Shallow-Provision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.6%

Resolved

140

Trades

1,115

lifetime

Volume

$75.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 08-02 00:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

77% 57% -$315

Tech

13% 43% +$237

Politics

5% 55% +$107

Crypto

4% 100% +$230

Sports

1% 33% -$216

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	19	$9.0K	5,413	5,413	+1	Yes	+$402	07-21 19:26
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	25	$2.7K	1,925	1,925	+0	Yes	+$262	06-22 11:42
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	19	$2.5K	2,625	2,625	+0	No	+$39	06-01 12:11
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	24	$2.3K	2,410	2,410	+0	Yes	-$345	06-27 16:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	53	$2.3K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$57	06-13 17:25
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals erling haaland gte1	5	$2.1K	1,231	1,116	+115	No	+$6	06-26 20:10
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	25	$2.1K	1,411	1,411	+0	Yes	+$236	07-03 12:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	17	$2.0K	1,071	1,071	+0	No	+$182	05-12 12:24
will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	7	$1.9K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$499	06-30 17:56
another gta vi trailer released by june 30	65	$1.8K	1,863	630	+1,233	No	+$370	06-26 13:59
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?	16	$1.8K	1,313	1,113	+200	Yes	-$119	06-15 14:55
mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	4	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	07-21 21:06
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	3	$1.6K	6,130	6,130	+0	No	+$381	06-18 16:51
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	15	$1.5K	2,186	2,186	+0	No	+$287	06-25 11:06
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	5	$1.4K	1,152	1,152	+0	Yes	+$299	05-30 15:32
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 13.5m?	21	$1.4K	1,277	200	+1,077	Yes	+$83	05-26 21:35
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?	5	$1.3K	1,036	1,036	+0	No	+$311	07-10 19:12
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?	8	$1.2K	707	1,207	-500	Yes	-$467	07-03 20:05
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	5	$1.2K	719	719	+0	Yes	+$285	06-21 15:08
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	31	$1.1K	701	701	+0	No	+$279	08-02 00:05
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?	20	$1.1K	15,702	200	+15,502	No	-$1,047	06-22 00:58
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?	9	$1.1K	661	761	-100	Yes	-$23	06-27 19:33
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	3	$1.0K	600	600	+0	Yes	+$188	07-01 19:10
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	10	$960	1,153	300	+853	Yes	+$290	07-23 23:19
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?	6	$953	993	513	+480	No	-$536	06-21 21:46
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 36m?	3	$936	600	450	+150	No	+$114	06-08 20:58
will fidesz kdnp win at least 60 seats	11	$904	1,078	0	+1,078	No	-$904	04-12 08:59
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?	8	$887	1,012	1,137	-125	Yes	-$660	06-21 15:24
another gta vi trailer released by june 15	10	$852	1,179	0	+1,179	No	+$327	06-07 21:26
will fidesz kdnp win at least 70 seats	5	$826	1,243	0	+1,243	No	-$826	04-10 07:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 00:05:57	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x38f735…
08-01 23:57:14	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1990ea…
08-01 23:54:45	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x7315ed…
08-01 23:54:03	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbacfff…
08-01 23:53:32	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x995049…
08-01 23:27:24	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x9f5a67…
08-01 23:25:08	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x19d85c…
08-01 22:59:23	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x498d1c…
08-01 22:59:23	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x36968b…
08-01 22:52:42	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x99541f…
08-01 22:11:23	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x42eca9…
08-01 22:10:35	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb56b1d…
08-01 22:00:12	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe132b8…
08-01 21:56:59	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe0f2fc…
08-01 21:56:59	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x552d45…
08-01 21:43:48	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x08fd2e…
08-01 21:22:24	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x4a0fb2…
08-01 21:18:14	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x8b9c99…
08-01 21:18:14	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x79b5a9…
08-01 21:18:12	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x2da241…
08-01 20:58:57	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2047a2…
08-01 20:51:59	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4c2d3c…
08-01 20:37:39	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x34cce3…
08-01 20:35:06	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xe01b5c…
08-01 20:35:05	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xb54993…
08-01 20:33:39	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x6c3955…
08-01 20:31:14	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x2dd69d…
08-01 20:30:53	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x163ddb…
08-01 20:29:11	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x9a4673…
08-01 20:28:51	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0xa521b3…
08-01 10:27:12	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8e71aa…
07-31 19:52:26	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x15339d…
07-31 19:27:08	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xdcf7a5…
07-31 18:04:11	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xf19b09…
07-31 18:04:11	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x1dfd55…
07-31 18:04:11	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x025553…
07-31 18:03:21	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xf72dc9…
07-31 18:03:21	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x920fd6…
07-31 18:03:21	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x079498…
07-31 09:20:42	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m?	Yes	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0x3c65a3…
07-31 07:08:24	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 290m and 300m?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x139a95…
07-31 00:38:20	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m?	Yes	SELL	912	10¢	$91	0x8e0b66…
07-29 21:38:41	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m?	Yes	BUY	473	13¢	$61	0x8faf2b…
07-29 20:03:57	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	31	35¢	$11	0xc7354f…
07-29 20:03:45	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	72	35¢	$25	0x56618f…
07-29 20:03:45	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	555	35¢	$194	0x04b3b9…
07-29 19:10:53	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x3cf4b1…
07-29 17:36:21	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	389	55¢	$214	0x0bbd5c…
07-29 17:31:09	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	111	55¢	$61	0xabd9bb…
07-29 16:55:41	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0xcaa2df…
07-29 16:54:06	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	158	58¢	$92	0x70d10e…
07-29 16:36:56	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0xd3bdeb…
07-29 16:36:54	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m?	Yes	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x409186…
07-29 15:36:53	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xa04e9d…
07-29 15:36:53	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m?	Yes	BUY	73	12¢	$9	0x6baf2b…
07-29 15:36:51	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x58d49f…
07-29 15:23:41	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x01ccea…
07-29 15:13:56	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xac8d9c…
07-29 13:20:21	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x6c46cd…
07-29 13:19:27	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xfc7f45…
07-29 13:19:26	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x3c0dd6…
07-28 22:18:07	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m?	Yes	BUY	152	12¢	$18	0x6650ee…
07-28 18:52:29	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x0ec910…
07-28 16:01:29	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xe34df9…
07-28 16:01:28	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd698cf…
07-28 16:01:28	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x929fe4…
07-28 16:01:28	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x6a5e1b…
07-28 13:15:40	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x6175c4…
07-27 19:41:04	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m?	Yes	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0xcbd7ec…
07-27 13:17:42	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 290m and 300m?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x476717…
07-27 13:17:42	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 290m and 300m?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x287e0b…
07-27 13:17:40	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 290m and 300m?	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x07a422…
07-27 07:12:04	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	BUY	701	60¢	$422	0x7cfad8…
07-26 14:59:39	Will "Minions & Monsters" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	Yes	BUY	185	3¢	$6	0xa9d5ad…
07-26 14:58:12	Will "Minions & Monsters" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	Yes	BUY	165	3¢	$5	0xc58345…
07-26 14:58:12	Will "Minions & Monsters" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x154402…
07-26 14:21:12	Will "Minions & Monsters" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0x88e6f5…
07-26 14:19:12	Will "Minions & Monsters" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xbf8392…
07-26 11:05:46	Will "Minions & Monsters" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xd49d97…
07-26 10:53:33	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	BUY	126	62¢	$78	0xe8d14e…
07-25 23:36:37	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x513888…
07-25 08:45:03	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?	Yes	SELL	42	12¢	$5	0x11f33c…
07-25 08:20:52	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?	Yes	SELL	251	12¢	$30	0x1c4dec…
07-25 08:17:43	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?	Yes	SELL	208	12¢	$25	0xc454f0…
07-25 06:57:42	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?	Yes	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0x8e7cdb…
07-25 06:57:34	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?	Yes	SELL	67	12¢	$8	0xa2a3f2…
07-25 05:59:33	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0x91c4f7…
07-25 05:58:46	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?	Yes	SELL	28	12¢	$3	0x191344…
07-25 05:28:22	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?	Yes	SELL	70	12¢	$8	0xa082ea…
07-25 05:13:25	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?	Yes	SELL	47	12¢	$6	0xcec19f…
07-25 04:11:27	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x022510…
07-24 00:33:33	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 74m?	Yes	SELL	163	12¢	$20	0xd7def4…
07-23 23:19:39	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	SELL	112	66¢	$74	0x2dff12…
07-23 23:18:13	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 74m?	Yes	SELL	350	12¢	$42	0x7f90e2…
07-23 20:30:28	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	SELL	188	66¢	$124	0xf9d92a…
07-23 20:22:28	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	66¢	$660	0x431797…
07-23 16:33:30	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 74m?	Yes	SELL	250	12¢	$30	0xc738e8…
07-23 15:56:40	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xd88e48…
07-23 13:57:40	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 74m?	Yes	SELL	174	12¢	$21	0xf92a9c…
07-22 21:56:42	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xc2d8fe…