Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$159.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.1%

Resolved

Trades

9,690

lifetime

Volume

$8.89M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$917

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 02-02 18:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

71% 75% +$128,725

Politics

29% 62% +$1,533

Sports

0% 100% +$31,216

Crypto

0% 0% -$2,244

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-02-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1,858	$3.27M	2,461,582	1,579,448	+882,134	Yes	-$6,770	01-28 18:26
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	568	$1.47M	2,203,370	1,620,821	+582,549	No	+$59,086	01-28 18:01
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	3,743	$1.06M	2,689,884	1,390,084	+1,299,800	No	-$27,874	01-29 10:36
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	196	$407.4K	389,200	20,000	+369,200	No	+$1,786	01-04 22:56
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	405	$358.9K	444,153	330,737	+113,416	Yes	+$9,438	02-01 18:18
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	583	$276.6K	170,886	173,206	-2,320	Yes	+$18,265	02-01 18:11
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	8	$250.8K	250,000	514,059	-264,059	No	+$2,292	01-09 17:53
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	326	$202.3K	303,635	194,288	+109,347	No	-$16,832	01-15 01:50
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	49	$184.2K	187,482	0	+187,482	No	+$3,285	01-07 23:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	151	$181.6K	115,643	105,217	+10,426	Yes	-$3,652	02-01 18:20
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	407	$147.4K	932,306	1,305,124	-372,818	No	+$4,079	01-14 13:23
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	14	$136.1K	137,077	0	+137,077	No	+$942	01-03 17:05
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	178	$92.7K	142,974	69,027	+73,947	No	+$1,376	01-15 15:19
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	69	$91.6K	116,384	61,169	+55,215	Yes	+$7,212	02-01 18:25
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	123	$91.0K	104,878	63,092	+41,787	No	-$14,682	01-13 18:41
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	80	$87.6K	141,546	63,866	+77,680	Yes	+$5,811	02-01 18:16
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	102	$72.4K	81,623	65,899	+15,724	No	+$8,002	01-21 13:52
fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	6	$62.9K	60,666	5,076	+55,591	No	+$2,711	01-27 09:24
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	63	$61.1K	94,748	48,422	+46,326	No	+$8,926	01-16 01:32
nhl cal cbj 2026 01 13	3	$39.7K	70,944	0	+70,944	Blue Jackets	+$31,216	01-13 23:41
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	15	$36.1K	43,886	34,172	+9,714	Yes	+$4,494	02-01 18:22
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	6	$32.2K	18,681	18,681	+0	No	+$3,377	02-01 18:15
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	19	$30.2K	24,926	24,926	+0	Yes	+$748	02-01 18:03
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$26.6K	25,180	2,458	+22,722	No	+$1,031	02-01 18:22
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$26.1K	30,908	4,000	+26,908	No	+$8,454	01-30 22:24
will 2025 be the hottest year on record	45	$23.9K	12,000	12,000	+0	No	+$60	01-14 23:11
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	86	$22.7K	91,735	34,361	+57,373	Yes	+$20,810	01-03 06:11
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	24	$22.0K	41,927	15,536	+26,391	No	+$5,583	01-16 03:54
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$20.9K	0	21,229	-21,229	Yes	-$318	02-01 18:13
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	15	$16.9K	19,211	4,818	+14,393	Yes	-$11	01-25 01:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
02-02 18:03:58	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	22,722	0¢	$23	0x069f6d…
02-02 18:03:44	Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	22,722	0¢	$23	0x72f82f…
02-02 18:01:32	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2,081	75¢	$1,561	0x9ab070…
02-02 17:59:42	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	21,113	7¢	$1,478	0xbb7005…
02-02 17:59:32	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	45,058	7¢	$3,154	0x54d580…
02-01 18:25:22	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	4,306	49¢	$2,114	0xc8c559…
02-01 18:23:46	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	27,868	1¢	$418	0x5018a3…
02-01 18:23:38	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	27,868	1¢	$394	0xd48765…
02-01 18:22:34	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2,458	99¢	$2,430	0xca10b1…
02-01 18:22:04	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22,713	49¢	$11,148	0xf2873f…
02-01 18:21:36	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19,045	44¢	$8,380	0x694867…
02-01 18:20:48	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	35,792	87¢	$31,139	0x24cb69…
02-01 18:19:14	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8,200	51¢	$4,182	0xe57bfa…
02-01 18:18:08	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	33,070	25¢	$8,267	0x148724…
02-01 18:16:08	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	30,809	31¢	$9,551	0xa768ba…
02-01 18:15:06	odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	No	SELL	18,681	95¢	$17,794	0xf95988…
02-01 18:13:54	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	21,229	99¢	$20,910	0x5dc446…
02-01 18:11:48	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	82,850	100¢	$82,684	0xd8169f…
02-01 18:10:28	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0xaa6c92…
02-01 18:03:28	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	10,305	62¢	$6,389	0x41fcc7…
02-01 18:03:18	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	37	62¢	$23	0x558420…
02-01 18:02:18	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x4a4ee2…
02-01 18:02:06	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0xb174ba…
02-01 18:01:08	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x1492c5…
02-01 18:01:06	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	2,636	62¢	$1,635	0x841743…
02-01 18:00:56	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	5,000	62¢	$3,100	0xd8b230…
02-01 18:00:44	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	323	62¢	$200	0x2c3eba…
02-01 18:00:30	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	806	62¢	$500	0x6c9339…
02-01 18:00:04	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xf89cd6…
02-01 18:00:04	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0xa89229…
02-01 17:59:32	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	3,000	62¢	$1,860	0xa72f19…
02-01 17:57:16	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	2,000	62¢	$1,240	0xe2e788…
02-01 17:56:58	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0xaa8c08…
02-01 17:56:02	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	500	62¢	$310	0xb747b9…
02-01 17:55:12	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x196088…
02-01 17:52:24	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	596	25¢	$149	0xd666ce…
02-01 17:49:56	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xa482ab…
02-01 17:48:44	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	32	62¢	$20	0xc7288f…
02-01 17:46:18	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0x581559…
02-01 17:45:58	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x656c36…
02-01 17:45:58	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x4add41…
02-01 17:45:56	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	2,047	25¢	$512	0xad5f83…
01-30 22:24:46	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	SELL	4,000	95¢	$3,800	0x96a0b9…
01-30 22:22:52	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xafb334…
01-30 22:22:50	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	21	80¢	$17	0xab0441…
01-30 22:22:48	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	12,072	80¢	$9,658	0xf0bd7a…
01-30 18:05:54	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	121	89¢	$108	0x559701…
01-30 18:05:34	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x1d7421…
01-30 18:05:34	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	769	89¢	$685	0x11bc0a…
01-30 18:05:32	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	137	89¢	$122	0x3b5241…
01-30 18:05:14	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	364	89¢	$324	0x732e33…
01-30 18:05:02	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xedc963…
01-30 18:04:44	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x779f29…
01-30 18:04:32	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x303519…
01-30 18:04:24	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xa23d0b…
01-30 18:04:14	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	1,000	89¢	$890	0xee4049…
01-30 18:04:14	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	1,000	89¢	$890	0x3e9e0c…
01-30 18:04:12	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	1,000	89¢	$890	0xd3a650…
01-30 18:04:12	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	1,000	89¢	$890	0x68d40d…
01-30 18:04:12	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	56	89¢	$50	0x3142e8…
01-30 18:04:12	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	1,000	89¢	$890	0x0dff3c…
01-30 18:04:10	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0xedf70c…
01-30 18:04:00	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x8ff3d4…
01-30 18:03:54	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	44	89¢	$39	0xfa038b…
01-30 18:03:54	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0xc34044…
01-30 18:03:36	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x837d67…
01-30 18:03:16	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	1,000	89¢	$890	0x92e0d2…
01-30 18:03:16	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	1,000	89¢	$890	0x720e2b…
01-30 18:03:14	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	1,000	89¢	$890	0x7dde05…
01-30 18:03:14	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	1,000	89¢	$890	0x36cf98…
01-30 18:03:14	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	1,000	89¢	$890	0x10c7c5…
01-30 18:03:00	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x34b9bf…
01-30 18:02:52	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xde6dae…
01-30 18:02:46	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$0	0x0a1540…
01-30 18:02:44	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	201	89¢	$179	0x6c3f30…
01-30 18:02:32	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	22	89¢	$20	0x7ff3fa…
01-30 18:02:28	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xbaa815…
01-30 18:01:52	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	807	89¢	$718	0xa679e6…
01-30 18:01:42	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xc0aed9…
01-30 18:01:38	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x33c094…
01-30 18:01:18	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x1421fd…
01-30 18:01:16	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0xa09327…
01-30 18:00:42	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x469239…
01-30 18:00:40	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x2bc0e3…
01-30 18:00:38	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xdb65c1…
01-30 18:00:28	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x01bfc9…
01-30 18:00:26	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xd1af75…
01-30 18:00:20	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	12	89¢	$10	0x35065d…
01-30 17:59:42	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x0d7345…
01-30 17:59:40	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	2,000	89¢	$1,780	0xf12b5f…
01-30 17:59:38	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x41012a…
01-30 17:59:34	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x19afc5…
01-30 17:58:40	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0x90deae…
01-30 17:58:34	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x9cbac0…
01-30 17:58:16	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	182	89¢	$162	0xc4caf9…
01-30 17:58:00	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xf5634f…
01-30 17:57:50	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x4413bf…
01-30 17:57:34	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x6bc33e…
01-30 17:57:24	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xdc89fa…
01-30 17:57:22	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	596	89¢	$531	0x3655fb…