Cheerful-Logic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$121

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.3%

Resolved

Trades

129

lifetime

Volume

$25.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$195

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-15 18:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 97% +$18

Other

24% 50% +$42

Politics

15% 100% +$61

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	6	$2.2K	2,250	2,250	+0	Illinois Fighting Illini	+$31	03-27 02:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	3	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$8	05-15 18:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$1.3K	650	650	+0	No	+$12	05-13 03:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$1.3K	641	641	+0	No	-$1	05-07 15:55
will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on april 10	2	$1.3K	636	636	+0	No	+$0	04-10 14:17
cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 spread home 1pt5	8	$1.2K	1,200	1,200	+0	Connecticut Huskies	$0	04-03 16:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$47	05-09 03:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$639	641	0	+641	No	+$2	04-30 14:21
xrp above 1pt4 on april 1	1	$636	637	0	+637	No	+$1	04-01 15:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$636	639	0	+639	No	+$3	04-22 14:57
xrp above 0pt9 on march 30	1	$635	636	0	+636	Yes	+$1	03-30 14:13
ethereum above 2400 on april 15	1	$634	635	0	+635	No	+$1	04-15 15:35
ethereum above 2200 on april 11	1	$634	634	0	+634	Yes	+$1	04-11 15:48
will the price of solana be between 90 100 on april 8	1	$632	633	0	+633	No	+$1	04-08 14:57
ethereum above 2200 on april 7	9	$599	600	0	+600	No	+$1	04-07 15:17
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 31	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$1	03-31 15:11
will xrp dip to 1pt2 on march 29	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$0	03-30 02:49
ethereum above 2300 on april 13	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	04-13 15:45
will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on april 16	2	$399	399	0	+399	No	+$0	04-16 14:42
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 17	2	$396	396	0	+396	No	+$0	04-17 14:41
xrp above 1pt3 on april 21	2	$313	313	0	+313	Yes	+$0	04-21 16:04
will xrp dip to 1pt25 on march 24	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	03-24 22:48
will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 24	1	$298	298	0	+298	No	+$0	03-24 09:29
ethereum above 2100 on march 18	2	$209	105	105	+0	Yes	-$1	03-18 11:43
ethereum above 2000 on march 8	2	$207	104	104	+0	No	$0	03-08 14:32
xrp above 1pt2 on march 24	1	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	03-24 09:28
will xrp dip to 1pt2 on march 23	1	$105	105	0	+105	No	+$0	03-24 02:00
will the price of solana be between 70 80 on march 17	1	$104	105	0	+105	No	+$0	03-17 14:26
xrp above 1pt1 on march 16	1	$104	105	0	+105	Yes	+$0	03-16 08:28
will ethereum dip to 2050 on march 14	1	$104	104	0	+104	No	+$0	03-15 03:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 18:45:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	700	100¢	$699	0xc44f27…
05-13 05:28:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	255	99¢	$251	0xcce209…
05-13 05:27:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	445	99¢	$440	0xf48779…
05-13 03:55:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	650	100¢	$648	0xbf22fa…
05-09 06:36:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	650	98¢	$636	0x4bc098…
05-09 03:31:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	600	100¢	$599	0x125be5…
05-07 16:01:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	600	92¢	$552	0xd19924…
05-07 15:55:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	641	100¢	$639	0xe1677c…
05-01 10:22:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	641	100¢	$640	0x2afb99…
04-30 14:21:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	641	100¢	$639	0xeb9600…
04-22 14:57:26	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	639	99¢	$636	0xa1c6b6…
04-21 16:04:38	xrp above 1pt3 on april 21	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x02f0a5…
04-21 14:57:32	xrp above 1pt3 on april 21	Yes	BUY	305	100¢	$305	0xcd46b8…
04-17 14:41:36	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 17	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xb17f66…
04-17 14:40:46	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 17	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x9b6f50…
04-16 14:42:34	will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on april 16	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x02df22…
04-16 14:42:02	will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on april 16	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3ebe6e…
04-16 14:41:26	will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on april 16	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xc5a40e…
04-15 15:35:58	ethereum above 2400 on april 15	No	BUY	635	100¢	$634	0x57f965…
04-13 15:46:33	ethereum above 1700 on april 13	No	BUY	230	0¢	$0	0x66114c…
04-13 15:45:17	ethereum above 2300 on april 13	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x19dd66…
04-12 15:49:39	will the price of xrp be between 1pt30 1pt40 on april 12	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x670776…
04-11 15:48:41	ethereum above 2200 on april 11	Yes	BUY	634	100¢	$634	0xb03419…
04-10 14:17:35	will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on april 10	No	SELL	636	100¢	$634	0x756d66…
04-10 14:03:39	will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on april 10	No	BUY	636	100¢	$634	0xe6c94c…
04-08 14:57:11	will the price of solana be between 90 100 on april 8	No	BUY	633	100¢	$632	0xdeeec9…
04-07 15:17:45	ethereum above 2200 on april 7	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x00e6e4…
04-07 15:16:55	ethereum above 2200 on april 7	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x95a111…
04-07 15:14:15	ethereum above 2200 on april 7	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfc7219…
04-07 15:14:15	ethereum above 2200 on april 7	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x4d284a…
04-07 15:14:15	ethereum above 2200 on april 7	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x28bd67…
04-07 15:14:15	ethereum above 2200 on april 7	No	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0x1bab0e…
04-07 15:14:13	ethereum above 2200 on april 7	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xb74c85…
04-07 15:14:13	ethereum above 2200 on april 7	No	BUY	216	100¢	$215	0x535849…
04-07 15:14:13	ethereum above 2200 on april 7	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x0e9ba1…
04-03 16:01:41	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 spread home 1pt5	Illinois Fighting Illini	SELL	1,200	52¢	$624	0x9d3c76…
04-03 13:41:01	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 spread home 1pt5	Illinois Fighting Illini	BUY	113	52¢	$59	0xe87e63…
04-03 13:38:49	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 spread home 1pt5	Illinois Fighting Illini	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x21c250…
04-03 13:30:01	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 spread home 1pt5	Illinois Fighting Illini	BUY	323	52¢	$168	0x3972ab…
04-03 13:16:09	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 spread home 1pt5	Illinois Fighting Illini	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xe3f0e8…
04-03 13:02:39	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 spread home 1pt5	Illinois Fighting Illini	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xe4e725…
04-03 12:46:31	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 spread home 1pt5	Illinois Fighting Illini	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc1e40d…
04-03 12:36:35	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 spread home 1pt5	Illinois Fighting Illini	BUY	620	52¢	$322	0x8c6091…
04-01 15:25:27	xrp above 1pt4 on april 1	No	BUY	637	100¢	$636	0xc6061a…
03-31 15:11:51	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 31	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xad94bf…
03-30 14:13:19	xrp above 0pt9 on march 30	Yes	BUY	636	100¢	$635	0xf54f26…
03-30 02:49:00	will xrp dip to 1pt2 on march 29	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x6dc3ee…
03-27 02:30:35	cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	Houston Cougars	SELL	850	56¢	$476	0x7fb2ba…
03-27 02:26:15	cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	Houston Cougars	BUY	820	54¢	$443	0xdd140a…
03-27 02:26:11	cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	Houston Cougars	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xa7dbc5…
03-27 02:26:11	cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	Houston Cougars	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x17eb18…
03-27 02:06:47	cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	Illinois Fighting Illini	SELL	1,400	44¢	$616	0x7a2cb5…
03-27 01:55:51	cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	Illinois Fighting Illini	BUY	1,400	43¢	$602	0x57cf7c…
03-24 22:48:13	will xrp dip to 1pt25 on march 24	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x39e825…
03-24 09:29:01	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 24	No	BUY	298	100¢	$298	0x4d911e…
03-24 09:28:11	xrp above 1pt2 on march 24	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x8f460f…
03-24 02:00:29	will xrp dip to 1pt2 on march 23	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xd85589…
03-23 05:35:27	xrp above 1pt7 on march 23	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xf3f6b8…
03-22 14:09:33	will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on march 22	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xea5760…
03-22 03:25:59	will xrp dip to 1pt35 on march 21	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x7c965f…
03-21 13:41:33	will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on march 21	No	BUY	95	100¢	$94	0x69ceaa…
03-19 08:15:51	ethereum above 2400 on march 19	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xf32f67…
03-19 00:49:51	will xrp reach 1pt6 on march 18	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x5e7f0e…
03-18 14:54:01	xrp up or down on march 18 2026	Down	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x3c5556…
03-18 11:43:33	ethereum above 2100 on march 18	Yes	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0xa75ffc…
03-18 09:52:49	ethereum above 2100 on march 18	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x619a90…
03-17 14:26:09	will the price of solana be between 70 80 on march 17	No	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0x91de68…
03-16 08:28:57	xrp above 1pt1 on march 16	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0x1899d6…
03-15 03:40:07	will ethereum dip to 2050 on march 14	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xa69df4…
03-14 12:33:47	xrp above 1pt3 on march 14	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x17d782…
03-13 15:16:49	will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on march 13	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x8edf2d…
03-12 12:18:23	xrp above 1pt2 on march 12	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xf229de…
03-11 06:01:11	ethereum above 1700 on march 11	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x87cfd0…
03-10 05:40:05	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 10	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xa0f364…
03-09 09:29:49	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on march 9	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xc6162b…
03-08 15:07:51	ethereum above 1800 on march 8	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0x283021…
03-08 14:32:19	ethereum above 2000 on march 8	No	SELL	104	100¢	$103	0x2006b9…
03-08 14:29:37	ethereum above 2000 on march 8	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x8130f0…
03-07 06:26:41	will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 7	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x0bd482…
03-06 05:37:59	xrp above 1pt6 on march 6	No	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0x3b000d…
03-05 15:27:33	solana above 100 on march 5	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x32eae3…
03-04 15:09:25	will the price of solana be between 70 80 on march 4	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x6e8bdb…
03-02 04:26:11	will the price of xrp be between 0pt90 1pt00 on march 2	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xd28b77…
03-01 16:22:43	will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on march 1	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x6dddcc…
02-28 03:34:59	xrp above 1 on february 28	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0x4e079c…
02-27 07:29:33	xrp above 1pt2 on february 27	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x971f72…
02-25 05:18:12	solana above 60 on february 25	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x50290e…
02-24 05:42:08	will the price of ethereum be less than 1500 on february 24	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xc18689…
02-23 08:06:24	will the price of xrp be less than 1pt00 on february 23	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xcebfbc…
02-22 04:39:02	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on february 22	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x91faf0…
02-21 05:21:48	will the price of xrp be between 1pt00 1pt10 on february 21	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x3ed19d…
02-19 03:19:34	solana above 60 on february 19	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xffcda1…
02-18 03:03:40	xrp above 1pt1 on february 18	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x256d51…
02-16 11:56:15	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on february 16	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x7080bb…
02-16 02:34:23	will solana dip to 70 february 9 15	No	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0xf13c4e…
02-15 03:25:25	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on february 15	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x8124e4…
02-14 16:29:35	solana above 90 on february 14	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xeea9fc…
02-05 10:18:03	solana above 70 on february 5	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xcfbd7b…
02-04 03:42:54	ethereum above 2700 on february 4	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xbc18af…
02-03 07:52:24	will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on february 3	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x1480a1…