Majestic-Newsprint — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

67.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$196

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-01

last 09-10 14:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

89% 71% +$12

Politics

8% 100% +$6

Sports

4% 33% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+20	$17	12¢	$2	-$15	06-15 13:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$44	32	32	+0	No	-$3	05-12 14:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	7	$31	50	25	+25	No	+$1	06-15 07:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$30	30	30	+0	No	+$4	04-14 23:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$24	21	26	-5	No	+$8	05-24 02:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	1	$17	20	0	+20	open	—	06-15 13:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$15	20	0	+20	Yes	+$5	07-29 14:53
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	04-03 02:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$8	20	0	+20	No	-$8	09-10 14:45
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$5	10	0	+10	Yes	+$5	04-07 14:32
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$5	10	0	+10	Argentina	+$5	07-15 09:28
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$3	10	0	+10	No	-$3	05-05 08:04
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2	15	0	+15	Yes	+$13	06-08 15:48
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	40	0	+40	No	-$2	06-11 07:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 14:45:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x541fa4…
09-09 08:55:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xcf477d…
07-29 14:53:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x8c1555…
07-29 12:44:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xab6329…
07-15 09:28:02	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x50a261…
06-15 13:52:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x8d55eb…
06-15 07:25:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0x0ac9ee…
06-11 13:06:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xae3c9c…
06-11 07:52:07	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x1d93b2…
06-10 13:45:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x10943a…
06-08 15:48:06	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x325743…
06-08 07:51:42	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x967a8a…
06-08 02:18:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x03dadd…
06-04 13:32:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xeaa4b2…
06-01 14:23:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf284c5…
06-01 14:22:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x71c1fc…
05-24 02:33:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	26	60¢	$16	0x5d7b5c…
05-12 14:55:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x6ea20e…
05-12 14:54:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xf48316…
05-12 14:53:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xff8b68…
05-05 09:33:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xbc5bc4…
05-05 08:04:58	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x5fbb3e…
05-04 10:25:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb24cc8…
04-21 07:00:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0xc51a56…
04-17 12:56:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xb360e6…
04-17 07:00:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x88479b…
04-17 06:59:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x71dcad…
04-14 23:46:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0x48fbb4…
04-13 08:18:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x18bf44…
04-13 08:17:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xd81317…
04-13 08:05:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xc24ff5…
04-11 07:51:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xa62048…
04-11 06:09:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x1c0905…
04-07 14:32:13	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x59e7c0…
04-04 02:20:29	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x53a5e0…
04-03 02:46:11	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x01d43d…
04-01 06:00:53	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x4f816c…