Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.43K

Unrealized P&L

+$798

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$20.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$358

Open exposure

$1.37K

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 10-26 10:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 17% -$4,282

Other

11% 40% -$83

Tech

5% 100% +$374

Sports

3% 100% +$2,558

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+1,528	$474	86¢	$1.3K	+$848	10-26 10:25
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	Yes		+1,410	$100	4¢	$51	-$49	09-02 10:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	8	$10.1K	7,028	7,028	+0	No	+$2,118	03-28 16:22
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$2.5K	10,954	0	+10,954	Yes	-$2,500	03-28 16:40
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$2.5K	4,454	0	+4,454	Yes	-$2,500	03-28 16:24
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$1.0K	2,557	0	+2,557	Yes	-$1,000	03-28 16:23
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$1000	1,374	0	+1,374	No	+$374	03-14 12:19
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)	1	$600	3,158	0	+3,158	Song Yadong	+$2,558	08-29 08:16
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	1	$500	641	0	+641	Gen.G	+$141	10-23 11:45
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	7	$474	1,528	0	+1,528	open	—	10-26 10:25
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 260 279	11	$372	1,000	817	+183	No	-$28	03-18 06:06
lol t1 fox1 2026 08 29	1	$210	269	0	+269	T1	+$59	08-29 08:18
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs	1	$200	312	0	+312	Hanwha Life Esports	+$112	09-02 06:07
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$200	1,671	0	+1,671	Yes	-$200	03-29 15:07
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?	1	$200	712	0	+712	Yes	-$200	03-29 15:07
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	10	$140	928	0	+928	No	-$140	03-18 05:22
dota2 heroic liquid 2026 03 14	3	$103	237	237	+0	Team Liquid	+$3	03-14 12:38
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	1	$100	1,410	0	+1,410	open	—	09-02 10:51
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	1	$100	439	0	+439	No	-$100	03-18 05:21
lol wlg use1 2026 03 14	1	$50	312	0	+312	Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition	-$50	03-14 12:26
lol fec s2g 2026 03 14	1	$50	192	0	+192	S2G Esports	-$50	03-14 12:27
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	1	$31	100	0	+100	Aurora Gaming	-$31	10-26 07:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 10:25:32	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x3229f1…
10-26 09:26:23	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	783	32¢	$251	0x4d5aae…
10-26 09:18:23	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x61c682…
10-26 08:04:44	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x1d0ac6…
10-26 07:59:42	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x119302…
10-26 07:53:03	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Nemiga	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x73ecb9…
10-26 07:51:15	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x04e3a1…
10-26 07:46:57	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	328	31¢	$100	0x79104a…
10-23 11:45:48	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	641	78¢	$500	0x5fdc2c…
09-02 10:51:39	Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,410	7¢	$100	0x0aa8bc…
09-02 06:07:58	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	312	64¢	$200	0xc68de5…
08-29 08:18:15	lol t1 fox1 2026 08 29	T1	BUY	269	78¢	$210	0x806b31…
08-29 08:16:15	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Song Yadong	BUY	3,158	19¢	$600	0x5f7f47…
03-29 15:07:32	Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?	No	BUY	712	28¢	$200	0x8dbe70…
03-29 15:07:14	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,671	12¢	$200	0xf65c6b…
03-28 16:40:27	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,219	23¢	$500	0xdfe7dd…
03-28 16:24:01	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	891	56¢	$500	0x84a0a2…
03-28 16:23:51	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	3,563	56¢	$2,000	0xc5808a…
03-28 16:23:23	EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,557	39¢	$1,000	0x030947…
03-28 16:23:09	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8,735	23¢	$2,000	0xbc35c4…
03-28 16:22:25	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	3,585	85¢	$3,046	0x852464…
03-28 16:22:07	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	3,444	89¢	$3,057	0x431372…
03-18 06:06:33	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 260 279	Yes	SELL	817	21¢	$172	0x56fb91…
03-18 05:22:15	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	Yes	BUY	646	15¢	$100	0xed201d…
03-18 05:21:39	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	Yes	BUY	439	23¢	$100	0x597b89…
03-18 05:20:05	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x6497bd…
03-18 05:18:07	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	Yes	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0xf9b9c4…
03-18 05:18:07	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x131f9e…
03-18 05:17:45	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xdb90c5…
03-18 05:17:45	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xca6304…
03-18 05:17:43	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	Yes	BUY	125	14¢	$18	0x981b64…
03-18 05:17:37	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x586081…
03-18 05:17:35	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$3	0x656900…
03-18 05:17:33	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	Yes	BUY	58	14¢	$8	0xf0c96e…
03-18 05:17:09	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 260 279	Yes	BUY	57	20¢	$11	0x0df025…
03-18 05:17:03	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 260 279	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdd82b8…
03-18 05:16:39	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 260 279	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x57b297…
03-18 05:16:35	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 260 279	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf1260c…
03-18 05:16:23	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 260 279	Yes	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0x4fb810…
03-18 05:16:01	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 260 279	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4b6757…
03-18 05:15:39	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 260 279	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7bfa4a…
03-18 05:15:25	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 260 279	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6ddbdf…
03-18 05:15:23	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 260 279	Yes	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0x92965b…
03-18 05:15:17	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 260 279	Yes	BUY	785	20¢	$157	0x6bf8a1…
03-14 13:08:33	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	243	57¢	$139	0x09e995…
03-14 12:38:45	dota2 heroic liquid 2026 03 14	Heroic	SELL	237	22¢	$53	0x3bc6d7…
03-14 12:33:03	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,740	57¢	$1,000	0xe58483…
03-14 12:27:03	lol fec s2g 2026 03 14	Frites Esports Club	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0xc5996e…
03-14 12:26:43	lol wlg use1 2026 03 14	WLGaming Esports	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0xacc614…
03-14 12:26:03	dota2 heroic liquid 2026 03 14	Heroic	BUY	178	22¢	$40	0xc01f65…
03-14 12:19:31	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	665	75¢	$500	0xe75590…
03-14 12:18:33	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	880	57¢	$500	0x4e7718…
03-14 12:09:13	dota2 heroic liquid 2026 03 14	Heroic	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x45399c…
03-14 11:45:37	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,769	57¢	$1,000	0xc12433…
03-14 11:38:21	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,486	57¢	$846	0x28f7d6…
03-14 11:35:13	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	910	55¢	$500	0x001ee9…
03-14 11:33:01	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	710	70¢	$500	0xcc5e80…