Shallow-Provision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

+$145

Hit rate

96.3%

Resolved

Trades

159

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

$590

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 06-09 14:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

65% 100% +$29

Crypto

13% — —

Politics

12% 0% $-11

Tech

8% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+600	$399	90¢	$543	+$144	06-03 08:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+67	$45	70¢	$47	+$1	06-07 19:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	17	$2.0K	1,071	1,071	+0	open	—	05-12 12:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	48	$1.8K	1,500	900	+600	open	—	06-03 08:05
will fidesz kdnp win at least 60 seats	11	$904	1,078	0	+1,078	open	—	04-12 08:59
will fidesz kdnp win at least 70 seats	5	$826	1,243	0	+1,243	open	—	04-10 07:02
another gta vi trailer released by june 15	7	$819	1,124	0	+1,124	open	—	06-07 21:26
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	8	$800	1,150	400	+750	open	—	05-31 18:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$710	675	675	+0	open	—	06-01 12:11
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	3	$692	400	400	+0	open	—	04-29 06:10
will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	2	$586	404	404	+0	open	—	06-06 13:30
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$452	500	0	+500	open	—	04-07 21:18
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	3	$450	300	300	+0	open	—	05-28 13:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$417	300	300	+0	open	—	04-07 21:00
Will Marco Rubio attend Trump’s Xi summit?	5	$380	207	207	+0	Yes	+$29	05-13 07:33
will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	5	$348	400	0	+400	open	—	06-09 14:24
russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17	14	$296	643	343	+300	open	—	04-15 23:38
will adam sandler attend ufc freedom 250 20260602162901352	9	$278	613	491	+122	open	—	06-09 08:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$45	67	0	+67	open	—	06-07 19:53
Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	2	$24	97	0	+97	open	—	05-14 14:53
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 17	1	$24	30	0	+30	open	—	04-17 07:36
trump on 250 bill this year	2	$17	100	100	+0	open	—	06-08 14:59
Will Trump say "China" during events with Brazilian president?	4	$15	18	3	+15	No	$-11	05-07 16:31
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	2	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	06-08 19:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 14:24:57	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xd4811e…
06-09 14:24:57	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	Yes	BUY	86	87¢	$75	0x7f3870…
06-09 14:24:57	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	Yes	BUY	189	87¢	$165	0x48c405…
06-09 14:10:58	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x68c2fa…
06-09 14:09:43	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x7576db…
06-09 08:23:42	will adam sandler attend ufc freedom 250 20260602162901352	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x99f8b9…
06-08 19:00:55	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x502762…
06-08 18:49:18	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x1b824b…
06-08 16:11:49	will adam sandler attend ufc freedom 250 20260602162901352	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x7ed2fa…
06-08 14:59:36	trump on 250 bill this year	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xa90cbd…
06-07 21:26:42	another gta vi trailer released by june 15	No	BUY	75	90¢	$68	0xc9f019…
06-07 19:53:55	another gta vi trailer released by june 15	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x51103f…
06-07 19:53:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xaeb17b…
06-07 19:22:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x59653c…
06-07 19:18:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	38	68¢	$26	0xf9995b…
06-07 19:02:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xa93b54…
06-06 13:30:42	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	404	72¢	$291	0xc1f79f…
06-06 13:07:03	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	404	73¢	$295	0xad463c…
06-05 18:17:34	will adam sandler attend ufc freedom 250 20260602162901352	Yes	SELL	150	5¢	$8	0x641b00…
06-05 11:59:13	will adam sandler attend ufc freedom 250 20260602162901352	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x3a8cf4…
06-05 09:56:33	will adam sandler attend ufc freedom 250 20260602162901352	Yes	SELL	266	5¢	$13	0x192abe…
06-04 17:26:33	will adam sandler attend ufc freedom 250 20260602162901352	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xead48b…
06-03 16:05:18	Will Adam Sandler attend UFC Freedom 250?	Yes	BUY	93	25¢	$23	0x6b7d1b…
06-03 15:26:04	Will Adam Sandler attend UFC Freedom 250?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x249376…
06-03 15:25:34	Will Adam Sandler attend UFC Freedom 250?	Yes	BUY	500	45¢	$225	0xcc3cad…
06-03 08:05:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	600	79¢	$474	0x42ec6d…
06-02 15:59:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	900	79¢	$711	0x90b04f…
06-01 14:08:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0xb76275…
06-01 12:11:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	675	83¢	$560	0x9d7a98…
06-01 12:00:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	259	39¢	$100	0x13e842…
06-01 11:51:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	416	12¢	$50	0x1c1e36…
05-31 18:14:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	70¢	$43	0x3825cd…
05-31 18:11:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	70¢	$62	0x536931…
05-31 11:53:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$0	0xd50b54…
05-31 11:52:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x8f74da…
05-31 11:52:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xd6022e…
05-31 11:48:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xf0eb07…
05-31 11:48:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x8ca30d…
05-31 11:48:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x42ff9a…
05-31 11:48:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x7f3972…
05-31 11:48:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xa2e034…
05-31 11:48:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x5af899…
05-31 11:47:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x498fdc…
05-31 11:47:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xd0361c…
05-31 11:47:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x7d99f2…
05-31 11:47:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x627215…
05-31 11:46:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x4bfcf2…
05-31 11:45:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x558c11…
05-31 11:44:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x4518f3…
05-31 11:42:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x9c9b2a…
05-31 11:42:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	75	71¢	$53	0x8c448e…
05-31 11:42:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	44	71¢	$31	0x72f7aa…
05-31 11:24:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xb6d9ac…
05-31 11:23:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x16c7fd…
05-31 11:20:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xe39b1e…
05-31 11:10:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x1ea2eb…
05-31 11:07:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x3db4e4…
05-31 11:07:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x4a05df…
05-31 11:06:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xdf51d9…
05-31 11:06:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd13675…
05-31 11:05:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xc00eed…
05-31 11:05:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xbe25d3…
05-31 11:04:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x1b3753…
05-31 11:04:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x0d05db…
05-31 11:04:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x03bd7e…
05-31 11:03:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x6d1ef6…
05-31 11:03:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe2d957…
05-31 11:03:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xa1ed3d…
05-31 11:03:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe758c8…
05-31 11:03:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xf622b2…
05-31 10:45:36	Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?	No	BUY	236	70¢	$165	0x08b66b…
05-31 05:33:54	Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?	No	BUY	38	69¢	$26	0xa87c66…
05-30 22:56:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	72¢	$432	0x9eaf5a…
05-30 19:26:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x9837b8…
05-29 22:08:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xb64fe1…
05-29 22:08:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	142	66¢	$94	0x8c8432…
05-29 22:07:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x114caa…
05-29 22:05:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0x0dc162…
05-29 22:05:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x859c8e…
05-29 22:05:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	63	66¢	$42	0xf5e6ad…
05-29 22:05:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	39	66¢	$26	0xa37a50…
05-29 05:32:47	Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?	No	BUY	350	70¢	$245	0xe50b43…
05-28 20:40:28	Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?	No	BUY	300	70¢	$210	0x4bf305…
05-28 20:36:59	Trump on $250 bill this year?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x4d34c0…
05-28 13:17:23	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	75¢	$39	0x19d72e…
05-28 13:17:16	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	248	75¢	$186	0xf525c1…
05-28 13:06:39	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	75¢	$225	0xf516a5…
05-27 22:38:46	Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x5467ac…
05-14 14:53:03	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	No	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x2f3865…
05-14 14:48:51	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	No	BUY	67	25¢	$17	0xb03b9a…
05-13 07:33:24	Will Marco Rubio attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	SELL	172	99¢	$170	0x8b330b…
05-13 07:25:28	Will Marco Rubio attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xa07eb3…
05-13 06:48:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	80	30¢	$24	0x90722e…
05-13 06:48:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	98	30¢	$29	0xe8fd62…
05-13 06:48:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	27	30¢	$8	0x30837d…
05-13 06:12:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	195	30¢	$59	0x2ed711…
05-12 23:10:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	400	36¢	$142	0xe8ca44…
05-12 13:10:42	Will Marco Rubio attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	107	85¢	$91	0xd91ab4…
05-12 12:24:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,071	100¢	$1,070	0x20d36f…
05-12 11:59:40	Will Marco Rubio attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0x614f21…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	21	$6.10K	613	06-09 12:12
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	18	$4.52M	8,087	06-10 03:53
Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e	15	$131.1K	1,606	06-09 17:43
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	15	$121.1K	2,092	06-10 03:51
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	14	$99.0K	7,072	06-10 00:47
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	13	$47.9K	813	06-10 00:47
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	13	$29.4K	208	06-09 08:04
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	13	$1.41K	128	06-09 16:59