Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved

5,701

Trades

5,804

lifetime

Volume

$27.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-22

last 10-20 10:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 96% +$26

Other

7% 97% +$17

Politics

0% 0% -$12

Tech

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 266 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 20:15 UTC	24	$88	95	40	+55	Down	-$8	08-22 20:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:05 UTC	6	$41	40	40	+0	Down	-$4	08-27 11:07
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 10:00 UTC	9	$18	40	0	+40	Down	+$2	08-26 10:01
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 10:20 UTC	6	$18	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	08-26 10:21
Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by February 28, 2027?	2	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	10-09 00:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 10:05 UTC	9	$16	35	0	+35	Down	-$1	08-26 10:06
Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	2	$16	20	20	+0	No	-$5	10-08 23:58
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 10:10 UTC	8	$14	30	0	+30	Up	-$4	08-26 10:11
Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	2	$11	20	20	+0	No	-$8	10-08 23:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:20 UTC	6	$11	20	20	+0	Up	-$2	08-27 14:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 22:25 UTC	3	$11	11	6	+5	Down	+$0	08-26 22:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 13:45 UTC	4	$10	16	5	+11	Down	$0	08-27 13:43
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:20 UTC	3	$9	11	5	+6	Up	+$1	08-27 14:22
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 13:55 UTC	3	$8	16	0	+16	Up	+$2	08-27 13:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:10 UTC	4	$8	20	0	+20	Up	+$2	08-25 21:10
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:10 UTC	4	$7	5	5	-0	Up	+$0	08-27 14:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 13:00 UTC	5	$7	20	0	+20	Up	-$2	08-27 13:01
Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?	4	$7	15	15	+0	Yes	-$5	10-09 17:09
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	10-09 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 13:55 UTC	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$0	08-27 13:52
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 15:15 UTC	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$0	08-27 15:16
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 15:05 UTC	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	-$5	09-21 15:09
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	-$5	09-03 15:09
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:45 UTC	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	09-25 14:49
XRP Up or Down - September 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	-$5	09-23 13:44
Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	09-18 16:09
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 21:40 UTC	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	08-31 21:44
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 00:55 UTC	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	-$5	09-29 00:59
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	-$5	09-22 23:49
XRP Up or Down - September 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	-$5	09-23 08:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 10:25:23	Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x74a63a…
10-09 18:07:35	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.8B?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc25463…
10-09 17:54:56	next claude haiku 5pt6 released by january 31 2027	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xda8b80…
10-09 17:09:38	Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0xc92318…
10-09 16:51:47	Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xe876cc…
10-09 16:50:23	Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7dba5a…
10-09 16:49:43	Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7c811b…
10-09 15:16:40	Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x0f83d4…
10-09 15:16:36	Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xe94f31…
10-09 15:16:31	Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x2a8e3a…
10-09 10:00:16	Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x31e805…
10-09 08:19:57	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x4b1f0e…
10-09 07:34:01	Will Iran target Kuwait by October 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xf1122d…
10-09 02:18:09	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x30a343…
10-09 01:14:00	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xffffec…
10-09 01:13:39	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x38c664…
10-09 01:01:30	Will Iran target Kuwait by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x08adc7…
10-09 01:00:27	Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Nikol Pashinyan in Turkmenistan?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xdbe7ba…
10-09 00:41:27	Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x016868…
10-09 00:39:41	Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x712b2c…
10-09 00:30:53	Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Nikol Pashinyan in Turkmenistan?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x620c36…
10-09 00:04:12	Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xdccdcc…
10-08 23:58:39	Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x1bad95…
10-08 23:58:29	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xc77180…
10-08 23:58:00	Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x31dd8e…
10-08 14:55:32	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xc1dc37…
10-08 14:39:02	Gemini 4.0 released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0xd5d36a…
10-08 14:10:06	Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x336cfe…
10-08 13:54:32	gemini 4pt0 released by october 9 2026	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x08f482…
10-08 13:34:20	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x10155d…
10-08 13:24:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x96264c…
10-08 13:24:18	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4eabf2…
10-08 13:09:20	BNB Up or Down - October 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x458078…
10-08 13:04:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x736f66…
10-08 12:59:29	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x91f0d2…
10-08 12:59:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5ae0b7…
10-08 12:19:21	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x9a5586…
10-08 12:19:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0bcc09…
10-08 11:44:33	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x048420…
10-08 11:39:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdf4c6f…
10-08 11:39:17	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa9f256…
10-08 11:14:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf1aaac…
10-08 10:59:18	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xaecf38…
10-08 08:59:17	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x149dcb…
10-08 08:49:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1f4232…
10-08 08:44:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa6923a…
10-08 08:39:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xcd9be8…
10-08 08:19:20	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf65eab…
10-08 08:04:16	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x39f294…
10-08 07:19:17	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc4f7d4…
10-08 06:59:17	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf1d533…
10-08 05:49:20	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf2c54a…
10-08 05:49:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb01737…
10-08 05:09:17	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3595c1…
10-08 04:49:23	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd31d3c…
10-08 04:19:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3fea28…
10-08 04:19:17	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0d6d86…
10-08 03:44:20	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf66fc1…
10-08 03:34:19	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x57b1d4…
10-08 03:19:20	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb45d6a…
10-08 02:14:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf4a21b…
10-08 01:19:19	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb8c718…
10-07 22:29:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xfed898…
10-07 22:09:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8446bc…
10-07 21:49:19	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5e08d4…
10-07 21:09:17	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x42bcd8…
10-07 20:44:20	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8a0a69…
10-07 19:04:18	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x69da37…
10-07 18:39:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x462ec8…
10-07 18:34:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xa290eb…
10-07 18:24:18	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfbac5d…
10-07 18:19:21	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x74b605…
10-07 18:09:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x14582d…
10-07 17:49:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x865218…
10-07 17:39:18	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5ab45a…
10-07 17:34:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbc113c…
10-07 17:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb82c7f…
10-07 16:54:20	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x429461…
10-07 16:49:19	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x47dc7e…
10-07 16:49:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc5a892…
10-07 16:49:17	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x041996…
10-07 15:49:22	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf17cda…
10-07 15:49:17	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x1f296a…
10-07 15:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbcfc27…
10-07 15:29:23	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1aa27d…
10-07 15:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1aacf4…
10-07 15:09:17	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcc2586…
10-07 15:09:17	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1b45a2…
10-07 14:49:25	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xea1b85…
10-07 14:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xaf63af…
10-07 14:44:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x40cc6b…
10-07 14:34:37	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf063ea…
10-07 14:09:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf1dc26…
10-07 13:49:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe960fb…
10-07 13:49:17	BNB Up or Down - October 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xcb4b85…
10-07 13:49:17	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5d783b…
10-07 13:44:25	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2c36fe…
10-07 13:44:19	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc6295b…
10-07 13:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcee8f5…
10-07 13:34:17	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5987b7…