Luminous-Fashion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$749

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.7%

Resolved

1,769

Trades

3,638

lifetime

Volume

$31.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 10-30 00:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

50% 54% -$441

Crypto

29% 80% -$9

Sports

12% 43% -$184

Politics

7% 39% -$77

Tech

2% 75% -$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	84	$1.8K	1,580	1,544	+36	Yes	-$59	04-24 14:01
lal ovi vil 2026 04 23 ovi	83	$1.7K	1,189	1,159	+30	No	-$4	04-23 16:00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	102	$1.5K	1,355	1,347	+7	No	-$58	04-27 00:13
lal ray esp 2026 04 23 draw	41	$902	664	633	+31	No	+$3	04-23 15:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	54	$854	564	756	-192	Yes	-$104	04-24 22:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	44	$625	340	414	-74	No	-$19	04-27 00:12
Iran leadership change by April 30?	43	$603	319	319	-0	No	+$1	04-24 22:32
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	44	$464	403	389	+15	No	+$2	04-23 13:55
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	38	$440	240	374	-134	No	-$45	04-27 00:11
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	27	$386	386	236	+150	No	-$1	04-27 00:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	31	$351	318	313	+5	Yes	-$12	04-27 00:28
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	41	$331	199	191	+8	No	-$3	04-24 09:23
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	34	$239	209	226	-18	No	-$11	04-27 00:12
epl che mun 2026 04 18 che	15	$186	203	145	+58	No	+$25	04-18 11:37
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	15	$182	126	76	+50	No	-$13	04-24 13:59
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	34	$179	190	195	-6	No	-$1	04-27 00:11
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?	19	$176	113	113	+0	No	-$2	04-27 00:14
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	14	$169	165	196	-31	No	+$17	04-27 00:17
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	15	$142	132	132	+0	Yes	-$2	04-27 00:11
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	11	$141	353	338	+15	No	+$7	04-24 11:25
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	18	$121	529	480	+50	No	-$36	04-27 00:12
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	22	$121	111	111	+0	Yes	-$1	04-27 00:21
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	23	$115	99	114	-15	No	-$6	04-18 11:28
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	8	$109	97	97	-0	Yes	+$4	04-24 09:22
nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	5	$106	115	91	+23	Hawks	-$13	04-23 14:15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	9	$106	105	74	+31	Yes	+$11	04-25 10:11
nba hou lal 2026 04 18	14	$100	98	52	+46	Lakers	-$31	04-18 11:38
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	15	$98	54	68	-14	Yes	+$5	04-24 09:22
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	7	$96	81	103	-22	Yes	-$12	04-27 00:02
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	8	$93	56	49	+7	Yes	+$1	04-23 13:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 00:34:01	ZCash Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x4e845f…
10-30 00:33:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0x3b3ed2…
10-30 00:33:51	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x58bbd6…
10-30 00:33:42	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x5a72c0…
10-30 00:28:40	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	84¢	$18	0xee4ebb…
10-30 00:13:18	Silver Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	91¢	$27	0xbd0163…
10-30 00:08:55	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x2c0159…
10-30 00:08:49	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x53a183…
10-30 00:08:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf11f0c…
10-30 00:03:58	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x19e0f9…
10-30 00:03:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xea6d2b…
10-29 23:33:42	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x2f9f61…
10-29 23:28:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x7e54d0…
10-29 23:18:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x56dfcc…
10-29 23:13:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	69	84¢	$58	0x4b46a9…
10-29 22:33:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x619110…
10-29 22:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0x65c943…
10-29 22:28:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	91¢	$13	0x5e3ef8…
10-29 22:28:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	58	94¢	$54	0xb0de34…
10-29 22:23:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xf75878…
10-29 22:23:42	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x20f25a…
10-29 21:48:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	53	90¢	$48	0xf79d1d…
10-29 21:48:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0xa58d21…
10-29 21:38:43	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	111	83¢	$93	0x4c7261…
10-29 21:23:42	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	87	85¢	$74	0xf75801…
10-29 21:03:54	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x842b8f…
10-29 21:03:48	ZCash Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x253b95…
10-29 21:03:43	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	61	81¢	$50	0x0584ba…
10-29 20:58:42	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	87¢	$43	0x996bb8…
10-29 20:54:01	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	52	94¢	$48	0xf7efc5…
10-29 20:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	48	73¢	$35	0xa589cd…
10-29 20:39:01	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x9d6535…
10-29 20:38:49	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	54	81¢	$44	0xb2debf…
10-29 20:13:40	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xf38f84…
10-29 20:08:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	65	76¢	$49	0x81f8c4…
10-29 19:13:18	Silver Up or Down - October 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xb19be4…
10-29 19:08:46	ZCash Up or Down - October 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x507c80…
10-29 19:08:40	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x16750c…
10-29 17:48:56	ZCash Up or Down - October 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	47	88¢	$41	0x10dc3a…
10-29 16:53:58	ZCash Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x33ef44…
10-29 16:43:05	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x06d1ab…
10-29 16:29:02	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xc515dc…
10-29 15:58:41	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xcf555c…
10-29 15:53:41	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x1baff6…
10-29 15:43:20	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x20aeff…
10-29 15:13:17	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x2e6d1c…
10-29 14:53:41	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbcb376…
10-29 14:48:50	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0xf6c5cf…
10-29 14:43:20	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0xaa144e…
10-29 14:43:10	Silver Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x02b7f0…
10-29 14:14:01	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	47	90¢	$43	0xfde19a…
10-29 13:48:50	ZCash Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0xc19070…
10-29 13:48:43	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	39	92¢	$35	0xff405c…
10-29 13:28:43	ZCash Up or Down - October 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0xb42d76…
10-29 12:58:11	Silver Up or Down - October 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x76a21c…
10-29 12:33:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x5b1fca…
10-29 11:58:53	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0xe3ae19…
10-29 11:28:41	ZCash Up or Down - October 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x7e4fb3…
10-29 11:28:07	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x946556…
10-29 10:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x7926da…
10-29 10:18:53	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x05a4e0…
10-29 10:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0xf6ad3c…
10-29 10:13:10	Silver Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0x33ed34…
10-29 09:58:14	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0xdb86e4…
10-29 09:43:07	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xaa252d…
10-29 09:28:10	Silver Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0xd9f1c7…
10-29 09:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	39	89¢	$34	0xd21ed1…
10-29 08:13:49	ZCash Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcf7fc7…
10-29 07:43:52	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe55bb6…
10-29 07:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	35	95¢	$34	0xe47641…
10-29 07:03:44	ZCash Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x58a25f…
10-29 06:58:07	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xc04ebd…
10-29 05:38:43	ZCash Up or Down - October 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xcfd837…
10-29 05:28:07	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2bbaaa…
10-29 04:58:08	Silver Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xa3b89f…
10-29 04:29:04	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x9a23c9…
10-29 04:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0xf604ab…
10-29 04:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x017db5…
10-29 04:13:23	Silver Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x95e290…
10-29 04:13:05	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd7be16…
10-29 03:58:07	Silver Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9fa2ed…
10-29 02:23:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x26e20a…
10-29 02:23:44	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x09d226…
10-29 02:23:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xfb27cb…
10-29 02:18:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xfa2f7f…
10-29 02:13:44	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x4d33cc…
10-29 01:58:43	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xdefc4b…
10-29 01:53:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x3203a0…
10-29 01:53:52	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x92cc4b…
10-29 01:43:41	ZCash Up or Down - October 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8104ba…
10-29 00:58:44	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xc05522…
10-29 00:43:07	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x921481…
10-29 00:28:53	Silver Up or Down - October 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3a3bdb…
10-29 00:08:49	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x921a6f…
10-28 22:58:46	ZCash Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8895a4…
10-28 22:53:41	ZCash Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb16731…
10-28 22:24:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x62655f…
10-28 21:53:41	ZCash Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd162b9…
10-28 20:38:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x560e6f…
10-28 20:38:43	ZCash Up or Down - October 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0x89dbab…