-04 12:38:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	200	45¢	$90	0xebb3e0…
09-04 12:38:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x930b4f…
09-04 11:20:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0x619fb8…