Sniveling-Midnight-Seashore — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$120

Unrealized P&L

-$29

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved

Trades

334

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$66

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-23

last 11-01 00:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Politics

76% 38% -$766

Other

22% 8% +$928

Sports

1% 100% +$2

Crypto

1% 10% -$44

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+467	$31	6¢	$26	-$5	11-01 00:24
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	—	+9,000	$9	0¢	$14	+$4	11-01 00:39
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes		+926	$14	1¢	$13	-$2	11-01 00:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No		+445	$33	2¢	$11	-$23	11-01 00:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No		+327	$7	1¢	$3	-$4	10-31 23:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	9	$1.6K	1,742	1,742	+0	Yes	+$1,523	10-25 16:20
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	15	$1.6K	4,213	4,213	+0	Yes	+$495	06-14 23:02
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$1.5K	2,125	2,125	+0	No	-$1,518	10-25 23:54
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	45	$1.4K	13,119	10,869	+2,250	No	+$78	07-02 04:41
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	5	$844	1,329	1,329	+0	Yes	+$166	05-31 21:35
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	6	$633	3,173	3,173	+0	Yes	+$1	06-21 21:21
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	7	$512	1,790	1,790	+0	No	-$19	06-12 18:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	8	$506	3,045	3,045	+0	Yes	-$242	09-24 20:07
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	2	$392	670	670	+0	Yes	+$231	06-11 19:42
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	37	$323	50,795	10,000	+40,795	No	-$83	06-17 21:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	8	$265	6,450	6,450	+0	No	-$138	07-27 18:24
iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	14	$216	1,076	476	+600	No	+$53	07-18 05:22
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	23	$200	11,136	11,136	+0	No	-$39	10-31 21:56
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$120	1,067	1,067	+0	No	-$6	06-10 19:12
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$114	1,013	1,013	+0	No	+$2	06-26 18:00
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	5	$102	220	220	+0	Yes	+$41	07-12 16:54
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$102	76	76	+0	Yes	+$17	06-08 11:08
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	5	$83	600	600	+0	open	—	10-22 18:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	2	$75	500	500	+0	Yes	-$5	10-11 20:37
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	2	$69	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	09-05 22:58
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	3	$67	747	747	+0	No	-$38	06-05 20:48
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	3	$66	943	443	+500	No	-$4	07-07 17:56
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	8	$62	2,094	0	+2,094	Yes	-$62	08-31 16:09
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?	4	$61	589	400	+189	No	-$36	10-12 04:49
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	5	$60	2,250	2,250	+0	No	+$5	09-05 18:43
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	2	$60	316	0	+316	No	-$60	07-19 01:31
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	2	$57	993	993	+0	No	-$23	07-19 17:18
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	2	$57	833	833	+0	No	-$43	05-30 18:09
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	2	$49	597	597	+0	No	-$45	05-30 18:09
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$47	603	0	+603	Spain	-$47	07-19 21:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 00:39:28	Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb6790e…
11-01 00:38:16	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	1¢	$1	0x684f78…
11-01 00:35:40	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	97	8¢	$8	0xa3b81c…
11-01 00:24:30	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x89cd2f…
11-01 00:23:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	145	7¢	$10	0x9bd679…
10-31 23:09:01	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	515	2¢	$8	0x7cb806…
10-31 23:07:57	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	1¢	$1	0x09ef58…
10-31 23:06:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x15cfdf…
10-31 23:05:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	300	8¢	$23	0x154574…
10-31 23:05:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	157	2¢	$3	0xd9ac44…
10-31 22:03:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x712ac1…
10-31 22:02:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	64	3¢	$2	0x3e31ba…
10-31 22:02:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xe2a200…
10-31 21:56:45	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,800	0¢	$3	0x677370…
10-31 01:28:48	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	176	2¢	$3	0x073e67…
10-31 01:27:24	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	2¢	$1	0x9728ba…
10-31 01:24:28	Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0x9c0628…
10-31 01:23:25	Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0xcf8b6a…
10-31 01:19:12	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0x387b7f…
10-31 01:15:22	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	91	8¢	$7	0xfa1d49…
10-31 01:15:21	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x78229c…
10-31 01:13:40	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd31b63…
10-31 01:05:00	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on October 31?	No	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x5c7272…
10-30 20:13:28	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	7¢	$21	0x6e22de…
10-30 20:11:45	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$13	0xfc68a9…
10-30 20:09:21	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on October 31?	No	BUY	250	6¢	$15	0x6878b7…
10-28 22:35:43	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,800	1¢	$17	0xb78cdf…
10-28 22:04:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	33	51¢	$17	0x042186…
10-28 17:50:16	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0xd0c4b9…
10-28 12:05:34	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x3b25ad…
10-28 12:02:44	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,620	0¢	$18	0x133c5f…
10-27 20:04:48	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	770	1¢	$5	0x7dad2e…
10-27 19:17:30	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	850	1¢	$6	0xfad3aa…
10-27 19:15:48	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0xad1aea…
10-27 18:51:53	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,830	1¢	$11	0x20b845…
10-27 18:38:05	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	375	3¢	$11	0x6515e3…
10-26 19:56:47	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	175	4¢	$8	0x1b4db0…
10-26 19:55:44	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x6b4de6…
10-26 19:54:39	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,199	1¢	$12	0xb657e4…
10-26 19:53:41	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	211	1¢	$3	0xeaa68f…
10-26 00:56:08	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2881bd…
10-25 23:56:23	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x912f9d…
10-25 23:55:24	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	2¢	$12	0xb7a562…
10-25 23:54:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,125	1¢	$13	0x2bd41c…
10-25 23:39:57	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x9199fe…
10-25 23:07:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	235	16¢	$37	0x57fd47…
10-25 19:37:09	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$7	0x686fd4…
10-25 18:35:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,890	79¢	$1,493	0x180d19…
10-25 16:20:47	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,592	99¢	$1,569	0x40a02f…
10-25 03:23:51	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	895	1¢	$11	0xdb28ad…
10-25 02:59:50	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	SELL	150	10¢	$15	0x416dad…
10-23 17:15:18	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	895	2¢	$17	0xa0e95f…
10-22 22:07:48	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,411	1¢	$34	0xcb6c1e…
10-22 18:58:53	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	93	4¢	$4	0xf9910c…
10-22 18:56:41	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	959	2¢	$15	0x454090…
10-22 18:20:47	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0x86cf41…
10-22 18:15:00	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	138	1¢	$2	0xaa7d3e…
10-22 18:14:08	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	7¢	$21	0x365a06…
10-21 18:27:47	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	433	5¢	$21	0x22704d…
10-21 18:27:14	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xb648c8…
10-21 18:24:29	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	278	7¢	$19	0xe33935…
10-21 18:23:30	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0x902ee8…
10-21 02:58:12	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,010	3¢	$32	0xf50faf…
10-21 02:57:17	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x411050…
10-20 01:38:38	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	2¢	$10	0x5b5578…
10-20 01:37:59	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	218	2¢	$4	0x21eaa0…
10-20 01:37:57	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	275	2¢	$5	0x94bc8d…
10-20 01:34:48	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	495	1¢	$7	0x898328…
10-20 01:33:42	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	7¢	$9	0x21b831…
10-20 01:33:33	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	478	7¢	$33	0xff549d…
10-20 01:32:50	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x1b4928…
10-12 04:49:03	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?	Yes	SELL	400	3¢	$12	0x980da7…
10-12 03:33:27	Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	6¢	$8	0x80ce5c…
10-11 20:37:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	SELL	500	7¢	$35	0xf50a54…
10-09 09:05:48	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?	Yes	BUY	121	8¢	$10	0xc15fb2…
10-09 09:04:01	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?	Yes	BUY	178	9¢	$16	0x4acec9…
10-09 09:02:30	Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	7¢	$10	0x4aec5d…
10-09 09:01:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0x2198ed…
10-09 08:58:58	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?	Yes	BUY	289	8¢	$23	0x518185…
09-24 20:07:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	481	4¢	$20	0x4bf282…
09-23 02:25:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	481	5¢	$22	0x1dc563…
09-22 16:52:34	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	2,118	3¢	$71	0x26ccba…
09-21 00:25:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xc37313…
09-21 00:24:11	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	246	7¢	$17	0x78c434…
09-10 20:26:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0xbda85b…
09-08 02:15:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	2,094	13¢	$272	0x5b7ce3…
09-05 22:58:15	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x7578a6…
09-05 18:54:06	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x9e9ce7…
09-05 18:44:18	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0x195b95…
09-05 18:43:55	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,155	1¢	$31	0x1cef8e…
09-05 18:40:34	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	2¢	$2	0x46377d…
08-31 16:09:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	BUY	600	2¢	$10	0xf814cc…
08-31 16:07:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	470	17¢	$80	0x48661c…
08-31 16:06:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x8145e0…
08-31 16:06:34	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x3c7878…
08-31 02:15:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	BUY	407	4¢	$17	0xc5610c…
08-31 02:14:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	BUY	389	3¢	$13	0x4b6ef1…
08-31 02:03:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x93610a…
08-31 01:37:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x118837…
08-31 01:37:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	BUY	500	3¢	$16	0x822f58…