Scratchy-Millstone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

121

Trades

953

lifetime

Volume

$474

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-11 08:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 28% $-26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 479 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	8	$10	50	50	+0	Up	+$9	05-09 22:34
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$8	40	10	+30	open	—	05-03 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 03:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$6	140	140	+0	open	—	05-03 23:23
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$6	50	50	+0	Up	+$4	05-10 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	3	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	3	$4	150	150	+0	open	—	05-04 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$4	150	150	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	3	$4	150	150	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 05:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	7	$4	150	150	+0	open	—	05-04 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$4	150	150	+0	open	—	05-04 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	4	$4	140	150	-10	open	—	05-04 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	3	$4	140	150	-10	open	—	05-04 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$4	140	140	+0	open	—	05-03 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$4	140	140	+0	open	—	05-03 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	3	$4	140	140	+0	open	—	05-03 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	6	$4	140	140	+0	open	—	05-03 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$4	90	90	+0	open	—	05-03 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$3	100	100	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	5	$3	100	100	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 19:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$3	50	50	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 14:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	5	$3	50	50	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$3	100	100	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 21:22
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$3	100	100	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$3	100	100	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$3	100	100	+0	open	—	05-04 14:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 08:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	150	2¢	$3	0xcf57df…
05-11 08:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x5037a0…
05-11 07:08:24	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	61	1¢	$1	0x98a33c…
05-11 07:08:24	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0x12b88b…
05-11 07:08:24	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x05520a…
05-11 07:03:16	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xd88c69…
05-11 06:42:40	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe43887…
05-11 06:42:40	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xba4324…
05-11 06:42:40	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x3c8e9d…
05-11 06:42:39	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x5ae330…
05-11 06:42:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xf6dd24…
05-11 06:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x29cdde…
05-11 05:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x5a6777…
05-11 05:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xbed796…
05-11 05:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbaa42e…
05-11 05:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x60a8c0…
05-11 05:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x462ca7…
05-11 05:18:02	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x31dab3…
05-11 03:23:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x92bd46…
05-11 03:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6af930…
05-11 03:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xe18ce5…
05-11 03:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xddd1be…
05-11 03:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb22577…
05-11 03:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4c8cde…
05-11 03:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x565001…
05-11 02:33:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0xff9f2d…
05-11 02:33:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xbe1d44…
05-11 02:33:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x948e16…
05-11 02:33:04	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x388440…
05-11 02:33:00	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xca3a48…
05-11 02:32:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x428401…
05-11 02:32:53	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x9efe5f…
05-11 01:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdbb6d1…
05-11 01:12:41	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xc0a133…
05-11 01:12:41	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x72228d…
05-11 01:12:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xb8a142…
05-11 01:03:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x56593c…
05-11 01:03:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0xd61bad…
05-11 01:03:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xf55e4f…
05-11 01:03:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x0bd689…
05-11 01:02:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x7115fc…
05-11 00:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x36b7cb…
05-11 00:53:00	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x5c77aa…
05-11 00:52:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x10bad1…
05-11 00:42:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	46	2¢	$1	0xf13edc…
05-11 00:42:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xb72cae…
05-11 00:42:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x45b647…
05-11 00:42:17	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xd33e86…
05-11 00:42:12	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xb9d3cb…
05-11 00:32:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xadfca0…
05-11 00:32:22	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x29b27f…
05-11 00:32:17	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x6409ad…
05-11 00:32:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x203a37…
05-11 00:17:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xbec933…
05-10 23:28:33	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x9fb624…
05-10 23:28:00	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xedce05…
05-10 23:27:57	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xe64d2f…
05-10 23:27:53	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x86fb06…
05-10 23:27:50	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x898091…
05-10 23:27:50	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x0fb39b…
05-10 23:27:48	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xe90b96…
05-10 23:27:46	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x87093b…
05-10 23:27:43	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x956abf…
05-10 23:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x10645f…
05-10 22:33:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x52f3af…
05-10 22:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xeeb832…
05-10 22:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0xa7c2ad…
05-10 22:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x21add6…
05-10 22:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xf14855…
05-10 22:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x871731…
05-10 22:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0x6f2036…
05-10 22:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x659f3e…
05-10 22:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x8e2434…
05-10 22:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x5f34a0…
05-10 22:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x05a4bf…
05-10 22:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x117b85…
05-10 22:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xcd729c…
05-10 22:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xaafa20…
05-10 22:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xa506ce…
05-10 22:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x98aeaf…
05-10 22:32:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x243ae6…
05-10 22:32:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0xd9f8c1…
05-10 22:32:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0xd84c5d…
05-10 22:32:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb3a30a…
05-10 22:32:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x55d2b4…
05-10 22:27:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x4646bc…
05-10 22:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0940be…
05-10 22:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x6b6b60…
05-10 22:08:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0xf5d4ba…
05-10 22:08:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	44	1¢	$0	0x62e8f6…
05-10 22:08:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x95b2ea…
05-10 22:08:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x6a1ba8…
05-10 22:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xf3cf35…
05-10 22:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc38735…
05-10 22:02:57	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x2ead95…
05-10 22:02:20	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x972b00…
05-10 22:02:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x39e3f0…
05-10 22:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x250f56…
05-10 22:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	37	2¢	$1	0xc928dd…
05-10 22:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0x23457c…