Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

54.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$116

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-08

last 10-05 16:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

78% 52% -$11

Politics

20% 64% +$5

Tech

3% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No		+4	$2	96¢	$3	+$1	08-18 17:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	2	$5	13	+13	No	-$2	08-11 01:47
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	09-19 07:29
Will "Blue" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-16 02:13
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-11 23:33
will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	1	$2	11	+11	No	-$2	09-16 10:13
spy up or down on august 14 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Down	+$3	08-14 03:24
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	09-07 17:32
Will John Ternus say "Apple Intelligence" during his Apple Keynote?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-09 11:49
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	7	+7	No	+$5	08-08 18:23
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-08 07:18
will spy dip to 755 by august 10 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-10 06:30
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$2	09-23 13:49
will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-18 09:38
will warsh say good morning during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-22 18:59
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-09 11:52
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	09-17 06:13
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$2	11	+11	Yes	-$2	09-08 21:45
will spy dip to 765 by august 17 2026	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	08-19 03:57
us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-17 17:36
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-09 19:53
will pltr dip to 165 by august 17 2026	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-17 00:31
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-18 01:36
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-01 18:05
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-09 10:33
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-22 03:16
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 1?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$2	09-01 18:47
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-23 22:18
will nvda dip to 216 by august 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-17 09:36
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-09 02:32
will nvda reach 232 by august 10 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$2	08-09 22:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 16:35:02	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd96470…
10-05 08:18:02	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x94d19a…
10-05 00:06:01	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x140843…
10-01 15:01:23	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xbe3849…
09-30 18:49:51	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3b7a44…
09-30 06:08:57	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3c1256…
09-28 21:55:48	will meta reach 730 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf52add…
09-28 13:54:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in September?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6c3465…
09-28 13:38:23	will hood reach 125 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x732621…
09-28 05:11:47	will pltr reach 201 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5eddd4…
09-28 05:11:44	will tsla reach 375 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe9423f…
09-27 21:11:20	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x3b62df…
09-27 02:38:47	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6b87dc…
09-26 07:12:50	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8c9103…
09-25 06:43:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8d0e3c…
09-24 17:52:05	Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5386df…
09-24 09:51:48	will trump say economy during xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd86a47…
09-23 13:49:59	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9e42cd…
09-23 05:37:04	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x47cd39…
09-19 07:29:31	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x74a2db…
09-17 06:13:39	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x99f6bd…
09-16 10:13:31	will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	Yes	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0xf3d9e6…
09-16 10:13:28	will trump say million 20 times remarks in north carolina	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xb6a3d9…
09-16 02:13:10	Will "Blue" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xe0a0f6…
09-14 05:38:15	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x603a1e…
09-13 21:37:07	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xaadb6e…
09-11 23:33:12	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xc20dd6…
09-09 19:53:09	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x47bfae…
09-09 11:52:22	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xd2a694…
09-09 11:49:16	Will John Ternus say "Apple Intelligence" during his Apple Keynote?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xfc5a66…
09-08 21:45:36	laptop airdrop by september 9	No	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0xd173a4…
09-08 07:18:30	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x3c8c92…
09-07 17:32:06	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x33fc2a…
09-03 19:42:33	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xe3e0b9…
09-02 23:25:52	will xauusd dip to 4300 by august 31 2026 from september 2	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x4053c3…
09-02 12:52:45	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xeb4416…
09-01 18:47:13	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7f94d4…
09-01 18:05:34	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x31575e…
09-01 09:41:18	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x8e0bce…
08-23 22:18:55	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x60628f…
08-22 18:59:19	will warsh say good morning during jackson hole speech on august 28	No	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xcbfc7a…
08-22 03:16:12	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xa5b478…
08-19 03:57:49	will spy dip to 765 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xb94dc9…
08-18 17:45:49	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x7c4f4f…
08-18 09:38:37	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xaffa31…
08-18 01:36:54	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x02ea9f…
08-17 17:36:39	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x916f45…
08-17 09:36:19	will nvda dip to 216 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x3cb1e3…
08-17 00:31:18	will pltr dip to 165 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x90b012…
08-14 03:24:22	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x1edaa3…
08-13 07:22:18	spy up or down on august 13 2026	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x1e91a2…
08-11 23:19:25	will rklb reach 88 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x9b4a1a…
08-11 10:50:03	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xda0bef…
08-11 01:47:16	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x0dacf3…
08-11 01:30:18	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x63944f…
08-10 15:09:03	spy up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa084b3…
08-10 06:30:24	will spy dip to 755 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xf5db0a…
08-09 22:29:31	will nvda reach 232 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x207bac…
08-09 10:33:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x16d6c2…
08-09 02:32:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x65d813…
08-08 18:23:06	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x0a2979…