Lopsided-Bureau — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

143

lifetime

Volume

$63.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$447

Open exposure

$102

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 23:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% +$4

Sports

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	+100	$52	52¢	$52	$-0	06-09 23:50
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	+60	$39	62¢	$38	$-2	06-10 01:45
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	+15	$13	86¢	$13	+$0	06-10 01:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 58k on april 8	4	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-07 22:04
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	18	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	03-28 14:14
bitcoin above 62k on march 20	6	$2.1K	1,075	1,075	+0	open	—	03-19 21:14
bitcoin above 82k on january 18	2	$2.0K	1,019	1,019	+0	open	—	01-16 16:37
bitcoin above 82k on january 16	11	$2.0K	1,017	1,017	+0	open	—	01-14 19:50
bitcoin above 82k on january 14	2	$2.0K	1,016	1,016	+0	open	—	01-13 00:25
bitcoin above 82k on january 13	10	$2.0K	1,013	1,013	+0	open	—	01-11 19:59
bitcoin above 72k on june 7 2026	5	$1.5K	1,495	0	+1,495	open	—	06-05 20:31
bitcoin above 72k on june 5 2026	1	$1.5K	1,488	0	+1,488	open	—	06-04 21:06
bitcoin above 62k on april 13	1	$1.1K	1,116	0	+1,116	open	—	04-12 03:46
bitcoin above 60k on april 11	1	$1.1K	1,115	0	+1,115	open	—	04-10 02:07
bitcoin above 62k on april 9	1	$1.1K	1,114	0	+1,114	open	—	04-08 13:17
will bitcoin dip to 54k march 30 april 5	1	$1.1K	1,108	0	+1,108	open	—	04-04 15:07
bitcoin above 56k on april 3	1	$1.1K	1,105	0	+1,105	open	—	04-01 20:22
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	1	$1.1K	1,104	0	+1,104	open	—	03-31 00:18
bitcoin above 78k on march 30	1	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	open	—	03-29 02:28
bitcoin above 64k on april 18	1	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	04-17 11:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 20?	1	$1.1K	1,091	0	+1,091	open	—	05-18 18:42
bitcoin above 62k on march 17	1	$1.1K	1,077	0	+1,077	open	—	03-16 10:36
bitcoin above 80k on march 12	1	$1.1K	1,071	0	+1,071	open	—	03-11 14:53
bitcoin above 58k on march 8	1	$1.1K	1,070	0	+1,070	open	—	03-07 20:11
bitcoin above 58k on march 13	5	$1.1K	1,070	0	+1,070	open	—	03-13 00:05
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 10	1	$1.1K	1,070	0	+1,070	open	—	03-09 13:31
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 6	1	$1.1K	1,069	0	+1,069	open	—	03-05 15:50
bitcoin above 64k on march 4	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	03-04 12:47
bitcoin above 76k on march 1	1	$1.1K	1,062	0	+1,062	open	—	02-28 02:03
bitcoin above 58k on february 27	1	$1.1K	1,061	0	+1,061	open	—	02-27 13:45
bitcoin above 80k on february 14	1	$1.0K	1,051	0	+1,051	open	—	02-12 23:09
will the price of bitcoin be less than 56000 on february 19	1	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	open	—	02-18 05:43
bitcoin above 74k on february 26	1	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	open	—	02-24 21:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 01:45:36	Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	60	65¢	$39	0x563a12…
06-10 01:02:19	Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x0d2204…
06-10 01:02:18	Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xb3ed9e…
06-09 23:50:03	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x7b8fa9…
06-05 20:31:16	bitcoin above 72k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	741	100¢	$738	0x9495e3…
06-05 20:27:45	bitcoin above 72k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xdca453…
06-05 19:29:04	bitcoin above 72k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x4fb292…
06-05 19:27:15	bitcoin above 72k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	252	100¢	$251	0x989f67…
06-05 19:11:21	bitcoin above 72k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x132398…
06-04 21:06:09	bitcoin above 72k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	1,488	100¢	$1,487	0x755490…
05-28 13:39:53	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	434	100¢	$433	0x982552…
05-23 08:17:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0x89fd45…
05-23 08:07:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x7882b2…
05-18 18:42:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	1,091	100¢	$1,090	0x1ffda4…
05-16 16:52:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x8bcdcf…
05-14 16:15:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0x01ba70…
05-12 12:50:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x3ecf63…
05-12 00:59:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0x4051a9…
05-11 16:30:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xebd0c2…
05-08 12:24:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xc0192e…
05-08 06:51:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x3f9da9…
05-08 01:59:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0xcca5ef…
05-07 16:10:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0x447bf8…
05-05 13:31:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	175	99¢	$174	0xd0b426…
04-29 13:44:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xbdee1a…
04-27 12:02:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	416	98¢	$406	0xc9e259…
04-26 14:46:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xf2f784…
04-23 07:21:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x137a0f…
04-20 12:01:16	bitcoin above 64k on april 22	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x8f0862…
04-17 11:54:50	bitcoin above 64k on april 18	Yes	BUY	1,100	100¢	$1,099	0x46d698…
04-15 19:19:46	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 spo1	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x23fa53…
04-12 03:46:57	bitcoin above 62k on april 13	Yes	BUY	1,116	100¢	$1,115	0xee8038…
04-10 02:07:53	bitcoin above 60k on april 11	Yes	BUY	1,115	100¢	$1,114	0x95a443…
04-08 13:17:09	bitcoin above 62k on april 9	Yes	BUY	1,114	100¢	$1,113	0x952fb9…
04-07 22:04:31	bitcoin above 58k on april 8	Yes	SELL	1,100	100¢	$1,099	0x805280…
04-07 03:10:51	bitcoin above 58k on april 8	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x6367b5…
04-07 03:10:49	bitcoin above 58k on april 8	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$497	0x4957cc…
04-07 03:10:45	bitcoin above 58k on april 8	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x00dba5…
04-04 15:07:55	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1,108	100¢	$1,107	0xd96881…
04-01 20:22:11	bitcoin above 56k on april 3	Yes	BUY	1,105	100¢	$1,102	0x2a70ed…
03-31 00:18:09	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	1,104	100¢	$1,101	0x0da058…
03-29 02:28:06	bitcoin above 78k on march 30	No	BUY	1,101	100¢	$1,100	0xb06385…
03-28 14:14:23	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	SELL	1,100	100¢	$1,097	0x41733e…
03-20 12:38:59	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xd66268…
03-20 12:38:35	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xdd59ff…
03-20 12:38:35	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xd53fab…
03-20 12:38:35	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xc5ac67…
03-20 12:38:35	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x98536c…
03-20 12:38:35	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x0136a4…
03-20 12:30:51	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	29	98¢	$29	0x9bbb43…
03-20 12:30:09	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0xe139bd…
03-20 12:30:09	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x88e08f…
03-20 12:30:07	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xac9835…
03-20 12:30:07	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x53d261…
03-20 12:30:07	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x0173dd…
03-20 12:29:59	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	121	98¢	$118	0x039a44…
03-20 12:24:59	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	173	98¢	$169	0xb1a8dd…
03-20 12:05:29	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	224	98¢	$219	0x1417df…
03-20 12:04:17	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x816a03…
03-20 12:03:17	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	116	98¢	$113	0x0d9212…
03-20 12:00:49	bitcoin above 60k on march 21	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0cc530…
03-20 00:19:01	bitcoin above 60k on march 21	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8b1f07…
03-19 21:14:15	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	SELL	1,075	100¢	$1,073	0x3cd7cc…
03-18 23:32:17	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$124	0x33d9f1…
03-18 22:19:29	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0xe8b5bf…
03-18 20:02:57	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xfc6719…
03-18 19:50:25	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x91e689…
03-18 19:46:41	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x984704…
03-16 10:36:59	bitcoin above 62k on march 17	Yes	BUY	1,077	100¢	$1,076	0x24ce26…
03-13 00:05:31	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	Yes	BUY	447	100¢	$447	0x1943e6…
03-12 23:58:05	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x649079…
03-12 23:48:17	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x52d186…
03-12 23:30:09	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	Yes	BUY	73	100¢	$72	0x316be9…
03-12 23:16:31	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x356761…
03-11 14:53:41	bitcoin above 80k on march 12	No	BUY	1,071	100¢	$1,069	0x88fa3a…
03-09 13:31:21	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 10	No	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,068	0xb8b9dd…
03-07 20:11:05	bitcoin above 58k on march 8	Yes	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,069	0xd74f81…
03-05 15:50:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 6	No	BUY	1,069	100¢	$1,068	0x337325…
03-04 12:47:07	bitcoin above 64k on march 4	Yes	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,066	0x417be0…
02-28 02:03:33	bitcoin above 76k on march 1	No	BUY	1,062	100¢	$1,061	0x446a3e…
02-27 13:45:15	bitcoin above 58k on february 27	Yes	BUY	1,061	100¢	$1,060	0xcc466d…
02-24 21:30:28	bitcoin above 74k on february 26	No	BUY	1,050	100¢	$1,047	0x682fe4…
02-18 05:43:20	will the price of bitcoin be less than 56000 on february 19	No	BUY	1,050	100¢	$1,048	0x7533d9…
02-12 23:09:31	bitcoin above 80k on february 14	No	BUY	1,051	100¢	$1,050	0xe26e71…
02-11 06:23:25	bitcoin above 58k on february 12	Yes	BUY	296	100¢	$295	0x9733a1…
02-11 06:17:03	bitcoin above 58k on february 12	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x51bd65…
02-11 06:15:13	bitcoin above 58k on february 12	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x9021f4…
02-11 00:53:17	bitcoin above 58k on february 12	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xeb9ae9…
02-08 00:50:03	bitcoin above 84k on february 10	No	BUY	937	100¢	$933	0x5dd996…
02-07 19:41:55	bitcoin above 86k on february 9	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb948a4…
02-06 22:19:53	bitcoin above 84k on february 8	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3b0431…
02-05 12:50:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on february 6	No	BUY	920	100¢	$917	0xa5c25f…
02-05 03:05:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on february 6	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x65c3de…
02-05 02:09:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on february 6	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x07b03e…
02-03 20:32:32	bitcoin above 90k on february 4	No	BUY	1,039	100¢	$1,038	0x755232…
02-02 02:30:10	bitcoin above 90k on february 3	No	BUY	148	99¢	$148	0xc052c3…
02-02 00:21:14	bitcoin above 90k on february 3	No	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0xf2508d…
02-01 21:57:14	bitcoin above 90k on february 3	No	BUY	722	99¢	$718	0x3b960c…
01-31 14:51:08	bitcoin above 90k on february 1	No	BUY	1,031	100¢	$1,029	0xa7524f…
01-28 02:03:15	bitcoin above 100k on january 30	No	BUY	1,029	100¢	$1,026	0x842ee2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	50	$5.25K	2,480	04-16 13:21
(anonymous) 0x90bb…531f	49	$1.09K	1,810	04-27 20:37
Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502	39	$912	1,559	06-04 20:08
(anonymous) 0x25af…bcaf	37	$5.34K	1,216	03-27 07:44
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	37	$1.31K	428	06-06 07:31
(anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394	35	$108.8K	1,516	04-24 19:07
Frightened-Kitsch 0x58fd…43a6	34	$503	771	06-06 18:48
(anonymous) 0x5533…51ba	32	$956	706	05-06 11:48