Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$100

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

52.5%

Resolved

276

Trades

681

lifetime

Volume

$2.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-27

last 10-27 13:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

66% 30% -$135

Crypto

34% 62% +$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	—	+8	$4	2¢	$0	-$4	10-27 16:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 12?	5	$44	34	34	+0	Yes	+$17	10-12 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 3?	6	$36	26	26	+0	Yes	+$9	10-03 10:09
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 3?	3	$31	22	22	+0	Yes	+$13	10-03 23:28
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 3?	3	$28	17	17	+0	No	-$3	10-03 11:55
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 4?	10	$27	32	32	+0	No	-$10	10-04 10:16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 13?	4	$27	51	51	+0	No	+$1	09-12 16:28
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 3?	3	$26	27	27	+0	No	-$1	10-03 11:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 3?	8	$26	27	27	+0	Yes	+$4	10-03 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 13:55 UTC	4	$25	29	29	+0	Down	-$2	09-14 13:56
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 11?	5	$24	35	19	+16	No	-$7	10-11 10:15
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 11?	2	$24	21	21	+0	Yes	+$16	10-11 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$24	18	18	+0	Down	+$6	10-12 13:15
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 14?	4	$23	23	23	+0	Yes	-$2	09-14 12:45
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on October 4?	5	$23	24	24	+0	Yes	+$2	10-04 10:23
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 12?	4	$23	70	70	+0	No	-$2	09-12 15:43
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 12?	4	$22	28	28	+0	No	+$3	09-12 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$22	16	16	+0	Up	+$7	10-03 12:02
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on September 12?	9	$21	68	68	+0	No	+$7	09-12 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$21	14	14	+0	Down	+$7	10-12 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$21	17	17	+0	Up	+$5	10-12 13:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 27?	4	$20	29	29	+0	No	+$4	08-27 04:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12?	4	$20	18	18	+0	Yes	-$1	10-12 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 13?	5	$20	72	72	+0	No	-$7	10-13 14:11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15?	6	$19	31	31	+0	Yes	$0	09-15 00:44
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 29?	6	$18	44	44	+0	No	+$2	08-29 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 12:00 UTC	2	$18	18	18	+0	Up	+$2	09-14 12:00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 4?	4	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$0	10-04 05:04
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 28?	2	$17	17	17	+0	Yes	+$13	08-28 12:26
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 11?	3	$17	12	12	+0	Yes	+$4	10-11 03:36
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 27?	5	$17	37	37	+0	Yes	-$10	08-27 05:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 16:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xe1f5e2…
10-27 13:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x39b15a…
10-27 13:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xcf5723…
10-27 13:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x0266a3…
10-27 13:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8e85f6…
10-27 13:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xd685f4…
10-27 13:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2c8d68…
10-27 13:37:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xb2b5b2…
10-27 13:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x7cd775…
10-27 09:24:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x40832f…
10-27 04:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xfcbf2e…
10-27 04:32:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xee362f…
10-27 04:31:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x0b5234…
10-27 04:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x1e350d…
10-27 04:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x4f4425…
10-27 04:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x26a908…
10-27 04:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xfe506f…
10-27 04:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xa5b0a3…
10-27 04:17:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x7f9ec1…
10-27 04:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xeebec8…
10-27 04:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x316088…
10-27 04:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xc30fc5…
10-27 04:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xa3962c…
10-27 04:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4a3dc2…
10-27 04:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x05b506…
10-27 04:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x98fa25…
10-27 04:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x2882b5…
10-27 04:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x516554…
10-27 04:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x34e3a7…
10-27 04:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x46d1bf…
10-27 04:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0xd44f96…
10-27 03:59:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x8fc39a…
10-27 03:31:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xa02cac…
10-27 03:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xb1d8e4…
10-27 03:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0xfd59ce…
10-27 03:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	27	17¢	$4	0x9b5ce4…
10-27 03:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0x773675…
10-27 03:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x221e65…
10-27 03:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0xfd50d5…
10-27 03:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0x240b2b…
10-27 03:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0xc55433…
10-27 03:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x5b7688…
10-27 03:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 27?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xdc8ca3…
10-27 01:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x3ac4a4…
10-27 01:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x74477d…
10-27 01:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x3cef48…
10-27 01:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x7481d9…
10-27 00:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xaaeca6…
10-27 00:56:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 27?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe0fa9b…
10-27 00:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xbd97f6…
10-27 00:53:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x779dfb…
10-26 23:09:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0xe07c06…
10-26 23:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xdfaf21…
10-26 13:52:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x1f8965…
10-26 13:50:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	42	13¢	$6	0x652a8d…
10-26 13:48:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0xcd514f…
10-26 13:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x4d24b7…
10-26 13:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd21288…
10-26 13:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x1900cb…
10-26 13:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x4fa0bc…
10-26 11:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x1911f7…
10-26 11:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x5cc528…
10-26 11:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x4e0561…
10-26 11:13:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xdb2fd9…
10-18 13:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x831f79…
10-18 12:54:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$2	0x12f5e2…
10-18 12:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0xe35bb5…
10-18 12:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	25	23¢	$6	0xbe62e1…
10-18 12:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb9dfab…
10-18 12:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	45	12¢	$5	0xe0df72…
10-18 08:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x36ee37…
10-18 07:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$0	0xa5bf40…
10-18 06:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	38	4¢	$2	0x141d4a…
10-18 06:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$3	0xd8bf05…
10-18 05:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x2c0c0a…
10-18 05:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x30d124…
10-18 05:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa18cc4…
10-18 05:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xf64e2e…
10-18 05:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0xab4db3…
10-18 05:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x232bb6…
10-18 05:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	11	84¢	$9	0x1f58de…
10-18 03:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xab48ee…
10-18 03:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x549a75…
10-18 02:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x0d5886…
10-18 02:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xabdff2…
10-18 02:44:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:40 UTC	Up	SELL	9	63¢	$5	0x48eb38…
10-18 02:39:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	41¢	$3	0xa1425a…
10-18 02:25:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xa5ba6b…
10-18 02:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcedcbc…
10-13 14:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	22	21¢	$5	0xbddbd0…
10-13 14:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	67	8¢	$5	0xf22260…
10-13 01:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x458078…
10-13 01:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0xfec1f4…
10-13 01:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x571846…
10-13 01:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xbff33b…
10-12 16:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x21fc91…
10-12 15:06:53	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x2b71f4…
10-12 15:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	28	9¢	$3	0xc5347a…
10-12 14:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	44	18¢	$8	0x291ba3…
10-12 13:50:56	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x44aa3d…