Cluttered-Improvement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.4%

Resolved

Trades

521

lifetime

Volume

$3.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 07-19 18:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

51% — —

Other

31% 33% $-2

Sports

17% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$118	200	0	+200	open	—	07-19 18:33
bitcoin up or down march 4 3am et	8	$112	135	117	+18	open	—	03-04 08:33
Oilers vs. Ducks	4	$100	460	291	+169	open	—	05-01 04:18
solana up or down march 3 10pm et	6	$78	300	82	+217	open	—	03-04 03:44
bitcoin up or down march 3 1pm et	2	$65	39	39	+0	open	—	03-03 18:33
bitcoin up or down on march 4	2	$64	78	78	+0	open	—	03-04 00:06
Oilers vs. Ducks	5	$63	106	0	+106	open	—	04-27 04:18
btc updown 5m 1772785500	5	$54	67	66	+1	open	—	03-06 08:29
bitcoin up or down march 4 5am et	4	$54	58	58	+0	open	—	03-04 10:26
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	1	$51	76	0	+76	open	—	07-17 23:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$50	179	0	+179	open	—	05-09 02:11
bitcoin up or down on march 5	3	$46	35	23	+12	open	—	03-05 08:29
Oilers vs. Ducks	5	$45	74	0	+74	open	—	04-25 03:37
btc updown 15m 1772580600	3	$45	88	27	+61	open	—	03-03 23:42
ethereum up or down march 3 11pm et	2	$45	43	43	+0	open	—	03-04 04:57
xrp up or down march 3 9pm et	2	$39	126	126	+0	open	—	03-04 02:51
xrp up or down march 4 8pm et	5	$38	37	37	+0	open	—	03-05 01:36
solana up or down march 3 11pm et	2	$32	29	29	+0	open	—	03-04 04:06
xrp updown 15m 1772687700	3	$32	38	15	+23	open	—	03-05 05:17
btc updown 5m 1776072600	4	$31	52	0	+52	open	—	04-13 09:34
nhl ana edm 2026 04 20	3	$30	59	0	+59	open	—	04-21 04:14
btc updown 5m 1772446800	1	$30	37	0	+37	open	—	03-02 10:23
btc updown 5m 1783034100	2	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	07-02 23:20
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	2	$29	41	0	+41	open	—	07-04 00:24
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	1	$26	139	0	+139	open	—	05-17 03:24
nhl ott edm 2026 03 03	2	$26	51	51	+0	open	—	03-04 04:23
solana up or down march 4 7pm et	3	$26	1,017	17	+1,000	open	—	03-05 01:17
bitcoin up or down march 4 2am et	2	$24	27	27	+0	open	—	03-04 07:24
will iran strike cyprus in march	2	$24	18	18	+0	open	—	03-04 00:03
btc updown 15m 1772784900	3	$23	30	13	+17	open	—	03-06 08:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 18:33:42	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x7fb15d…
07-17 23:05:13	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	76	67¢	$51	0xa42680…
07-15 20:38:43	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x16ea79…
07-15 19:01:11	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0x5c093c…
07-07 22:42:01	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa91bc1…
07-06 00:23:44	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xa874a3…
07-04 18:57:53	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 spread home 1pt5	Canada	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x001548…
07-04 00:24:32	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xd076b8…
07-04 00:22:17	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	37	70¢	$26	0x5e2e63…
07-03 15:28:50	btc updown 5m 1783092300	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xc438f2…
07-03 15:15:23	btc updown 5m 1783091700	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x41bfe5…
07-03 15:10:16	btc updown 5m 1783091400	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x652126…
07-03 15:05:10	btc updown 5m 1783091100	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x2f9cc8…
07-03 14:31:26	btc updown 5m 1783089000	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x53e339…
07-03 14:27:19	btc updown 5m 1783088700	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xdf1cbc…
07-03 03:40:20	btc updown 5m 1783050000	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xe2e64c…
07-03 03:35:49	btc updown 5m 1783049700	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xcda90d…
07-03 03:25:22	btc updown 5m 1783049100	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x98b1af…
07-03 03:21:59	btc updown 5m 1783048800	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9a4190…
07-03 03:20:19	btc updown 5m 1783048800	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x265d0a…
07-03 03:05:50	btc updown 5m 1783047900	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xde2270…
07-03 03:00:16	btc updown 5m 1783047600	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1cf0a7…
07-03 02:55:38	btc updown 5m 1783047300	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xbedf4e…
07-03 02:53:20	btc updown 5m 1783047000	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb835fc…
07-03 02:50:43	btc updown 5m 1783047000	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x92a9cb…
07-03 02:49:28	btc updown 5m 1783046700	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x28a282…
07-03 02:45:35	btc updown 5m 1783046700	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x3cb9e6…
07-03 02:40:20	btc updown 5m 1783046400	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x29e527…
07-03 02:35:25	btc updown 5m 1783046100	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x803a0b…
07-03 02:15:44	btc updown 5m 1783044900	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd3e0b2…
07-03 02:00:31	btc updown 5m 1783044000	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xe6a9dd…
07-03 01:46:23	btc updown 5m 1783043100	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x50342d…
07-03 01:43:46	btc updown 5m 1783042800	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x11612b…
07-03 00:25:34	btc updown 5m 1783038300	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xc75ef5…
07-03 00:20:14	btc updown 5m 1783038000	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xd908d2…
07-03 00:16:04	btc updown 5m 1783037700	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4cbbf5…
07-03 00:10:10	btc updown 5m 1783037400	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0df429…
07-02 23:40:34	btc updown 5m 1783035600	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x24db99…
07-02 23:35:28	btc updown 5m 1783035300	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x27c40f…
07-02 23:30:25	btc updown 5m 1783035000	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x429b87…
07-02 23:25:14	btc updown 5m 1783034700	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xda1f56…
07-02 23:21:04	btc updown 5m 1783034400	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe95db7…
07-02 23:20:13	btc updown 5m 1783034100	Up	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x9de5b1…
07-02 23:15:20	btc updown 5m 1783034100	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x0498bd…
07-02 23:10:23	btc updown 5m 1783033800	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb875f8…
07-02 23:09:49	btc updown 5m 1783033500	Up	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0xb3a6d7…
07-02 23:05:59	btc updown 5m 1783033500	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc9c895…
07-02 23:00:32	btc updown 5m 1783033200	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xe63513…
07-02 22:45:16	btc updown 5m 1783032300	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x5ed8ae…
07-02 22:40:25	btc updown 5m 1783032000	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x30fa1b…
07-02 22:36:14	btc updown 5m 1783031700	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x341571…
07-02 22:30:19	btc updown 5m 1783031400	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf18aa8…
07-02 22:29:11	btc updown 5m 1783031100	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x47754a…
07-02 19:01:20	btc updown 5m 1783018800	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbb7230…
07-02 18:55:31	btc updown 5m 1783018500	Up	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xa846d3…
07-02 18:35:58	btc updown 5m 1783017300	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcb8626…
07-02 18:30:14	btc updown 5m 1783017000	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0b24dc…
07-02 18:16:20	btc updown 5m 1783016100	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x23b526…
07-02 18:05:22	btc updown 5m 1783015500	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xad6d1d…
07-02 17:55:55	btc updown 5m 1783014900	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa7155b…
07-02 17:40:28	btc updown 5m 1783014000	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x855781…
07-02 17:30:22	btc updown 5m 1783013400	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x97d503…
07-02 17:25:10	btc updown 5m 1783013100	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xaf4f75…
07-02 16:50:14	btc updown 5m 1783011000	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xd4f0da…
07-02 16:45:11	btc updown 5m 1783010700	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2b3039…
07-02 16:30:20	btc updown 5m 1783009800	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc74787…
07-02 16:21:32	btc updown 5m 1783009200	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0829ae…
07-02 15:56:35	btc updown 5m 1783007700	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5a3597…
07-02 15:50:14	btc updown 5m 1783007400	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc4b691…
07-02 15:36:47	btc updown 5m 1783006500	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x435e7a…
07-02 15:32:50	btc updown 5m 1783006200	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbabec1…
07-02 15:15:56	btc updown 5m 1783005300	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x0e377e…
07-02 14:28:01	btc updown 5m 1783002300	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8922cd…
07-02 14:10:17	btc updown 5m 1783001400	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdb5481…
07-02 14:05:43	btc updown 5m 1783001100	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xab606a…
07-02 14:01:11	btc updown 5m 1783000800	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc4a512…
07-02 13:50:40	btc updown 5m 1783000200	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x5ef655…
07-02 13:10:17	btc updown 5m 1782997800	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xa568a4…
07-02 13:06:32	btc updown 5m 1782997500	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x90a831…
07-01 22:37:20	atp jodar busta 2026 07 01	Rafael Jodar	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x87ecda…
07-01 22:37:13	itf amyzhu montalv 2026 07 01	Isabel Pascual Montalvo	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xeaef50…
05-17 03:24:09	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Carano	BUY	139	19¢	$26	0x2664c5…
05-09 02:22:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x3c0cdf…
05-09 02:11:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x6f8afc…
05-01 04:18:04	Oilers vs. Ducks	Oilers	BUY	53	11¢	$6	0x120776…
05-01 04:03:54	Oilers vs. Ducks	Oilers	BUY	117	6¢	$7	0x213ba1…
05-01 04:03:38	Oilers vs. Ducks	Oilers	SELL	291	5¢	$15	0x2d643f…
05-01 03:21:18	Oilers vs. Ducks	Oilers	BUY	291	25¢	$73	0x2f3e55…
04-29 02:24:00	Ducks vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x997869…
04-29 02:04:22	Ducks vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x986c52…
04-28 22:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x66c697…
04-28 03:41:44	Huzhou: Dalila Spiteri vs Varvara Panshina	Varvara Panshina	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x2f2084…
04-28 02:33:58	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x37a017…
04-28 02:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x1de1e0…
04-28 02:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 92°F or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x0d3024…
04-28 02:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x8e3c5a…
04-28 02:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x5a7583…
04-28 00:29:50	Flyers vs. Penguins	Penguins	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x53c888…
04-28 00:29:30	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x99a98e…
04-27 09:50:58	Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xefa666…