Gullible-Catalyst — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

187

lifetime

Volume

$12.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-16 09:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

66% — —

Sports

29% 100% +$22

Politics

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nhl nj edm 2026 01 20	4	$490	311	311	+0	open	—	01-21 08:05
nhl tor sea 2026 01 29	2	$418	220	220	+0	open	—	01-30 05:38
cbb aubrn miss 2026 01 20	2	$410	211	211	+0	open	—	01-21 05:39
nba lac uta 2026 01 27	2	$407	207	207	+0	open	—	01-28 05:58
cbb rutger iowa 2026 01 20	2	$404	206	206	+0	open	—	01-21 03:39
nhl ana van 2026 01 29	2	$402	202	202	+0	open	—	01-30 06:14
Chisinau: Radu Albot vs Timofey Skatov	5	$265	159	159	+0	open	—	05-28 10:32
cbb utahst unlv 2026 01 20	1	$263	285	0	+285	open	—	01-21 05:42
dota2 re spirit1 2026 01 20	2	$226	116	116	+0	open	—	01-20 15:17
epl wol che 2026 02 07 che	2	$225	127	127	+0	open	—	02-07 15:48
cbb ark miss 2026 01 07	2	$224	124	124	+0	open	—	01-08 05:55
wta volynet boulter 2026 02 06	2	$223	123	123	+0	open	—	02-06 16:36
dota2 navi ngx 2026 01 20	2	$223	133	133	+0	open	—	01-20 17:20
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	2	$222	124	124	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$22	05-09 04:45
lol ig1 blg 2026 01 20	2	$221	121	121	+0	open	—	01-20 15:17
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Cameroon vs Mali	2	$215	125	125	+0	open	—	05-29 07:40
spl hil haz 2026 01 08 hil	2	$208	109	109	+0	open	—	01-08 16:39
ere tel aja 2026 01 11 aja	2	$206	106	106	+0	open	—	01-11 15:54
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 9	2	$203	106	106	+0	open	—	01-06 14:37
nhl sj van 2026 01 27	2	$203	103	103	+0	open	—	01-28 05:58
will union progressiste pour le renouveau upr win the most seats in the 2026 benin parliamentary election	1	$201	0	207	-207	open	—	01-08 15:56
highest temperature in buenos aires on january 28 34corbelow	2	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	01-29 03:17
dota2 heroic rnx 2026 02 06	2	$195	105	105	+0	open	—	02-06 16:22
nothing ever happens elon edition	1	$180	0	220	-220	open	—	01-16 13:19
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev	2	$143	135	49	+86	open	—	05-29 10:57
nba mia sac 2026 01 20	2	$141	81	81	+0	open	—	01-21 05:39
atp korda michels 2026 01 08	2	$127	77	77	+0	open	—	01-09 09:53
lol drx t1 2026 01 18	2	$125	131	0	+131	open	—	01-18 12:16
nba min uta 2026 01 20	1	$120	146	0	+146	open	—	01-20 07:49
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann	2	$118	70	70	+0	open	—	05-31 16:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 03:46:10	mlb bal sea 2026 06 16	Seattle Mariners	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x746870…
06-17 03:19:55	mlb bal sea 2026 06 16	Seattle Mariners	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xcc1beb…
06-17 03:19:34	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Atlanta Braves	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x4a187e…
06-16 09:28:37	atp galan piros 2026 06 15	Daniel Galan	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0xf48170…
06-16 09:27:03	atp gurri santama 2026 06 15	Max Alcala Gurri	SELL	8	43¢	$4	0xfa3a1a…
06-16 09:13:57	atp gurri santama 2026 06 15	Max Alcala Gurri	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x590c41…
06-16 09:13:52	atp galan piros 2026 06 15	Daniel Galan	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x4639aa…
06-16 09:13:48	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Atlanta Braves	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x11a760…
06-16 04:01:58	mlb laa ari 2026 06 15	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0xf621ed…
06-16 03:23:48	mlb laa ari 2026 06 15	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1478a1…
06-16 03:23:45	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Atlanta Braves	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xbb8fd1…
06-15 16:39:36	lol sly gal 2026 06 15	Galions	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xd01ad8…
06-01 06:54:51	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Nys/Roger-Vasselin vs Reyes/Tabilo	Nys/Roger-Vasselin	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xeaec03…
06-01 06:54:46	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Krawietz/Puetz vs Balaji/Demoliner	Krawietz/Puetz	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0xb0b22e…
06-01 06:54:39	Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider	Madison Keys	BUY	58	60¢	$35	0x1cda43…
06-01 06:54:33	Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya	Anastasia Potapova	BUY	67	67¢	$45	0xc2e8fb…
06-01 06:54:30	Centurion 2: Luca Castelnuovo vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	Luca Castelnuovo	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xa1d8c8…
06-01 06:54:25	Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0x366905…
05-31 16:33:30	Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann	Mirra Andreeva	SELL	70	96¢	$68	0x9e30df…
05-31 16:02:10	Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x2c7834…
05-30 04:35:48	UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Kai Asakura	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0xf54536…
05-30 04:35:41	UFC Fight Night: Aoriqileng vs. Cody Haddon (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Cody Haddon	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x48a418…
05-30 04:35:33	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Zhang Mingyang	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x4c2094…
05-30 04:35:27	UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Sergei Pavlovich	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xac4ca6…
05-30 04:35:22	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Song Yadong	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x6ef58a…
05-30 04:35:17	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x47360c…
05-29 15:59:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xe9af25…
05-29 15:08:34	Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C	INOX Division	SELL	27	65¢	$18	0xbbefea…
05-29 14:54:06	Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C	INOX Division	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x0366f7…
05-29 14:53:57	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xd25e93…
05-29 10:57:38	Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	SELL	49	88¢	$43	0x0f80b7…
05-29 10:08:14	Chisinau: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Sumit Nagal	Stefanos Sakellaridis	SELL	45	75¢	$34	0xd2effc…
05-29 07:40:55	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Cameroon vs Mali	Cameroon	SELL	125	92¢	$115	0x4da38c…
05-29 03:05:33	KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kiwoom Heroes	KT Wiz	BUY	90	67¢	$60	0x7742cd…
05-29 03:05:22	Chisinau: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Sumit Nagal	Stefanos Sakellaridis	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xed4794…
05-29 03:05:15	Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x925182…
05-29 03:05:14	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Cameroon vs Mali	Cameroon	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xb532a0…
05-28 11:23:03	KBO: KT Wiz vs. Doosan Bears	Doosan Bears	SELL	50	59¢	$29	0x869a94…
05-28 10:32:59	Chisinau: Radu Albot vs Timofey Skatov	Radu Albot	SELL	32	95¢	$30	0xb0b0e3…
05-28 10:30:25	Chisinau: Daniil Glinka vs Liam Broady	Liam Broady	SELL	19	93¢	$17	0x61394b…
05-28 10:21:17	KBO: KT Wiz vs. Doosan Bears	Doosan Bears	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x4f693e…
05-28 10:21:12	KBO: KT Wiz vs. Doosan Bears	Doosan Bears	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x6edc22…
05-28 10:21:06	Chisinau: Radu Albot vs Timofey Skatov	Radu Albot	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x7c6ddb…
05-28 10:21:01	Chisinau: Daniil Glinka vs Liam Broady	Liam Broady	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x539ef6…
05-28 10:21:01	Chisinau: Radu Albot vs Timofey Skatov	Radu Albot	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x23d93f…
05-28 08:49:33	Chisinau: Daniil Glinka vs Liam Broady	Liam Broady	SELL	33	84¢	$28	0xfb4e80…
05-28 08:41:37	Chisinau: Radu Albot vs Timofey Skatov	Timofey Skatov	SELL	127	90¢	$115	0xc55e06…
05-28 08:37:36	Centurion: Yusuke Takahashi vs Edward Winter	Edward Winter	SELL	32	46¢	$15	0x12fc9b…
05-28 08:29:40	ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Denislava Glushkova	Elena Ruxandra Bertea	SELL	13	51¢	$7	0x77cc5a…
05-28 08:13:39	ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Denislava Glushkova	Elena Ruxandra Bertea	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xb000a3…
05-28 08:13:27	Centurion: Yusuke Takahashi vs Edward Winter	Edward Winter	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x2a487a…
05-28 08:13:23	Chisinau: Daniil Glinka vs Liam Broady	Liam Broady	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x3f10fc…
05-28 08:13:14	Chisinau: Radu Albot vs Timofey Skatov	Timofey Skatov	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x147d5c…
05-24 16:19:52	LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Movistar KOI	SELL	68	85¢	$57	0xf4f52e…
05-24 16:09:27	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs	PARIVISION	SELL	60	62¢	$37	0x4847a5…
05-24 15:50:45	Valorant: BBL Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2	BBL Esports	BUY	39	67¢	$26	0xc31fa3…
05-24 15:50:33	LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Movistar KOI	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x03f717…
05-24 15:50:14	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xf4dc48…
05-18 09:43:11	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Magdalena Frech vs Talia Gibson	Magdalena Frech	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0x204552…
05-18 09:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe28820…
05-18 09:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb016c0…
05-18 09:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xb7dcb3…
05-18 09:31:14	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila Samsonova	Liudmila Samsonova	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x043156…
05-18 09:31:12	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Magdalena Frech vs Talia Gibson	Magdalena Frech	BUY	40	61¢	$25	0xbcc506…
05-15 15:40:19	Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Arthur Fery	Jan Choinski	SELL	18	65¢	$11	0x3c7765…
05-15 12:11:57	KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x8e9e78…
05-15 10:37:42	Valencia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Dusan Lajovic	Dusan Lajovic	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0x45c6fc…
05-15 09:53:19	KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xe325b3…
05-15 09:53:12	Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Arthur Fery	Jan Choinski	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xed1b0c…
05-15 09:53:07	Valencia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Dusan Lajovic	Dusan Lajovic	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x9c8c8d…
05-15 09:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xcd164f…
05-15 09:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbb2220…
05-15 09:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x460dd9…
05-15 09:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xdd00ce…
05-14 18:08:21	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	36	83¢	$30	0x4bf98f…
05-14 17:53:25	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev	Martin Landaluce	SELL	25	50¢	$12	0xd9818e…
05-14 17:44:31	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	58	97¢	$56	0x887f8b…
05-14 17:39:19	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev	Martin Landaluce	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x763c09…
05-14 17:39:09	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x9c912f…
05-14 17:39:02	Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets	Detroit Tigers	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x0c44cf…
05-14 17:38:55	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x38f1b6…
05-14 16:15:51	Valencia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo Berrettini	Matteo Berrettini	SELL	17	9¢	$2	0x56ba62…
05-14 15:26:21	Valencia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo Berrettini	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xef3a85…
05-14 13:20:14	Bordeaux: Alex Molcan vs Rei Sakamoto	Alex Molcan	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0x456699…
05-14 10:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd9cdb7…
05-14 10:20:22	Bordeaux: Alex Molcan vs Rei Sakamoto	Alex Molcan	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x6e61a3…
05-13 03:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x255425…
05-09 04:45:18	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	124	99¢	$122	0xb934e4…
05-09 04:30:29	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0xe6ab77…
05-04 15:30:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0x734250…
05-01 08:11:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc4801a…
04-30 16:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xca346a…
04-30 11:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x54ea2f…
04-30 04:34:42	Huzhou: Yufei Ren vs Polona Hercog	Polona Hercog	SELL	82	47¢	$39	0x0eb502…
04-30 04:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x63050c…
04-30 03:41:10	Huzhou: Yufei Ren vs Polona Hercog	Polona Hercog	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xf9c1b4…
04-29 03:35:38	Ducks vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xf5f549…
03-06 01:57:39	nba dal orl 2026 03 05	Magic	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x21342d…
02-14 10:11:19	lol gen dk 2026 02 14	Gen.G	BUY	59	84¢	$50	0xe0da51…
02-07 15:48:01	epl wol che 2026 02 07 che	Yes	SELL	127	99¢	$125	0x9c6e79…