Brief-Speculation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

186

Trades

339

lifetime

Volume

$1.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 07-30 12:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Other

96% 81% -$17

Crypto

4% 60% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 23?	4	$43	23	23	+0	No	+$3	06-23 13:03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 18?	5	$34	23	23	+0	No	-$2	06-17 18:53
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on July 30?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	07-30 12:31
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 18?	3	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$0	07-18 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on July 25?	4	$28	28	28	+0	No	-$1	07-25 05:19
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 21?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	07-21 01:13
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C or higher on July 19?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	07-19 04:42
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 21?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	07-21 04:59
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 19?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	$0	07-19 00:28
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 23?	2	$28	14	14	+0	Yes	$0	07-23 10:46
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 22?	2	$25	14	14	+0	Yes	-$3	07-21 16:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 16?	2	$23	13	13	+0	No	+$3	06-16 01:28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?	3	$23	16	16	+0	Yes	-$3	06-17 01:44
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 25?	3	$22	15	15	+0	No	+$3	06-25 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 16?	3	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	06-16 06:27
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 22?	3	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	06-22 05:11
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 23?	3	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	06-23 14:16
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C or higher on July 20?	3	$18	24	4	+20	No	$0	07-20 04:49
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 23?	3	$17	12	12	+0	No	-$3	06-23 02:28
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 9?	4	$16	9	9	+0	No	+$2	07-09 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on July 12?	4	$15	8	8	+0	No	+$0	07-12 10:01
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on June 25?	2	$15	21	0	+21	Yes	-$15	06-24 17:35
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 23?	2	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	07-23 05:50
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 25?	1	$14	14	0	+14	Yes	-$14	07-24 11:50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 25?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	07-25 01:45
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C or higher on July 24?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	07-23 18:35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 21?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	07-20 07:45
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 21?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	07-20 21:20
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 20?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	07-20 01:01
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on July 22?	1	$14	15	0	+15	No	+$1	07-22 01:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 12:31:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on July 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x8e9b7d…
07-29 04:06:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on July 30?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xafc03c…
07-25 05:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x5d2d3d…
07-25 05:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on July 25?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0xf7ce82…
07-25 05:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0xf7ce82…
07-25 02:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on July 25?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xaeb352…
07-25 01:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 25?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xc799b7…
07-24 12:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 25?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x61a274…
07-24 11:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x0d479e…
07-24 07:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 42°C on July 25?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xb09767…
07-24 06:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 25?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x92cb0b…
07-24 05:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on July 25?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0c6551…
07-23 18:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C or higher on July 24?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x71e49e…
07-23 10:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 23?	No	SELL	14	95¢	$14	0x7e5bc2…
07-23 05:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 23?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x87fd6d…
07-22 10:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on July 23?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xaf168d…
07-22 09:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 23?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1f341b…
07-22 07:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 39°C or higher on July 23?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8fd9aa…
07-22 06:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on July 23?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdbfe4e…
07-22 06:15:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 23?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x543606…
07-22 04:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 23?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x753834…
07-22 01:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on July 22?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x42a273…
07-21 16:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 22?	No	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0x6fff55…
07-21 05:54:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 43°C on July 22?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x859775…
07-21 05:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 22?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x2afef0…
07-21 04:59:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 21?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x54715f…
07-21 01:13:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 21?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x1fe5f4…
07-20 21:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 21?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x506312…
07-20 16:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 21?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x18e046…
07-20 07:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 21?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xe36240…
07-20 06:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 21?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x9b5058…
07-20 04:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C or higher on July 20?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x55849a…
07-20 04:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C or higher on July 20?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x689b6d…
07-20 01:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 20?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x975f39…
07-19 16:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C or higher on July 20?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x35ae3e…
07-19 04:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C or higher on July 19?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xf95132…
07-19 00:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 19?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x6554db…
07-18 06:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C or higher on July 19?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x95ae3f…
07-18 05:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 19?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x9731ec…
07-18 04:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 18?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3883a3…
07-18 04:00:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 18?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcb65be…
07-17 15:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 18?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0x03c1f2…
07-17 06:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 40°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x51e553…
07-17 05:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0f342d…
07-17 05:53:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 17?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x28a3f1…
07-17 02:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 17?	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x47d357…
07-16 23:41:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x0fa045…
07-16 22:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 17?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xd72b01…
07-16 20:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 17?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0e2f9b…
07-16 17:25:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 17?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5cf8f2…
07-16 13:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 17?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x72aff1…
07-16 11:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 17?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdea68d…
07-16 09:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 17?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa2567c…
07-16 07:23:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 40°C on July 17?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc46ba7…
07-16 07:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 17?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x56fdc4…
07-16 06:23:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 16?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xc90f8e…
07-16 05:41:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 17?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x1553f6…
07-16 03:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 17?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe76335…
07-15 14:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 16?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8b47cd…
07-15 10:25:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 16?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6cb17e…
07-15 05:09:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on July 16?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa6393b…
07-15 03:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 15?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8f93bb…
07-14 07:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 14?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x288015…
07-14 03:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 14?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf1c435…
07-14 00:22:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 14?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x44cd56…
07-14 00:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on July 14?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x275931…
07-13 11:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 14?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x818e97…
07-13 05:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 13?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xd59fc8…
07-13 05:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 13?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x38a870…
07-13 00:29:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 13?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x94838e…
07-13 00:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 13?	No	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x90e5b6…
07-13 00:09:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on July 13?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xbd02cb…
07-12 10:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 13?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x41ccb5…
07-12 10:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 13?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x37b43d…
07-12 10:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on July 12?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xcb5733…
07-12 07:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 12?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xdf5f9d…
07-12 07:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 12?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa26855…
07-12 07:26:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 13?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x85f954…
07-12 05:48:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 13?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9e95d0…
07-12 05:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 12?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1a616f…
07-12 05:22:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on July 13?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5c852f…
07-12 05:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 13?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x383364…
07-12 01:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 13?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x88cb6b…
07-12 00:58:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 13?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa8fa3d…
07-11 20:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 13?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x2ad424…
07-11 15:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on July 12?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0xb09c5c…
07-11 11:48:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0b12d8…
07-11 08:26:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xee6707…
07-11 07:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6ed5e3…
07-11 06:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on July 12?	No	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0xc466c0…
07-11 05:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 12?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7f8e9d…
07-11 05:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 12?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xebcf26…
07-11 05:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5ef25d…
07-11 05:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 11?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x012558…
07-10 07:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 10?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa061b1…
07-10 05:33:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 11?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x38f4a1…
07-10 03:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C on July 11?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6538a6…
07-10 03:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on July 10?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd999fa…
07-10 03:21:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 10?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x767070…
07-09 20:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 11?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf02246…